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Showing 3,889-3,936 of 8,736 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Hawaii Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 6.9K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Hawaii Governor General Election be above 310000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Hawaii Governor General Election be above 330000?Yes 85.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Hawaii Governor General Election be above 350000?Yes 83%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Next Mayor of Ostrava
PM $10.6KWill Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava?Yes 95%
Will Jan Dohnal be the next Mayor of Ostrava?Yes 3.5%
Will Ivana Lucáková Nesétová be the next Mayor of Ostrava?Yes 1.9%
+6 more
KalshiPolitics

MN-08 House election: Trina Swanson vote percent
K 6.9K contractsWill Trina Swanson receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-08 House election?Yes 92%
Will Trina Swanson receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-08 House election?Yes 87.5%
Will Trina Swanson receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-08 House election?Yes 79.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
PM $10.6KAnthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials

Shein Credit Card Spend in October
K 6.9K contractsWill Shein Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 73 ?Yes 98.5%
Will Shein Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 81 ?Yes 87%
Will Shein Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 84 ?Yes 55.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

GA-05 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $10.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 75%-80%?Yes 25.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 70%-75%?Yes 18%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Massachusetts's 2nd District margin of victory
K 6.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 44 percentage points?Yes 96.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 96.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 35 percentage points?Yes 96.8%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Colorado Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 30% or more?Yes 28%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 21.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Iowa's 2nd District margin of victory
K 6.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 56.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 42.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 25.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Milton, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.5KWill Gord Krantz win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?Yes 50.5%
Will Sameera Ali win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?Yes 20.5%
Will George Minakakis win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?Yes 18%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent
K 6.9K contractsWill Ken Paxton receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Ken Paxton receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 94%
Will Ken Paxton receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 82%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 16%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 12.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Nevada's 1st District margin of victory
K 6.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 85.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 85.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

PA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 34.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 24.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Scott County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill Josh Turek receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Scott County, Iowa?Yes 96.5%
Will Josh Turek receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Scott County, Iowa?Yes 86.5%
Will Josh Turek receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Scott County, Iowa?Yes 65.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Serbian presidential election called by...?
PM $10.5KWill Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026?Yes 53.9%
Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 31, 2026?Yes 26%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

IN-08 House winner?
K 6.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for IN-08?Yes 94.7%
Will Democratic win the House race for IN-08?Yes 5.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NM-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 16.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 16.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming?
K 6.8K contractsWill Trump reverse the Lake America renaming before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8%
Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Sault Ste. Marie, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.4KWill Matthew Shoemaker win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?Yes 62.5%
Will Joel Rowswell win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?Yes 36.5%
Will Selva Rasaiah win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?Yes 0.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
K 6.8K contractsWill Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 74.5%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 69%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 53.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo
PM $10.4KWill Republicans win the New Hampshire Governor election and Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate election?Yes 84%
Will Republicans sweep the New Hampshire Senate and Governor elections?Yes 11%
Will Democrats sweep the New Hampshire Senate and Governor elections?Yes 3.9%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Iowa's 1st District margin of victory
K 6.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 5.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 3.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 2.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout
PM $10.4KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000?Yes 40%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 170,000 and 190,000?Yes 22.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be 250,000 or more?Yes 7.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many House seats will Democrats win in Tennessee?
K 6.8K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Tennessee?Yes 83%
Will Democrats win exactly 1 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Tennessee?Yes 14%
Will Democrats win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Tennessee?Yes 3%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Louisiana governor winner? (2027)
K 6.8K contractsWill the Republican party win the governorship in LouisianaYes 89.5%
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in LouisianaYes 9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 12, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-29 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 18.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill the People's Party receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 93.5%
Will the People's Party receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 79%
Will the People's Party receive at least 31% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 65%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 23.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Russia Nominal GDP in 2026
K 6.8K contractsRussia Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $2.3 trillion)Yes 97.6%
Russia Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $2.2 trillion)Yes 96.8%
Russia Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $2.4 trillion)Yes 94.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Nevada Governor Election: Washoe County Winner
PM $10.3KWill the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes 69%
Will the Republicans win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes 28.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California Governor margin of victory
K 6.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in California be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 94.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in California be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 91%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in California be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 88%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MI-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 23.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CO-01 House election: Shimon Blau vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill Shimon Blau receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Shimon Blau receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 64%
Will Shimon Blau receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 40%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Sorell Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.3KWill Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes 70.5%
Will Kristian Horvath win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes 21%
Will Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes 1.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Major news story in Oct 2026?
K 6.8K contractsWill the number of full-width New York Times front page headlines be at least 1 in Oct 2026?Yes 13%
Will the number of full-width New York Times front page headlines be at least 2 in Oct 2026?Yes 5.5%
Will the number of full-width New York Times front page headlines be at least 3 in Oct 2026?Yes 3%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 30, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Minnesota Senate Election: Turnout
PM $10.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,750,000 and 2,900,000?Yes 30.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,900,000 and 3,050,000?Yes 29.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000?Yes 15%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

RI-02 House election: Seth Magaziner vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill Seth Magaziner receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 RI-02 House election?Yes 98%
Will Seth Magaziner receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 RI-02 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Seth Magaziner receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 RI-02 House election?Yes 97%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NJ-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 24.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld

Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?
PM $10.2K · K 7.0K contractsJair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 74.5%Rules differK Yes 72%
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 61%Rules differK Yes 72%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 24, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

OH-05 House winner?
K 6.7K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OH-05?Yes 94.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for OH-05?Yes 4.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Tennessee's 5th District margin of victory
K 6.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 4.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OR-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 28%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

UT-04 House election: Steven Burt vote percent
K 6.7K contractsWill Steven Burt receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 92%
Will Steven Burt receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 69.5%
Will Steven Burt receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 43%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner
PM $10.2KWill the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 67.5%
Will the Republicans win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 30%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

When will Ottawa's Trump Avenue be renamed?
K 6.7K contractsWill it be reported by CBC, CTV, Global News, The Globe and Mail, Ottawa Citizen, or Ottawa Sun that Trump Avenue in Ottawa, Canada has been officially renamed before Sep 1, 2027?Yes 24%
Will it be reported by CBC, CTV, Global News, The Globe and Mail, Ottawa Citizen, or Ottawa Sun that Trump Avenue in Ottawa, Canada has been officially renamed before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 9%
Will it be reported by CBC, CTV, Global News, The Globe and Mail, Ottawa Citizen, or Ottawa Sun that Trump Avenue in Ottawa, Canada has been officially renamed before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

UT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 19.8%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC