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Showing 3,937-3,984 of 7,539 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Montana Senate margin of victory
K 3.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana Senate election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 78%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana Senate election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 47%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana Senate election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 34%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $9.6KWill Solomon Olamilekan Adeola win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?Yes 77%
Will Rotimi Babajide win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?Yes 8.6%
Will Bolaji Odusina win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?Yes 5.8%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

European Central Bank rate decision in December
K 3.6K contractsWill the European Central Bank Hike 1-25bps at the December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 80%
Will the European Central Bank Maintain current rate at the December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 16%
Will the European Central Bank Hike more than 25bps at the December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 3%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 24, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Tennessee Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $9.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Georgia Senate election: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
K 3.6K contractsWill Jon Ossoff receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election?Yes 94%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election?Yes 76.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Mississippi Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
PM $9.5KWill total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 800,000 and 900,000?Yes 41.5%
Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 900,000 and 1,000,000?Yes 26.7%
Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 700,000 and 800,000?Yes 25%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TX-06 House winner?
K 3.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-06?Yes 98.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-06?Yes 0.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Košice Mayoral Election Winner
PM $9.5KWill Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?Yes 58%
Will Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?Yes 28.5%
Will Martin Mudrák win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?Yes 13.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Wisconsin's 6th District margin of victory
K 3.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 6th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 90.6%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 6th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 81.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Wisconsin's 6th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 68.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Enugu, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $9.5KWill Mbah Peter Ndubuisi win the 2027 Enugu State gubernatorial election?Yes 74.5%
Will James Ene Nwannaji win the 2027 Enugu State gubernatorial election?Yes 13%
Will Dona Nwogbo win the 2027 Enugu State gubernatorial election?Yes 5.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

AZ-02 House election: Jonathan Nez vote percent
K 3.6K contractsWill Jonathan Nez receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-02 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Jonathan Nez receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-02 House election?Yes 89.5%
Will Jonathan Nez receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-02 House election?Yes 76.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

VA-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $9.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 25% or more?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

OK-01 House election: Mark Tedford vote percent
K 3.6K contractsWill Mark Tedford receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-01 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Mark Tedford receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-01 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will Mark Tedford receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-01 House election?Yes 74.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

2026 Henderson Mayoral Election Winner
PM $9.4KWill Michelle Romero win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election?Yes 82.5%
Will Hollie Chadwick win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election?Yes 17.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

MI-10 House winner?
PM $9.4K · K 25.4K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for MI-10?
Related contracts
PM Yes 65.5%Rules differK Yes 67%
Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for MI-10?
Related contracts
PM Yes 34.5%Rules differK Yes 33.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will women get a bigger share of NCAA settlement back pay?
K 3.6K contractsWill women get a bigger share of NCAA settlement back pay before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 24.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 15, 2030 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Massachusetts 05 House General Election: voter turnout
K 3.6K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 05 House General Election be above 160000?Yes 95%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 05 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 78.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 05 House General Election be above 205000?Yes 62%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

New South Wales Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PM $9.4KWill One Nation win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?Yes 36%
Will Liberal–National win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?Yes 11%
Will Shooters, Fishers, Farmers win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?Yes 6.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 28, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NY-10 House election: Jennifer Moore vote percent
K 3.6K contractsWill Jennifer Moore receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-10 House election?Yes 98%
Will Jennifer Moore receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-10 House election?Yes 97%
Will Jennifer Moore receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-10 House election?Yes 97%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Beijing on October 21?
PM $9.3KWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 21?Yes 53.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 21?Yes 24%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 21?Yes 21%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television
K 3.6K contractsWill Linda Cardellini be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 83%
Will Cailee Spaeny be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 75.5%
Will Youn Yuh-jung be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 65.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Saudi troops enter Sanaa by...?
PM $9.3KSaudi troops enter Sanaa by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.5%
Saudi troops enter Sanaa by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CA-23 House winner?
K 3.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for CA-23?Yes 97.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-23?Yes 1.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Windsor, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $9.3KWill Drew Dilkens win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?Yes 66.5%
Will Fred Francis win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?Yes 32.5%
Will Aaron Day win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about flag burning before 2027?
K 3.6K contractsWhat cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027?Yes 6.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

SC-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $9.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-06 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Which ballot measures will pass in Utah?
K 3.6K contractsWill H.J.R. 10 pass?Yes 73.5%
Will S.J.R. 2 pass?Yes 65.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?
PM $9.3KHusted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?Yes 5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many House seats will Democrats win in Illinois?
K 3.6K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 14 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Illinois?Yes 92.5%
Will Democrats win more than 14 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Illinois?Yes 5%
Will Democrats win exactly 13 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Illinois?Yes 3%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $9.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 36.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 19%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New York's 3rd District margin of victory
K 3.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 3rd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 67%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 53.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Moscow on October 20?
PM $9.3KWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 20?Yes 56.5%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 20?Yes 21%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 20?Yes 20.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MS-01 House election: Trent Kelly vote percent
K 3.5K contractsWill Trent Kelly receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-01 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Trent Kelly receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-01 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Trent Kelly receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-01 House election?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

How many Independents will be elected to Congress?
PM $9.2KWill 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?Yes 58%
Will 1 Independent be elected to Congress in 2026?Yes 34.5%
Will 2 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?Yes 6%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Milwaukee County, Wisconsin: David Crowley vote percent
K 3.5K contractsWill David Crowley receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Milwaukee County, Wisconsin?Yes 96.5%
Will David Crowley receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Milwaukee County, Wisconsin?Yes 90.5%
Will David Crowley receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Milwaukee County, Wisconsin?Yes 70.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Montana Senate Election: Turnout
PM $9.1KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 500,000 and 550,000?Yes 41.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 450,000 and 500,000?Yes 41.1%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 350,000 and 400,000?Yes 13.8%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New Mexico Governor margin of victory
K 3.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New Mexico be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 90.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New Mexico be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 87.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New Mexico be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe
PM $9.1KWill Édouard Philippe, but not Gabriel Attal, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 77.5%
Will Gabriel Attal, but not Édouard Philippe, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 13.1%
Will both Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 6.9%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 18, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

College Football: Top 25 Ranked Teams on Nov 8 AP Poll
K 3.5K contractsWill Ohio St. be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 11 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 8, 2026)?Yes 96%
Will Notre Dame be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 11 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 8, 2026)?Yes 96%
Will Georgia be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 11 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 8, 2026)?Yes 95%
+72 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

100kt meteor strike in 2026?
PM $9.1K100kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes 3.8%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MO-03 House election: Bethany Mann vote percent
K 3.5K contractsWill Bethany Mann receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-03 House election?Yes 94%
Will Bethany Mann receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-03 House election?Yes 85.5%
Will Bethany Mann receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-03 House election?Yes 72.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Alabama?
PM $9.1KWill Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 70.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 29.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 2.8%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory
K 3.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 61%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 47.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 29.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 21?
PM $9.1KWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21?Yes 39%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 21?Yes 25%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on October 21?Yes 22%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?
K 3.5K contractsWill the European Union agree to or announce that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Qingdao on October 20?
PM $9.1KWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 20?Yes 41%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 20?Yes 34%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 20?Yes 14.7%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Montana governor winner? (2028)
K 3.5K contractsWill the Republican party win the governorship in MontanaYes 86.5%
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in MontanaYes 9.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Mexico City on October 20?
PM $9.1KWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 20?Yes 37%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 20?Yes 31%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 20?Yes 18.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC