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Showing 337-384 of 634 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?
K 2.3K contractsWill a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 19?
PM $3.9KWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 19?Yes 62.5%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 19?Yes 22.5%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 19?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on Oct 19, 2026?
K 2.3K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 70-71° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 43.5%
Will the maximum temperature be >73° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 5.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Denver on October 20?
PM $3.9KWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 20?Yes 54%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 20?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 20?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 19, 2026?
K 2.2K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 54.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 23.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 14.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Seattle on October 19?
PM $3.8KWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 19?Yes 52.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 19?Yes 28.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 19?Yes 11.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Denver in Nov 2026?
K 2.2K contractsRain in Denver in Nov 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 51%
Rain in Denver in Nov 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 51%
Rain in Denver in Nov 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 50.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chengdu on October 20?
PM $3.8KWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 20?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 20?Yes 24%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 20?Yes 23.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Newark on Oct 18, 2026?
K 2.1K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 61-62° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 54%
Will the maximum temperature be 59-60° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will the maximum temperature be >62° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 19?
PM $3.6KWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 19?Yes 35%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 19?Yes 32.5%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 19?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Newark on Oct 18, 2026?
K 2.1K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 37-38° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 33-34° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 2.5%
Will the minimum temperature be >40° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on October 20?
PM $3.4KWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 20?Yes 52.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 20?Yes 32.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 20?Yes 9%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157)?
K 2.0K contractsWill the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment of completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 95%
Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment of completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 87.5%
Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment of completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 65%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
US Tornadoes in September 2026
PM $3.4KWill there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?Yes 85%
Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?Yes 14.5%
Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?Yes 14.3%
+2 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
Cincinnati cumulative Heating Degree Days (Oct 1 - Dec 31, 2026)
K 2.0K contractsHDD at Cincinnati below 1,450.00?Yes 55%
HDD at Cincinnati below 1,650.00?Yes 50.5%
HDD at Cincinnati below 1,600.00?Yes 50.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in London on October 20?
PM $3.3KWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 20?Yes 38.5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?Yes 37.5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 20?Yes 13%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Dallas on Oct 18, 2026?
K 2.0K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 49-50° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 47-48° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 45-46° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 19?
PM $3.3KWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 19?Yes 41%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 19?Yes 24%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 19?Yes 3.1%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Columbus in Oct 2026?
K 1.9K contractsRain in Columbus in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 46.5%
Rain in Columbus in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 38%
Rain in Columbus in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 19%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?
PM $3.2KWill the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?Yes 24%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 18, 2026?
K 1.8K contractsWill the minimum temperature be >64° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 82%
Will the minimum temperature be 63-64° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 16%
Will the minimum temperature be 61-62° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 3%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Qingdao on October 20?
PM $3.1KWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 20?Yes 30.5%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 20?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 20?Yes 18.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes
K 1.8K contractsWill the United Kingdom agree to or announce the removal or replacement of the Renewables Obligation Certificate buy-out fund redistribution mechanism before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 46%
Will the United Kingdom agree to or announce the termination of the Renewables Obligation scheme for existing accredited generators before their scheduled end dates before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 20%
Will the United Kingdom agree to or announce the adoption of an inflation index other than CPI for the Renewables Obligation buy-out price before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 13.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 20?
PM $3.1KWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 20?Yes 57.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 20?Yes 37%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 20?Yes 4%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?
K 1.7K contractsWill the FDA approve VERVE-102 before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 83%
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102 before Jan 1, 2034?Yes 79.5%
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102 before Jan 1, 2033?Yes 75%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on October 18?
PM $3.0KWill the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on October 18?Yes 52.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C on October 18?Yes 34.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -1°C on October 18?Yes 17%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
How many major Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
K 1.7K contractsWill there be more than 3 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 20.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in NYC on October 20?
PM $2.9KWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 20?Yes 51.5%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 20?Yes 31.5%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 20?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 18, 2026?
K 1.7K contractsWill the minimum temperature be >67° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 69.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 28%
Will the minimum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 4.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Busan on October 20?
PM $2.9KWill the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 20?Yes 35.5%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 20?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 20?Yes 22%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
How many Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
K 1.7K contractsWill there be more than 5 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 31%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
PM $2.8KWill 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?Yes 13.7%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Austin on Oct 19, 2026?
K 1.6K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 78-79° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 52.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 80-81° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 25.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 76-77° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 10.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?
PM $2.7KAll-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?Yes 17.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in San Diego on Oct 18, 2026?
K 1.6K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 85-86° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 45%
Will the maximum temperature be 83-84° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 30.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 87-88° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 4.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 20?
PM $2.7KWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 20?Yes 48.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?Yes 28%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 20?Yes 18%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 18, 2026?
K 1.6K contractsWill the minimum temperature be >46° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 45-46° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 3.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 43-44° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 3.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 20?
PM $2.6KWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 20?Yes 51.5%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?Yes 37%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 20?Yes 8.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Snow in Pittsburgh in Dec 2026?
K 1.5K contractsSnow in Pittsburgh in Dec 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 51%
Snow in Pittsburgh in Dec 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 38.5%
Snow in Pittsburgh in Dec 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 33.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on October 19?
PM $2.5KWill the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 14°C on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 19?Yes 50%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Rene category?
K 1.5K contractsWill Rene become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 7.5%
Will Rene become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 7.5%
Will Rene become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 6%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Cape Town on October 20?
PM $2.4KWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 20?Yes 39.5%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 20?Yes 38.5%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 20?Yes 15.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Trenton on Oct 18, 2026?
K 1.5K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 35-36° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98%
Will the minimum temperature be 29-30° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1%
Will the minimum temperature be >36° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
October 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
PM $2.3KWill global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026?Yes 44.5%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026?Yes 29.5%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026?Yes 23%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Oct 2026 temperature increase?
K 1.5K contractsOct 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)Yes 97%
Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)Yes 3.5%
Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)Yes 3%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 13, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in London on October 19?
PM $2.2KWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 19?Yes 48%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 19?Yes 30%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 19?Yes 13%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Denver on Oct 19, 2026?
K 1.4K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 47.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 71-72° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 38.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 67-68° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 10.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Dallas on October 20?
PM $2.2KWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 20?Yes 55.5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 20?Yes 25%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 20?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC