Browse prediction markets

Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026

Will Philip Morris International Inc report Above 10.8 billion zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%

Will Philip Morris International Inc report Above 10.6 billion zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%

Will Philip Morris International Inc report Above 11 billion zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026?Yes 94%

+5 moreNext deadline May 6, 2027 UTC

Kansas's 4th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 89.8%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 78.5%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 66.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Yes 23%

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31?

PM $5.6K

Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Yes 8%

Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Yes 5.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

LA-04 House election: Mike Johnson vote percent (1st Round)

Will Mike Johnson receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 89%

Will Mike Johnson receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 83%

Will Mike Johnson receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 77%

+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketFinance

Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q3 Software revenue be above __?

PM $5.6K

Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q3 Software revenue be above $7.35B?Yes 99.4%

Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q3 Software revenue be above $7.5B?Yes 57%

Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q3 Software revenue be above $7.65B?Yes 26.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC

Natalie Harp White House departure announced?

Will Natalie Harp announce their departure as Special Assistant and Executive Assistant to the President before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 13%

Will Natalie Harp announce their departure as Special Assistant and Executive Assistant to the President before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 8%

Will Natalie Harp announce their departure as Special Assistant and Executive Assistant to the President before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 5%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Yes 38.8%

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 19?

PM $5.5K

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Yes 32%

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Yes 29.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (10/16-10/23)?

1 mktNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC

Above 8.1%Yes 46%

Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 27.5%

Ted Cruz # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?

PM $5.5K

Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 25.5%

Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 24%

+8 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Kansas Attorney General winner?

PM $5.5K · K 7.5K contracts

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Kansas?

Related contracts

PM Yes 54%Rules differK Yes 56.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Kansas?

Related contracts

PM Yes 46.5%Rules differK Yes 44.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

AR-02 House election: Chris Jones vote percent

Will Chris Jones receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-02 House election?Yes 97%

Will Chris Jones receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-02 House election?Yes 95.5%

Will Chris Jones receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-02 House election?Yes 90%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

MD-02 House election: Dave Wallace vote percent

Will Dave Wallace receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-02 House election?Yes 95.5%

Will Dave Wallace receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-02 House election?Yes 89%

Will Dave Wallace receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-02 House election?Yes 77%

Texas Senate favorite on November 2?

Texas Senate favorite on November 2?View outcomes

1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomy

US gas prices on Election Day

PM $5.4K · K 279.1K contracts

Will gas hit $4.00 (Low) by October 31?

Kalshi: Will average **gas prices** be above $4.00?

Related contracts

PM Yes 8%Rules differK Yes 94.5%

Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by October 31?

Kalshi: Will average **gas prices** be above $4.50?

Related contracts

PM Yes 48%Rules differK Yes 10.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Pennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?

Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 37 and 39.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 24.5%

Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 40 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 18%

Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 34 and 36.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 17.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC

Rhode Island 01 House General Election: voter turnout

Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island 01 House General Election be above 133000?Yes 91%

Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island 01 House General Election be above 141000?Yes 83%

Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island 01 House General Election be above 149000?Yes 73%

Nayarit Congress Election Winner

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?Yes 74%

Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?Yes 11%

Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?Yes 4.6%

+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC

KalshiSports

Ekstraklasa Champion

Will Gornik Zabrze win the Ekstraklasa?Yes 40.5%

Will Wisla Krakow win the Ekstraklasa?Yes 38%

Will Wieczysta Krakow win the Ekstraklasa?Yes 38%

+15 moreNext deadline Jun 5, 2027 UTC

New South Wales Legislative Council: Most Seats After Election

Will Labor hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?Yes 50.5%

Will Liberal–National hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?Yes 21%

Will Greens hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?Yes 8%

+5 moreNext deadline Mar 28, 2027 UTC

Delaware Senate General Election: voter turnout

Will the total vote count for all participants in Delaware Senate General Election be above 280000?Yes 90%

Will the total vote count for all participants in Delaware Senate General Election be above 320000?Yes 71.5%

Will the total vote count for all participants in Delaware Senate General Election be above 350000?Yes 52%

+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Which party will win the Maine State Senate in 2026?

Will the Democratic Party control the Maine Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 92.5%

Will the Republican Party control the Maine Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

AZ-01 House election: Jay Feely vote percent

Will Jay Feely receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-01 House election?Yes 96%

Will Jay Feely receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-01 House election?Yes 92%

Will Jay Feely receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-01 House election?Yes 80%

Jalisco Congress Election Winner

Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election?Yes 49.5%

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election?Yes 16%

Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election?Yes 11%

+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC

New York State Senate winner?

Who will win the New York Senate? (Democratic party)Yes 98.5%

Who will win the New York Senate? (Republican party)Yes 1.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Iran target Bahrain by...?

Will Iran target Bahrain by October 31, 2026?Yes 45%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

NY-12 House winner?

Will Democratic win the House race for NY-12?Yes 98.7%

Will Republican win the House race for NY-12?Yes 1.6%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Rahul Gandhi arrested by...?

Rahul Gandhi arrested by December 31, 2026?Yes 29.5%

Rahul Gandhi arrested by October 31, 2026?Yes 15.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Franklin County, Ohio: Sherrod Brown vote percent

Will Sherrod Brown receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Franklin County, Ohio?Yes 94.5%

Will Sherrod Brown receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Franklin County, Ohio?Yes 85%

Will Sherrod Brown receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Franklin County, Ohio?Yes 64%

Next Premier of New South Wales

Will Chris Minns be the next Premier of New South Wales?Yes 52.5%

Will Kellie Sloane be the next Premier of New South Wales?Yes 20%

Will Rose Jackson be the next Premier of New South Wales?Yes 6.3%

+8 moreNext deadline Mar 28, 2027 UTC

KalshiSports

Tennessee: Team Specials

The Tennessee Pro Football Team records 8+ sacks in a single game?Yes 50.5%

The Tennessee Pro Football Team records 400+ passing yards in a single game?Yes 50.5%

Carnell Tate records 175+ receiving yards in a single game?Yes 48%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?Yes 44.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?

Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?Yes 24.5%

1 mktNext deadline Sep 8, 2027 UTC

Querétaro Congress Election Winner

Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?Yes 69%

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?Yes 17.5%

Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?Yes 11%

+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiTech

Will Anthropic and the Vatican meet?

PM $5.3K · K 1.6K contracts

Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by December 31?

Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Anthropic and the Holy See hold an in-person meeting before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 33.5%Rules differK Yes 40%

Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by October 31?

Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Anthropic and the Holy See hold an in-person meeting before Dec 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 13%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Pennsylvania's 17th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 17th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 93.5%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 17th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 90.6%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 17th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 83.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?

Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?Yes 18.5%

1 mktNext deadline Dec 30, 2036 UTC

Zamfara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Will Dauda Lawal win the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election?Yes 83.5%

Will Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus win the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election?Yes 10.6%

Will Ahmed Yahuza win the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election?Yes 4.9%

+1 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC

KalshiEconomics

US private data center construction spending in September

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $77.5B?Yes 97.5%

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $80.0B?Yes 95.5%

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $82.5B?Yes 95%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC