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Showing 3,649-3,696 of 7,539 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?
K 4.2K contractsWill the number of Wisconsin State Senate seats held by Republicans be at least 22 after the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 50%
Will the number of South Carolina House of Representatives seats held by Republicans be at least 83 after the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 50%
Will the number of Ohio Senate seats held by Republicans be at least 20 after the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 50%
+18 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next US Senate Minority Leader?
PM $12.1KWill John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?Yes 45.5%
Will Chuck Schumer be the next US Senate Minority Leader?Yes 32%
Will John Barrasso be the next US Senate Minority Leader?Yes 4.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will courts let the 75-country visa suspension resume?
K 4.2K contractsWill federal courts unblocked the policy suspending immigrant visa processing for 75 countries before Nov 24, 2026?Yes 37%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 24, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CZ # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?
PM $12.1KWill CZ post 20-39 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 77%
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 23.7%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 0.8%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Lucas County, Ohio: Sherrod Brown vote percent
K 4.2K contractsWill Sherrod Brown receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Lucas County, Ohio?Yes 94.5%
Will Sherrod Brown receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Lucas County, Ohio?Yes 86.5%
Will Sherrod Brown receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Lucas County, Ohio?Yes 68.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?
PM $12.1KWill the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Yes 86%
Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026?Yes 85.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AZ-05 House election: Elizabeth Lee vote percent
K 4.2K contractsWill Elizabeth Lee receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-05 House election?Yes 96%
Will Elizabeth Lee receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-05 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Elizabeth Lee receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-05 House election?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Abia, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $12.1KWill Otti Alex Chioma win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election?Yes 89.5%
Will Eric Opah win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election?Yes 4.7%
Will Ceekay Igara win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election?Yes 4.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
TX-34 House winner?
PM $12.0K · K 82.5K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for TX-34?
Related contracts
PM Yes 83%Rules differK Yes 83.5%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-34 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for TX-34?
Related contracts
PM Yes 16.5%Rules differK Yes 16.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner?
K 4.2K contractsWill the Democratic party win the Lt. Gov race in Georgia?Yes 58.5%
Will the Republican party win the Lt. Gov race in Georgia?Yes 42%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
US imports of goods from China in 2026
K 4.2K contractsWill U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $300 billion?Yes 72.5%
Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $280 billion?Yes 53%
Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $260 billion?Yes 23.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
PM $12.0KWill Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?Yes 88.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Sylvia Luke out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii?
K 4.2K contractsWill Sylvia Luke be out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AZ-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $12.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 24%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SC-05 House election: Mallory Dittmer vote percent
K 4.2K contractsWill Mallory Dittmer receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-05 House election?Yes 97%
Will Mallory Dittmer receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-05 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Mallory Dittmer receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-05 House election?Yes 92.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by...?
PM $12.0KZack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by March 31?Yes 31.5%
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31?Yes 13%
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by October 31?Yes 5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-06 House election: Addison McDowell vote percent
K 4.2K contractsWill Addison McDowell receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-06 House election?Yes 89.5%
Will Addison McDowell receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-06 House election?Yes 76.5%
Will Addison McDowell receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-06 House election?Yes 62%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Plateau, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $12.0KWill Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election?Yes 82%
Will Kefas Ropshik win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election?Yes 14.6%
Will John Sunday Sura win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election?Yes 2.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/17-10/23)
K 4.2K contractsWill Trump endorse at least 10 people on Truth Social this week?Yes 91.5%
Will Trump endorse at least 15 people on Truth Social this week?Yes 59%
Will Trump endorse at least 20 people on Truth Social this week?Yes 39.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Somali Pirates successfully seize a vessel by...?
PM $12.0KWill Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by November 30, 2026?Yes 61%
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by October 31, 2026?Yes 29%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?
K 4.2K contractsWill the Department of Defense or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 40.5%
Will the Department of Defense or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 33.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OK-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 23.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 18%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
West Virginia Senate margin of victory
K 4.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 91.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 28 percentage points?Yes 85.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.9KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 28.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 23.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 21%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maricopa County, Arizona: Katie Hobbs vote percent
K 4.2K contractsWill Katie Hobbs receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona?Yes 97%
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona?Yes 95.5%
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona?Yes 81.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Keelung Mayor Election Winner
PM $11.9KWill Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election?Yes 73.5%
Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election?Yes 27.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 20, 2026?
K 4.2K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 67%
Will the maximum temperature be 71-72° on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 27%
Will the maximum temperature be 67-68° on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout
PM $11.9KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?Yes 41%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000?Yes 33.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?Yes 10.9%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 19, 2026?
K 4.2K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 76-77° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 85%
Will the minimum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 14%
Will the minimum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 1.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Oyo, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $11.9KWill Abimbola Adekanmbi win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election?Yes 58.5%
Will Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election?Yes 37%
Will Yusuf Akim Adebola win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election?Yes 3.6%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
NV-03 House winner?
PM $11.9K · K 19.4K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the NV-03 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for NV-3?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96%Rules differK Yes 94.8%
Will the Republican Party win the NV-03 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for NV-3?
Related contracts
PM Yes 5%Rules differK Yes 4.9%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?
K 4.2K contractsWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?Yes 25.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?Yes 15%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?Yes 14%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Stowe Mountain Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 4.2K contractsWill Stowe Mountain Resort open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Stowe Mountain Resort open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will Stowe Mountain Resort open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 79.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?
PM $11.9KFlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?Yes 0.6%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-30 House winner?
K 4.2K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for TX-30?Yes 97.8%
Will Republican win the House race for TX-30?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 21.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 21%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
CT-05 House winner?
PM $11.8K · K 8.4K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the CT-05 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for CT-5?
Related contracts
PM Yes 95.9%Rules differK Yes 94.9%
Will the Republican Party win the CT-05 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for CT-5?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 4.8%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-39 House winner?
K 4.2K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-39?Yes 97%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-39?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Gwinnett County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
K 4.1K contractsWill Jon Ossoff receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?Yes 96%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?Yes 87%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?Yes 67.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 26%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 20.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will a farm bill become law?
K 4.1K contractsWill an omnibus, multiyear law that governs an array of agricultural and food programs become law before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 53.5%
Will an omnibus, multiyear law that governs an array of agricultural and food programs become law before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 34.5%
Will an omnibus, multiyear law that governs an array of agricultural and food programs become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 19.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-21 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 24.3%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oregon's 4th District margin of victory
K 4.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 90.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 80%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 70%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 33%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.2%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-10 House winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for GA-10?Yes 96.3%
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-10?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 15%-18%?Yes 28.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 18%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 17.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
K 4.1K contractsWill Northern Ireland confirm a reunification referendum before 2030?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on October 20?
PM $11.7KWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 20?Yes 64.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 20?Yes 22.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 20?Yes 14.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC