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Showing 3,601-3,648 of 8,674 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Georgia's 12th District margin of victory
K 7.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 12th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 78%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 12th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 68.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 12th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 58%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Colorado Senate Election: Turnout
PM $12.9KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado be between 2,550,000 and 2,700,000?Yes 31.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado be between 2,700,000 and 2,850,000?Yes 26%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado be between 2,400,000 and 2,550,000?Yes 21.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction winner?
K 7.9K contractsWill Kimberly Yee win the 2026 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election?Yes 52.5%
Will Teresa Leyba Ruiz win the 2026 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election?Yes 45%
Will Stephen Neal Jr. win the 2026 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election?Yes 1.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above __?
PM $12.8KWill Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.25B?Yes 89.1%
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.5B?Yes 86.3%
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.75B?Yes 50.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
MacBook base model price on Black Friday
K 7.9K contractsWill the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $750 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 97%
Will the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $700 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 96.5%
Will the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $650 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 17%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?
PM $12.8KJD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?Yes 89%
Another candidate is the 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?Yes 6.5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?Yes 3.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-12 House election: Lucian Wintrich vote percent
K 7.9K contractsWill Lucian Wintrich receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 6.5%
Will Lucian Wintrich receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 5.5%
Will Lucian Wintrich receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 4%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NV-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $12.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 15.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 15.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
PA-10 House winner?
PM $12.8K · K 39.7K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the PA-10 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for PA-10?
Related contracts
PM Yes 81%Rules differK Yes 79.5%
Will the Republican Party win the PA-10 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for PA-10?
Related contracts
PM Yes 19.5%Rules differK Yes 19.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Swalwell, Gonzales, Mills, and Cherfilus-McCormick out as Representatives?
K 7.9K contractsWill the number of Representatives Tony Gonzales, Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick who leave the U.S. House of Representatives (with an actual departure date, per EFFECTIVELEAVE contract) be exactly 4 before November 3, 2026?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Visual Effects
K 7.9K contractsWill Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 92.5%
Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 92.5%
Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 90%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-10 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $12.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-10 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-10 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 28.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-10 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Jan 2028?
K 7.9K contractsWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their January 2028 meeting?Yes 65%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their January 2028 meeting?Yes 11.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their January 2028 meeting?Yes 11%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 26, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine
PM $12.8KWill Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?Yes 47.5%
Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?Yes 18.4%
Will Democrats win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?Yes 13.9%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
How much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026?
K 7.9K contractsWill the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.1% in September 2026?Yes 99%
Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.0% in September 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.2% in September 2026?Yes 97%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-07 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $12.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 19%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
K 7.9K contractsWill Dave Bronson receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Dave Bronson receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 94.5%
Will Dave Bronson receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?
PM $12.8KWill Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027?Yes 70.5%
Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027?Yes 23%
Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.6%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Vermont?
K 7.9K contractsWill Proposal 3 pass?Yes 90%
Will Proposal 4 pass?Yes 87%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $12.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 22%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will the FY2027 NDAA become law?
K 7.8K contractsWill legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year become law before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 85%
Will legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 80%
Will legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year become law before Dec 25, 2026?Yes 61%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TN-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $12.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 31.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 27%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arkansas Governor margin of victory
K 7.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 94.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 91%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 81%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Mexico Senate Election: Turnout
PM $12.7KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 650,000 and 700,000?Yes 22.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 700,000 and 750,000?Yes 20.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 750,000 and 800,000?Yes 17.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Will Anthropic sign the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter?
K 7.8K contractsWill Anthropic announce signing of the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Launceston Mayoral Election Winner
PM $12.6KWill Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?Yes 60.5%
Will Kyle Barrett win the next Launceston mayoral election?Yes 20%
Will Paul Mallett win the next Launceston mayoral election?Yes 4%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
First Circuit fully affirms Harvard funding ruling?
K 7.8K contractsWill the U.S. Court of Appeals for the First Circuit rule affirms in its entirety the district court's October 20, 2025 final judgment for Harvard?Yes 40.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
South Carolina Senate Election: Turnout
PM $12.6KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,800,000 and 2,000,000?Yes 38.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?Yes 36.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?Yes 19.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Montana cattle inventory rise YoY?
K 7.8K contractsWill Montana’s inventory of all cattle and calves for January 1, 2027 be above 2,140,000 head?Yes 33.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by October 31?
PM $12.6KWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.05T by October 31?Yes >99.9%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by October 31?Yes 67%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.2T by October 31?Yes 24%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor in a Drama Series
K 7.8K contractsWill Noah Wyle be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 95%
Will Sterling K. Brown be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 83%
Will Rufus Sewell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 66.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 4, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $12.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 29%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa Secretary of State winner?
K 7.8K contractsWill Paul D. Pate win the 2026 Iowa Secretary of State election?Yes 80.5%
Will Ryan Peterman win the 2026 Iowa Secretary of State election?Yes 17.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $12.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-07 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 24.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-07 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-07 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 15.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
K 7.8K contractsWill the House pass a reconciliation bill before January 01, 2027?Yes 20%
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 01, 2026?Yes 6%
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before November 01, 2026?Yes 1.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-17 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $12.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 31%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 28%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 23.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026
K 7.7K contractsWill daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above -30bps?Yes 98%
Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above -20bps?Yes 97.5%
Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above -10bps?Yes 96%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Georgia Governor Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $12.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Lowest natural gas spot price in 2026
K 7.7K contractsWill the price of natural gas get below $2.00 per million BTU before January 1, 2027?Yes 28.5%
Will the price of natural gas get below $2.20 per million BTU before January 1, 2027?Yes 25%
Will the price of natural gas get below $2.40 per million BTU before January 1, 2027?Yes 23%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Hradec Králové
PM $12.6KWill Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Yes 92.5%
Will Lukáš Fiedler be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Yes 3.5%
Will Martin Soukup be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Yes 2.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-25 House election: Kloud Walton vote percent
K 7.7K contractsWill Kloud Walton receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-25 House election?Yes 16%
Will Kloud Walton receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-25 House election?Yes 4.5%
Will Kloud Walton receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-25 House election?Yes 3%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CZ # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?
PM $12.6KWill CZ post 20-39 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 96.1%
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 3.4%
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 0.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TN-04 House winner?
K 7.7K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TN-04?Yes 97.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for TN-04?Yes 0.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?
PM $12.5KWill Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 63.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 31.5%
Will Democrats win 3 or more House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 5.9%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will any state enact a data center moratorium law?
K 7.7K contractsWill any state enact data center moratorium legislation before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 92.5%
Will any state enact data center moratorium legislation before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 65%
Will any state enact data center moratorium legislation before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 35.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Anwar Ibrahim out as Prime Minister of Malaysia by...?
PM $12.5KWill Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in Louisiana?
K 7.7K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 1 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Louisiana?Yes 93%
Will Democrats win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Louisiana?Yes 4.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Louisiana?Yes 3%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $12.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 31%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-11 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-11 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 22%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC