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TX-38 House election: Melissa McDonough vote percent

Will Melissa McDonough receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-38 House election?Yes 97%

Will Melissa McDonough receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-38 House election?Yes 95.5%

Will Melissa McDonough receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-38 House election?Yes 90%

TX-23 House election: Brandon Herrera vote percent

Will Brandon Herrera receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-23 House election?Yes 97.5%

Will Brandon Herrera receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-23 House election?Yes 96.5%

Will Brandon Herrera receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-23 House election?Yes 92%

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?Yes 75.5%

NC-11 House Election Winner

PM $25.1K

Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?Yes 24.5%

PA-15 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for PA-15?Yes 96.4%

Will Democratic win the House race for PA-15?Yes 3.4%

Will Georgia be the closest Governor's race in 2026?Yes 20.2%

Closest Governor's Race?

PM $25.0K

Will Texas be the closest Governor's race in 2026?Yes 12%

Will Nevada be the closest Governor's race in 2026?Yes 11.7%

+33 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Texas: Abbott's margin vs. Paxton's margin?

Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 46%

Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 34%

Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 0 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 11.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Apr 29, 2027 UTC

Will Nasiphi Moya be the next mayor of Tshwane?Yes 33%

Next Mayor of Tshwane (Pretoria)?

PM $25.0K

Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?Yes 28.5%

Will Aaron Maluleka be the next mayor of Tshwane?Yes 15%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC

Will John Nagel receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 98%

MN-05 House election: John Nagel vote percent

K 10.0K contracts

Will John Nagel receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 93.5%

Will John Nagel receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 73.5%

Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Yes 91.5%

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?

PM $25.0K

Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Yes 4.3%

Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Yes 3%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will Nancy Wallace receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-08 House election?Yes 92%

MD-08 House election: Nancy Wallace vote percent

K 10.0K contracts

Will Nancy Wallace receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-08 House election?Yes 72%

Will Nancy Wallace receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-08 House election?Yes 33.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?Yes 1.8%

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

PM $24.9K

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Wesley Bell receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-01 House election?Yes 96%

MO-01 House election: Wesley Bell vote percent

K 10.0K contracts

Will Wesley Bell receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-01 House election?Yes 86.5%

Will Wesley Bell receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-01 House election?Yes 66%

Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?Yes 80.5%

Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka again by...?

PM $24.9K

Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?Yes 26.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)

Will Republicans win the Senate race in South Carolina?Yes 85%

Will Democratics win the Senate race in South Carolina?Yes 18%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC

Will Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?Yes 84.5%

Nitra Mayoral Election Winner

PM $24.8K

Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?Yes 12%

Will Marek Illéš win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?Yes 2.6%

+1 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC

MI-02 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for MI-02?Yes 96%

Will Democratic win the House race for MI-02?Yes 1.8%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 26.1%

TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $24.8K

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 24.4%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 22.8%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Who will run for president in 2028?

Will Thomas Massie announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?Yes 40.5%

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?Yes 28%

Will Tucker Carlson announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?Yes 20.5%

+16 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC

OK-05 House Election Winner

Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?Yes 88%

Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?Yes 12%

How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026?

Will President Trump sign at least 10 bills into law in Oct 2026?Yes 97%

Will President Trump sign at least 12 bills into law in Oct 2026?Yes 84%

Will President Trump sign at least 14 bills into law in Oct 2026?Yes 81.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

AR-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 26.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 18.9%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 14.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiCompanies

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?Yes 35%

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2029?Yes 28%

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2028?Yes 20%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC

HI-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 32.6%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 23%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 20.4%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

NY-21 House election: Robert Smullen vote percent

Will Robert Smullen receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?Yes 2.5%

Will Robert Smullen receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?Yes 2%

Will Robert Smullen receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?Yes 2%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PA-12 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the PA-12 House seat?Yes 98.1%

Will the Republican Party win the PA-12 House seat?Yes 0.8%

KalshiEconomics

Will Iowa corn production rise YoY?

Will Iowa’s corn for grain production for 2026 be above 2.772 billion bushels?Yes 59%

1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the MD-02 House seat?Yes 95%

MD-02 House Election Winner

PM $24.6K

Will the Republican Party win the MD-02 House seat?Yes 3.1%

IN-09 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for IN-09?Yes 96.5%

Will Democratic win the House race for IN-09?Yes 2.6%

Will Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?Yes 98.7%

Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner

PM $24.6K

Will Parveen Bola win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?Yes 0.5%

Will Shelly-Ann Starlette Cerrelli win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?Yes 0.1%

3 mktsNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC

Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance

2026 Grammy nominees for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance? (Rein Me In (with Olivia Dean))Yes 79.5%

2026 Grammy nominees for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance? (Dracula (with JENNIE))Yes 79.5%

2026 Grammy nominees for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance? (The Life of a Showgirl (feat. Sabrina Carpenter))Yes 67.5%

+14 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the AR-04 House seat?Yes 96.7%

AR-04 House Election Winner

PM $24.6K

Will the Democratic Party win the AR-04 House seat?Yes 2.3%

Bank of England rate decision in November

Will the Bank of England Hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?Yes 94%

Will the Bank of England Maintain current rate at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?Yes 6%

Will the Bank of England Cut more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?Yes 1%

+2 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC

Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?Yes 94.8%

Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner

PM $24.5K

Will Chen Pin-an win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?Yes 4.2%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC

GA-06 House winner?

Will Democratic win the House race for GA-06?Yes 98.8%

Will Republican win the House race for GA-06?Yes 1.7%

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?Yes 24%

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

PM $24.5K

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC

FL-28 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for FL-28?Yes 92.2%

Will Democratic win the House race for FL-28?Yes 7.5%

Will the Democratic Party win the MD-07 House seat?Yes 96.4%

MD-07 House Election Winner

PM $24.5K

Will the Republican Party win the MD-07 House seat?Yes 2.9%

PM $24.4K · K 6.1K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

CA-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-09 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for CA-9?

Related contracts

PM Yes 97.5%Rules differK Yes 97%

Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-09 House election?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-9?

Related contracts

PM Yes 37%Rules differK Yes 1.7%

Will the Republican Party win the CA-09 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-9?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.5%Rules differK Yes 1.7%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Score

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Score at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 97%

Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Score at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 91.5%

Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Score at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 87.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC

Will Together finish 3rd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 71.5%

Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

K 9.7K contracts

Will The Democrats finish 3rd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 12.5%

Will Yisrael Beiteinu finish 3rd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 4%

+20 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 23.5%

MI-11 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $24.4K

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 23%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 21.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on invoking Section 740 of the D.C. Home Rule Act before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.5%

Will Trump invoke the DC Home Rule Act?

K 9.7K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the MD-05 House seat?Yes 96%

MD-05 House Election Winner

PM $24.4K

Will the Republican Party win the MD-05 House seat?Yes 2.9%