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Showing 3,985-4,032 of 7,442 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

CA-23 House winner?
K 3.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for CA-23?Yes 97.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-23?Yes 1.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld

Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?
PM $8.7KWill the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2027?Yes 84.5%
Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by July 31, 2027?Yes 34.5%
Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.4%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about flag burning before 2027?
K 3.6K contractsWhat cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027?Yes 6.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

GA-10 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $8.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 41.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 18.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Which ballot measures will pass in Utah?
K 3.6K contractsWill H.J.R. 10 pass?Yes 73.5%
Will S.J.R. 2 pass?Yes 65.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OH-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $8.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 37.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 22.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 21.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many House seats will Democrats win in Illinois?
K 3.6K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 14 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Illinois?Yes 92.5%
Will Democrats win more than 14 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Illinois?Yes 5%
Will Democrats win exactly 13 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Illinois?Yes 3%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld

Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
PM $8.7KWill Kevin Acton win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 75%
Will Harwinder Sandhu win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 25.5%
Will Blair Visscher win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 0.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New York's 3rd District margin of victory
K 3.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 3rd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 67%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 53.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 21?
PM $8.6KWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 21?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MS-01 House election: Trent Kelly vote percent
K 3.5K contractsWill Trent Kelly receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-01 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Trent Kelly receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-01 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Trent Kelly receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-01 House election?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

2027 Chicago Mayoral Election
PM $8.6KWill Alexi Giannoulias win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?Yes 69%
Will Brandon Johnson win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?Yes 14.5%
Will John Kelly win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?Yes 8.1%
+9 moreNext deadline Apr 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Milwaukee County, Wisconsin: David Crowley vote percent
K 3.5K contractsWill David Crowley receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Milwaukee County, Wisconsin?Yes 96.5%
Will David Crowley receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Milwaukee County, Wisconsin?Yes 90.5%
Will David Crowley receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Milwaukee County, Wisconsin?Yes 70.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

West Tamar Mayoral Election Winner
PM $8.6KWill Rick Shegog win the next West Tamar mayoral election?Yes 72.5%
Will Carl Cooper win the next West Tamar mayoral election?Yes 15%
Will Christina Holmdahl win the next West Tamar mayoral election?Yes 7.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?
PM $8.6K · K 1.3K contractsWill Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union conclude an agreement expanding rights for Canadians to live or work in the EU after September 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.6%Rules differK Yes 4.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New Mexico Governor margin of victory
K 3.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New Mexico be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 90.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New Mexico be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 87.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New Mexico be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

College Football: Top 25 Ranked Teams on Nov 8 AP Poll
K 3.5K contractsWill Ohio St. be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 11 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 8, 2026)?Yes 96%
Will Notre Dame be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 11 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 8, 2026)?Yes 96%
Will Georgia be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 11 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 8, 2026)?Yes 95%
+72 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?
PM $8.5KHu Jintao public appearance by December 31?Yes 2.2%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MO-03 House election: Bethany Mann vote percent
K 3.5K contractsWill Bethany Mann receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-03 House election?Yes 94%
Will Bethany Mann receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-03 House election?Yes 85.5%
Will Bethany Mann receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-03 House election?Yes 72.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

PA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $8.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 22.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory
K 3.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 61%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 47.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 29.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Chihuahua Congress Election Winner
PM $8.5KWill PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?Yes 28.5%
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?Yes 27%
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?Yes 13.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?
K 3.5K contractsWill the European Union agree to or announce that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PM $8.5KWill Trump's approval rating hit 47% in 2026?Yes 14.9%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 46% in 2026?Yes 9.8%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?Yes 6.1%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 4, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Montana governor winner? (2028)
K 3.5K contractsWill the Republican party win the governorship in MontanaYes 86.5%
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in MontanaYes 9.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner
PM $8.4KWill Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?Yes 83.5%
Will Wei Chia-hsien win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?Yes 11.5%
Will Chang Chun win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?Yes 5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NC-05 House election: Virginia Foxx vote percent
K 3.5K contractsWill Virginia Foxx receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-05 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will Virginia Foxx receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-05 House election?Yes 76.5%
Will Virginia Foxx receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-05 House election?Yes 54.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Speaker of the House after the midterms?
PM $8.3KWill Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?Yes 89.5%
Will Mike Johnson be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?Yes 4.9%
Will Jim Jordan be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?Yes 3.4%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026
K 3.5K contractsWill Philip Morris International Inc report Above 10.8 billion zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Philip Morris International Inc report Above 10.6 billion zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Philip Morris International Inc report Above 11 billion zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026?Yes 94.5%
+5 moreNext deadline May 6, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Puebla Congress Election Winner
PM $8.3KWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Yes 81%
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Yes 6.5%
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Yes 6.4%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Kansas's 4th District margin of victory
K 3.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 89.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 78.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 66.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?
PM $8.3KWill Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?Yes 23.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

LA-04 House election: Mike Johnson vote percent (1st Round)
K 3.5K contractsWill Mike Johnson receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 68.5%
Will Mike Johnson receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 59.5%
Will Mike Johnson receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 50%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Vermont Lieutenant Governor Election Winner
PM $8.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election?Yes 91%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election?Yes 7.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

AR-02 House election: Chris Jones vote percent
K 3.5K contractsWill Chris Jones receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-02 House election?Yes 97%
Will Chris Jones receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-02 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Chris Jones receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-02 House election?Yes 90.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Florida Senate Election: Broward County Winner
PM $8.2KWill the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes 99.4%
Will the Republicans win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes 0.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MD-02 House election: Dave Wallace vote percent
K 3.5K contractsWill Dave Wallace receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-02 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Dave Wallace receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-02 House election?Yes 89.5%
Will Dave Wallace receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-02 House election?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld

El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place
PM $8.2KWill PCN win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 41%
Will PDC win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 19.5%
Will Vamos win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 9.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Pennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?
K 3.5K contractsWill the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 37 and 39.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 40 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 34 and 36.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 16.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Fed abolished before 2027?
PM $8.2KFed abolished before 2027?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Rhode Island 01 House General Election: voter turnout
K 3.5K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island 01 House General Election be above 133000?Yes 91%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island 01 House General Election be above 141000?Yes 83%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island 01 House General Election be above 149000?Yes 73%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

2026 Louisville Mayoral Election Winner
PM $8.2KWill Craig Greenberg win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?Yes 94.5%
Will Shameka Parrish-Wright win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?Yes 6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Ekstraklasa Champion
K 3.5K contractsWill Gornik Zabrze win the Ekstraklasa?Yes 41.5%
Will Wisla Krakow win the Ekstraklasa?Yes 38.5%
Will Wieczysta Krakow win the Ekstraklasa?Yes 38.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Jun 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo
PM $8.2KWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Yes 95.8%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Delaware Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 3.5K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Delaware Senate General Election be above 280000?Yes 90%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Delaware Senate General Election be above 320000?Yes 71.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Delaware Senate General Election be above 350000?Yes 52%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?
PM $8.2KWill Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 44%
Will Dems win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 27%
Will Dems win 12-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 25.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

AZ-01 House election: Jay Feely vote percent
K 3.5K contractsWill Jay Feely receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-01 House election?Yes 96%
Will Jay Feely receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-01 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Jay Feely receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-01 House election?Yes 80.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PM $8.1KWill SDP BiH win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Yes 93.5%
Will NiP win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Yes 3.4%
Will SNSD win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Yes 3%
+4 more