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Showing 3,889-3,936 of 7,442 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

TN-07 House election: Darden Copeland vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Darden Copeland receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-07 House election?Yes 96%
Will Darden Copeland receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-07 House election?Yes 96%
Will Darden Copeland receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-07 House election?Yes 86%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Alabama Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $9.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 20%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Connecticut's 2nd District margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 2nd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 93.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 2nd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 93.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 2nd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 85.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner
PM $9.8KWill Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?Yes 59%
Will Wu Tsung-hsien win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?Yes 32.5%
Will Chen Wan-hui win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?Yes 6.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Will China abolish birth limits?
K 3.8K contractsWill People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of all nationwide numerical limits on the number of children an individual or couple may have before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 58.5%
Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of all nationwide numerical limits on the number of children an individual or couple may have before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 40%
Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of all nationwide numerical limits on the number of children an individual or couple may have before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 26.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
PM $9.8KConservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?Yes 4.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NC-13 House election: Brad Knott vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Brad Knott receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-13 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Brad Knott receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-13 House election?Yes 82.5%
Will Brad Knott receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-13 House election?Yes 66.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

AZ-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $9.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 14.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 14%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New York's 19th District margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 93.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 87.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 78%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Banská Bystrica Mayoral Election Winner
PM $9.8KWill Diana Javorčíková win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?Yes 68.5%
Will Ján Nosko win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?Yes 30.5%
Will Tomáš Sobota win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?Yes 0.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Will Adam Hamilton outperform the polls?
K 3.8K contractsWill Adam Hamilton outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas?Yes 38%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NYC Mayor # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?
PM $9.8KWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 97.2%
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 3.3%
Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 0.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many ties will J.D. Vance break in 2026?
K 3.8K contractsWill J.D. Vance cast exactly 1 tie-breaking vote in the Senate in 2026?Yes 36%
Will J.D. Vance cast exactly 2 tie-breaking vote in the Senate in 2026?Yes 19.5%
Will J.D. Vance cast exactly 3 tie-breaking vote in the Senate in 2026?Yes 18%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NC-14 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $9.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 18.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 35th District margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 35th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 32%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 35th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 20%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 35th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 9.3%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?
PM $9.7KWill 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes 40.5%
Will 6 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes 27.9%
Will 5 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes 27.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

SC-01 House election: Margo Ellis vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Margo Ellis receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-01 House election?Yes 4%
Will Margo Ellis receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-01 House election?Yes 4%
Will Margo Ellis receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-01 House election?Yes 4%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?
PM $9.7KWill Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

College Football: Top 25 Ranked Teams on Nov 15 AP Poll
K 3.8K contractsWill Notre Dame be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 96.5%
Will Ohio St. be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 96%
Will Georgia be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 95%
+72 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IEA asks Germany to release oil stocks by...?
PM $9.7KWill the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by December 31?Yes 20.5%
Will the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by October 31?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

GA-03 House winner?
K 3.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for GA-03?Yes 96.7%
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-03?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Oregon Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $9.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 23%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?
K 3.8K contractsWill Dune: Part Three be delayed?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?
PM $9.6KIsraeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?Yes 8%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Paraguayan Senate election winner?
K 3.8K contractsWho will win the next Paraguayan Senate election? (Colorado)Yes 80.5%
Who will win the next Paraguayan Senate election? (PLRA)Yes 15%
Who will win the next Paraguayan Senate election? (PEN)Yes 2.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 30, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MD-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $9.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 15%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Colorado's 3rd District margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 3rd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 16.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 3rd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 3rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 0%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Baja California Congress Election Winner
PM $9.6KWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election?Yes 73.5%
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election?Yes 9.5%
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election?Yes 8.2%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Prešov mayoral election winner?
K 3.8K contractsWill František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Yes 82.5%
Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Yes 15%
Will Pavel Hagyari win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Yes 3%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 24, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?
PM $9.6KWill Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?Yes 14.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television
K 3.8K contractsWill David Harbour be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 95.5%
Will Charles Melton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 75.5%
Will Jason Bateman be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 70.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $9.6KWill Solomon Olamilekan Adeola win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?Yes 77%
Will Rotimi Babajide win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?Yes 8.6%
Will Bolaji Odusina win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?Yes 5.8%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Patient Zero weeks at #1: 2026
K 3.8K contractsWill Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 4 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 41.5%
Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 5 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 6%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Tennessee Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $9.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Oklahoma Governor election: Cyndi Munson vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Cyndi Munson receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Cyndi Munson receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Cyndi Munson receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Mississippi Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
PM $9.5KWill total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 800,000 and 900,000?Yes 41.5%
Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 900,000 and 1,000,000?Yes 26.7%
Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 700,000 and 800,000?Yes 25%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

FL-22 House election: Casey Askar vote percent
K 3.7K contractsWill Casey Askar receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-22 House election?Yes 87.5%
Will Casey Askar receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-22 House election?Yes 73.5%
Will Casey Askar receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-22 House election?Yes 56.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Košice Mayoral Election Winner
PM $9.5KWill Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?Yes 58%
Will Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?Yes 28.5%
Will Martin Mudrák win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?Yes 13.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Television Series - Limited Series
K 3.7K contractsWill East of Eden be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 98%
Will DTF St. Louis be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 91%
Will Beef be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Enugu, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $9.5KWill Mbah Peter Ndubuisi win the 2027 Enugu State gubernatorial election?Yes 74.5%
Will James Ene Nwannaji win the 2027 Enugu State gubernatorial election?Yes 13%
Will Dona Nwogbo win the 2027 Enugu State gubernatorial election?Yes 5.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Florida Governor: which counties will Byron Donalds win?
K 3.7K contractsWill Byron Donalds win Sarasota County?Yes 91.5%
Will Byron Donalds win St. Lucie County?Yes 72.5%
Will Byron Donalds win Miami-Dade County?Yes 35%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

VA-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $9.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 25% or more?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

What will Jay Parikh say during GitHub Universe Keynote?
K 3.7K contractsWhat will Jay Parikh say during GitHub Universe 2026 — Opening Keynote originally scheduled for October 28, 2026? (Copilot)Yes 86%
What will Jay Parikh say during GitHub Universe 2026 — Opening Keynote originally scheduled for October 28, 2026? (Open Source)Yes 72.5%
What will Jay Parikh say during GitHub Universe 2026 — Opening Keynote originally scheduled for October 28, 2026? (Agent / Agentic)Yes 62%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?
PM $9.4KWill Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 48%
Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 21.5%
Will Amcha Yisrael win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 18.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida's 15th District margin of victory
K 3.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 15th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 91%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 15th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 82%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 15th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 72.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

2026 Henderson Mayoral Election Winner
PM $9.4KWill Michelle Romero win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election?Yes 82.5%
Will Hollie Chadwick win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election?Yes 17.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

MI-10 House winner?
PM $9.4K · K 25.4K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for MI-10?
Related contracts
PM Yes 65.5%Rules differK Yes 67%
Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for MI-10?
Related contracts
PM Yes 34.5%Rules differK Yes 33.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

KY-04 House election: Ed Gallrein vote percent
K 3.7K contractsWill Ed Gallrein receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Ed Gallrein receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-04 House election?Yes 92%
Will Ed Gallrein receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-04 House election?Yes 90.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC