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Showing 3,649-3,696 of 7,936 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Maryland?
K 5.4K contractsWill Question 2 pass?Yes 77.5%
Will Question 1 pass?Yes 76.5%
Will Question 3 pass?Yes 66%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 26%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 24.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Winnipeg mayoral election winner?
K 5.4K contractsWill Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Yes 81.5%
Will Kevin Klein win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Yes 8%
Will Mazher Alam win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Yes 4%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 23.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 21%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 21%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan's 3rd District margin of victory
K 5.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 3rd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 91.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 3rd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 86%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 3rd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 78%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Senate Three-Way Combo: Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire
PM $14.2KWill Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?Yes 66.5%
Will Republicans win the Michigan Senate seat, and Democrats win Minnesota and New Hampshire?Yes 21.3%
Will Democrats win the Michigan and New Hampshire Senate seats, and Republicans win Minnesota?Yes 6.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Midterms: which party wins independents?
K 5.4K contractsWill Democrats win independents in the exit poll?Yes 78%
Will Republicans win independents in the exit poll?Yes 23%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?
PM $14.2KEpstein storage units raided in 2026?Yes 4.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-05 House winner?
K 5.4K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-05?Yes 98%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-05?Yes 1.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 33%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 27.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 20.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-04 House winner?
K 5.4K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-04?Yes 96%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-04?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by...?
PM $14.1KSaudi troops enter Marib Governorate by December 31, 2026?Yes 15%
Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Chile rate decision in October
PM $14.1K · K 31.4K contractsWill the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.4%Rules differK Yes 96.5%
Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 1%
Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.8%Rules differK Yes 1.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Lollapalooza Chicago 2027: Who will perform
K 5.4K contractsWill Billie Eilish perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 75.5%
Will KATSEYE perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 40.5%
Will Addison Rae perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 40%
+130 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Alani Bankhead drop out?
K 5.4K contractsWill Alani Bankhead drop out of the 2026 Montana Senate race before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
PM $14.1KWill Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 43%
Will J.D. Vance be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 39.5%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 20.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Next Serbian presidential election winner?
K 5.4K contractsWill SNS-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?Yes 51.5%
Will Student-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?Yes 50%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AL-02 House election: Shomari Figures vote percent
K 5.4K contractsWill Shomari Figures receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-02 House election?Yes 96%
Will Shomari Figures receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-02 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Shomari Figures receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-02 House election?Yes 82.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
DE-AL House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 25%-30%?Yes 52%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 20%-25%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 30%-35%?Yes 18.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be the next Senate Judiciary chair?
K 5.4K contractsWill Sheldon Whitehouse be the next chair of the United States Senate Committee on the Judiciary before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 54%
Will Mike Lee be the next chair of the United States Senate Committee on the Judiciary before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 31.5%
Will Ted Cruz be the next chair of the United States Senate Committee on the Judiciary before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 11%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
ID-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 37.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Sara Duterte out as Vice President of the Philippines?
K 5.4K contractsWill Sara Duterte be out as Vice President of the Philippines before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 35.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WI-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 15.3%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Vermont Governor margin of victory
K 5.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 70%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 56%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 44%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
PM $14.0KWill Josh Shapiro be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 34.8%
Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 17.2%
Will Pete Buttigieg be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alabama Governor margin of victory
K 5.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Alabama be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 92.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Alabama be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 83%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Alabama be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 76.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TN-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 24.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-07 House election: Claire Valdez vote percent
K 5.4K contractsWill Claire Valdez receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-07 House election?Yes 96%
Will Claire Valdez receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-07 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Claire Valdez receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-07 House election?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WY-AL House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 35%-40%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 30%-35%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 40%-45%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Tennessee regulate data center water use?
K 5.4K contractsWill Tennessee regulate data center water use?Yes 34.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner
PM $14.0KWill Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Yes 54.5%
Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Yes 39%
Will Stephanie Bowman win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Yes 5.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Drama Series
K 5.4K contractsWill The Pitt be on the list of nominees for Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 93%
Will Paradise be on the list of nominees for Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 79%
Will The Diplomat be on the list of nominees for Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 71%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Peterborough, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $14.0KWill Neil Morton win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?Yes 43.5%
Will Keith Riel win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?Yes 28.5%
Will Michael Eamon win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?Yes 13%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will AI score above 65 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index?
K 5.3K contractsAA Intelligence Index above 65 before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 80%
AA Intelligence Index above 65 before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 72.5%
AA Intelligence Index above 65 before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 64.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Burlington, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $13.9KWill Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?Yes 66%
Will Rory Nisan win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?Yes 24.5%
Will Lisa Kearns win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?Yes 7.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
How many locally acquired dengue cases will be reported in Florida in 2026?
K 5.3K contracts250 or more locally acquired dengue cases in Florida during 2026Yes 97%
500 or more locally acquired dengue cases in Florida during 2026Yes 72.5%
750 or more locally acquired dengue cases in Florida during 2026Yes 18.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
X banned in any European country by December 31?
PM $13.9KX banned in any European country by December 31?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 26th District margin of victory
K 5.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 26th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 85.2%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 26th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 74%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 26th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 60%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
PM $13.8KAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the US lose measles elimination status in 2026?
K 5.3K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that PAHO's Regional Verification Commission (RVC) determines that endemic measles transmission has been re-established in the United States before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 78%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WV-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 17.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AL-05 House winner?
K 5.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for AL-05?Yes 94%
Will Democratic win the House race for AL-05?Yes 5.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner
PM $13.8KWill Chen Chen-chung win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Yes 54%
Will Wu Shu-chin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Yes 38%
Will Yeh Chu-lin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Yes 14.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?
K 5.3K contractsWill California statewide elected official or Governor's cabinet member be charged with a fraud crime before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Idaho Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
FL-13 House winner?
PM $13.8K · K 47.7K contractsWill the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for FL-13?
Related contracts
PM Yes 74%Rules differK Yes 76%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for FL-13?
Related contracts
PM Yes 25.5%Rules differK Yes 25%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania Governor election: Stacy Garrity vote percent
K 5.3K contractsWill Stacy Garrity receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Stacy Garrity receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Stacy Garrity receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 88%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC