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Showing 289-336 of 2,101 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
K 98.5K contractsWill Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $600 billion?Yes 91%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $500 billion?Yes 89%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $700 billion?Yes 81%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
PM $94.8KWill Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 93.5%
Will John Malkovich be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 88%
Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 86%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 21, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
K 96.4K contractsWill SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketScience
Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?
PM $94.8KWill a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Yes 1.9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
K 95.7K contractsWill Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?Yes 60.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?
PM $90.4KWill Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?Yes 10.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q3
K 95.4K contractsWill Carvana Co. report Above 200000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Carvana Co. report Above 205000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Carvana Co. report Above 210000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026?Yes 88%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price
PM $87.8KWill the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75?Yes 98.3%
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?Yes 98.1%
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?Yes 98.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
MotoGP World Champion
K 92.6K contractsWill Marc Marquez be the 2026 MotoGP World Champion?Yes 75.5%
Will Jorge Martin be the 2026 MotoGP World Champion?Yes 20%
Will Marco Bezzecchi be the 2026 MotoGP World Champion?Yes 3%
+19 moreNext deadline Dec 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $87.4KWill the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes 15%
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 8.5%
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 4.2%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026?
K 92.5K contractsRain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 66%
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 10.5%
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 3.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?
PM $87.3KSituational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Port of Mobile container volume in 2026
K 92.5K contractsWill Port of Mobile container throughput for 2026 be above 425,000 TEUs?Yes 96%
Will Port of Mobile container throughput for 2026 be above 450,000 TEUs?Yes 89%
Will Port of Mobile container throughput for 2026 be above 475,000 TEUs?Yes 86.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
The Game Awards: Game of the Year
PM $86.8KWill Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes 78.5%
Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes 8.5%
Will Control Resonant win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes 5%
+21 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
"Housewife" by Tate McRae · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Oct 31, 2026)
K 91.6K contractsWill "Housewife" rank No. 3–4 on Billboard Hot 100?Yes 42%
Will "Housewife" rank No. 1–2 on Billboard Hot 100?Yes 35.5%
Will "Housewife" rank No. 5–6 on Billboard Hot 100?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
PM $86.1KWill the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes 92.9%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?Yes 76.5%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Yes 71.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCulture
When will Drake release a new album?
PM $85.7K · K 39.1K contractsWill Drake release a new album by December 31?
Kalshi: Will Drake release new album after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027
Related contracts
PM Yes 23%Rules differK Yes 21%
Will Drake release a new album by October 31?
Kalshi: Will Drake release new album after issuance and before Nov 1, 2026
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 14%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Hexed · Rotten Tomatoes score
K 91.4K contractsHexed Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 45)Yes 83.5%
Hexed Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 50)Yes 77.5%
Hexed Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 55)Yes 70.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 7, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Ed Sheeran Loop Tour · Number of Dates Cancelled
K 91.2K contractsWill at least 3 dates from Ed Sheeran's Loop Tour 2026 be cancelled?Yes 28.5%
Will at least 4 dates from Ed Sheeran's Loop Tour 2026 be cancelled?Yes 24.5%
Will at least 5 dates from Ed Sheeran's Loop Tour 2026 be cancelled?Yes 6.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Dec 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
PM $83.1KWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Yes 10%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?
PM $82.6K · K 15.9K contractsWill Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 14%Rules differK Yes 21.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
K 90.3K contractsWill a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before January 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before December 1, 2026?Yes 7%
Will a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague be reported in the United States before November 1, 2026?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Critics Choice Awards: Best Cinematography
K 90.2K contractsWill The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 62.5%
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 8%
Will Werwulf win Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 7.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
PM $81.9KWill Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?Yes 87%
Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?Yes 18.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?
K 89.0K contractsWill the Secretary of State visit India before 2027?Yes 97.5%
Will the Secretary of State visit Uzbekistan before 2027?Yes 95.5%
Will the Secretary of State visit Switzerland before 2027?Yes 27.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner
PM $81.5KWill you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes 41.5%
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes 24.9%
Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes 20.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Will Justin Bieber have a #1 hit this year?
K 88.0K contractsWill Justin Bieber have a #1 hit by Dec 27, 2026?Yes 8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Athlete on Google 2026?
PM $80.7KWill Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Yes 43.5%
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Yes 21%
Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Yes 6.5%
+33 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Top U.S. Streamed Song (On-Demand Audio): 2026
K 84.3K contractsWill Choosin’ Texas be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Most-Streamed Songs of 2026 in U.S. (On-Demand Audio), as Published by Billboard?Yes 93%
Will SWIM be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Most-Streamed Songs of 2026 in U.S. (On-Demand Audio), as Published by Billboard?Yes 2%
Will Ordinary be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Most-Streamed Songs of 2026 in U.S. (On-Demand Audio), as Published by Billboard?Yes 2%
+21 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
PM $80.6KWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes 5%
Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes 4%
+15 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Critics Choice Awards: Best Actor in a Comedy Series
K 83.3K contractsWill Matthew Rhys win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 76.5%
Will Tim Allen win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 5.5%
Will Jeremy Allen White win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 4.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?
PM $79.6KWill Donald Trump publicly praise Flávio Bolsonaro by October 31, 2026?Yes 94%
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Delcy Rodriguez by October 31, 2026?Yes 63%
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Bryson DeChambeau by October 31, 2026?Yes 36.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Original Screenplay
K 82.4K contracts2027 Best Original Screenplay Oscar nominations? (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 82%
2027 Best Original Screenplay Oscar nominations? (The Debut)Yes 67%
2027 Best Original Screenplay Oscar nominations? (Club Kid)Yes 60%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Dancing with the Stars S35: Winner?
PM $79.3KWill Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Yes 57.5%
Will Amber Glenn win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Yes 12.5%
Will Maura Higgins win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Yes 11%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
K 80.7K contractsWill Meta release A model called Llama 5 or greater before Jan 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
PM $78.8KWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 67.5%
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 29.5%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 4%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?
K 80.4K contractsWill the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Uganda?Yes 40.5%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Democratic Republic of the Congo?Yes 14%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Syria?Yes 10.3%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
PM $78.3KWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 76.9%
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 20.9%
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 2.6%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Buffalo vs Las Vegas: Receptions
K 77.8K contractsDalton Kincaid: 2+ receptionsYes 89.5%
Khalil Shakir: 2+ receptionsYes 86.5%
Brock Bowers: 4+ receptionsYes 86.5%
+78 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
PM $78.1KUS Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Critics Choice Awards: Best Picture
K 77.1K contractsWill The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 62%
Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 14.5%
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 7.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 4, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
3rd Largest Company end of October?
PM $77.8KWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes 79.5%
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes 20.5%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes 1.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?
K 76.8K contractsWill Ghislaine Maxwell be released from custody before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026?
PM $77.8KNara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Grammy nominees: Album of the Year
K 76.6K contracts2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? (you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love)Yes 92.5%
2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? (The Art of Loving)Yes 90.5%
2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? (Lux)Yes 88.5%
+25 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PM $76.7KWill Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 52.5%
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 44.5%
Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 2.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Grand Theft Auto VI: Songs on radio at launch
K 76.6K contractsWhat songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? (Pepas)Yes 48.5%
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? (Mask Off)Yes 34.5%
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? (Bad and Boujee)Yes 32.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Who will be the top-selling artist by total auction sales in 2026?
PM $76.7KWill Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Yes 18.9%
Will Andy Warhol be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Yes 2%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC