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Showing 2,833-2,880 of 7,555 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 4th District margin of victory
K 6.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 4th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 86.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 4th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 80%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 4th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?Yes 65%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 20.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 18.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming?
K 6.8K contractsWill Trump reverse the Lake America renaming before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8%
Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CO-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 33.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 21.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 18.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
K 6.8K contractsWill Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 74.5%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 69%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 53.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?
PM $18.7KNATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa's 1st District margin of victory
K 6.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 5.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 3.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 2.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas Senate election: James Talarico vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill James Talarico receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 98%
Will James Talarico receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 94%
Will James Talarico receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 81.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-31 House Election Winner
PM $18.6KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-31 House seat?Yes 95.4%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-31 House seat?Yes 3.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Louisiana governor winner? (2027)
K 6.8K contractsWill the Republican party win the governorship in LouisianaYes 89.5%
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in LouisianaYes 9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 12, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-12 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-12 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-12 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York Governor election: Bruce Blakeman vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill Bruce Blakeman receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?Yes 92.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 44.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 29%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 16%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill the People's Party receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 93.5%
Will the People's Party receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 79%
Will the People's Party receive at least 31% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 65%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 17.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CO-01 House election: Shimon Blau vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill Shimon Blau receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Shimon Blau receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 64%
Will Shimon Blau receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 40%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
KY-02 House Election Winner
PM $18.6KWill the Republican Party win the KY-02 House seat?Yes 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-02 House seat?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Major news story in Oct 2026?
K 6.8K contractsWill the number of full-width New York Times front page headlines be at least 1 in Oct 2026?Yes 13%
Will the number of full-width New York Times front page headlines be at least 2 in Oct 2026?Yes 5.5%
Will the number of full-width New York Times front page headlines be at least 3 in Oct 2026?Yes 3%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 30, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 21.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
RI-02 House election: Seth Magaziner vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill Seth Magaziner receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 RI-02 House election?Yes 98%
Will Seth Magaziner receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 RI-02 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Seth Magaziner receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 RI-02 House election?Yes 97%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-16 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 19.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 13.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NJ-04 House election: Chris Smith vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill Chris Smith receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-04 House election?Yes 96%
Will Chris Smith receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-04 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Chris Smith receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-04 House election?Yes 84%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 12?
PM $18.6KWill 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Yes 47.5%
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Yes 33%
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Yes 14.5%
+3 more
KalshiPolitics
OH-05 House winner?
K 6.7K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OH-05?Yes 94.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for OH-05?Yes 5.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Florida Senate Election: Turnout
PM $18.6KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be 9,000,000 or more?Yes 25.4%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,750,000 and 8,000,000?Yes 24.6%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,000,000 and 8,250,000?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tennessee's 5th District margin of victory
K 6.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 4.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner
PM $18.5KWill Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Yes 75%
Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Yes 24%
Will Chen Chia-ping win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Yes 2.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
UT-04 House election: Steven Burt vote percent
K 6.7K contractsWill Steven Burt receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 92%
Will Steven Burt receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 69.5%
Will Steven Burt receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 43%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US defaults on debt by 2027?
PM $18.5KUS defaults on debt by 2027?Yes 1.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Ottawa's Trump Avenue be renamed?
K 6.7K contractsWill it be reported by CBC, CTV, Global News, The Globe and Mail, Ottawa Citizen, or Ottawa Sun that Trump Avenue in Ottawa, Canada has been officially renamed before Sep 1, 2027?Yes 24.5%
Will it be reported by CBC, CTV, Global News, The Globe and Mail, Ottawa Citizen, or Ottawa Sun that Trump Avenue in Ottawa, Canada has been officially renamed before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 9%
Will it be reported by CBC, CTV, Global News, The Globe and Mail, Ottawa Citizen, or Ottawa Sun that Trump Avenue in Ottawa, Canada has been officially renamed before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MO-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 24%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 16.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 16.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Greek general election winner?
K 6.7K contractsWho will win the next Greek general election? (New Democracy)Yes 86.5%
Who will win the next Greek general election? (PASOK-KINAL)Yes 6.8%
Who will win the next Greek general election? (SYRIZA)Yes 3.9%
3 mktsNext deadline Jul 30, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Houston on October 20?
PM $18.5KWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 20?Yes 60.5%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 20?Yes 30.5%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 20?Yes 2.9%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump or the U.S. government sue Jerome Powell in 2026?
K 6.7K contractsWill Donald Trump or the U.S. government sue Jerome Powell before 2027?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Massachusetts Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 30%-35%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 22%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 35%-40%?Yes 21%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-33 House winner?
K 6.7K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-33?Yes 96.8%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-33?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 30%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20.2%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 14.2%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will DOJ formally investigate Watergate prosecutorial misconduct in 2026?
K 6.7K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Department of Justice opens a formal investigation into alleged professional misconduct by Watergate prosecutors before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
PM $18.5KWill Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Yes 22%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Hawaii Senate winner? (2028)
K 6.7K contractsWill Democratics win the Senate race in Hawaii?Yes 88.3%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Hawaii?Yes 11.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 35.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 19.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 8.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-08 House election: Tony Sabio vote percent
K 6.7K contractsWill Tony Sabio receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Tony Sabio receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Tony Sabio receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-08 House election?Yes 96%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 18?
PM $18.5KWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiPolitics
Nevada Governor election: Aaron Ford vote percent
K 6.7K contractsWill Aaron Ford receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Aaron Ford receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Aaron Ford receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election?Yes 93.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
PM $18.5KWill Democrats win exactly 12 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 23%
Will Democrats win exactly 13 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 22.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 19%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-15 House election: Bobby Pulido vote percent
K 6.7K contractsWill Bobby Pulido receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-15 House election?Yes 97%
Will Bobby Pulido receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-15 House election?Yes 97%
Will Bobby Pulido receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-15 House election?Yes 96.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CNN flies with Trump by..?
PM $18.5KWill CNN fly with Trump by October 31?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC