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Showing 337-384 of 1,296 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEntertainment
When will Manon leave Katseye?
K 55.5K contractsWill Manon leave Katseye before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 64%
Will Manon leave Katseye before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 59%
Will Manon leave Katseye before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 31.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Nominations
PM $14.2KWill "God is Shy" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 67.5%
Will "Because Today is Saturday" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 47.5%
Will "Water Girl" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 44.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Choosin’ Texas weeks at #1: October
K 54.9K contractsWill Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley spend 2 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley spend 3 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October 2026?Yes 2%
Will Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley spend 4 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October 2026?Yes 1.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?
PM $14.1KWill Dune: Part Three be delayed?Yes 2.3%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 18, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
X-Men: Cast
K 54.8K contractsWill Lady Gaga be cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios?Yes 59.5%
Will Patrick Stewart be cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios?Yes 55.5%
Will Sophie Turner be cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios?Yes 54.5%
+26 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketCulture
CMA Entertainer of the Year 2026
PM $14.0KWill Ella Langley win Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes 70%
Will Lainey Wilson win Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes 25.1%
Will Chris Stapleton win Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes 10.9%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
K 54.6K contractsManned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?Yes 15%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Dancing With The Stars S35: Week 6 Eliminations
PM $14.0KWill Maura Higgins be eliminated in week 6 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?Yes 19.2%
Will Tyler Cameron be eliminated in week 6 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?Yes 18.5%
Will Jackson Olson be eliminated in week 6 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?Yes 15%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Dallas vs Green Bay: Receptions
K 54.6K contractsCeeDee Lamb: 3+ receptionsYes 92.5%
Tucker Kraft: 2+ receptionsYes 91.5%
George Pickens: 3+ receptionsYes 86.5%
+87 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
CMA Musical Event of the Year 2026
PM $14.0KWill “A Song To Sing” by Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes 42%
Will “I Can't Love You Anymore” by Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes 32%
Will “Horses and Divorces” by Kacey Musgraves featuring Miranda Lambert win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes 9%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Next Gemini Pro model release
K 54.3K contractsWill Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 20%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 16, 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 6%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
CMA Vocal Group of the Year 2026
PM $13.3KWill The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes 79%
Will Old Dominion win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes 19.4%
Will Little Big Town win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes 3.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Critics Choice Awards: Best Comedy Series
K 53.7K contractsWill Widow’s Bay win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 71.5%
Will Hacks win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 4.5%
Will Ted win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 3.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketCulture
What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (October 20)
PM $13.2KWill "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Yes 97.4%
Will "Animals" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Yes 1.6%
Will "Ice Age" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Yes 0.9%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
K 53.4K contractsWill any LLM score at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will any LLM score at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 98%
Will any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 45%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (October 20)
PM $13.1KWill "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes 94.5%
Will "The Diplomat: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes 4.3%
Will "Tyson: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes 0.6%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models
K 52.7K contractsWill Joan Smalls be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Ashley Graham be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 97%
Will Adriana Lima be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 95%
+34 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?
PM $13.1KKylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Will Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version) be announced this year?
K 52.2K contractsWill Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version) be announced this year?Yes 47%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations
PM $12.9KWill Anne Hathaway be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 89.5%
Will Samantha Morton be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 78%
Will Penélope Cruz be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 76.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will release a new song this year?
K 51.2K contractsWill Tate McRae release a new song 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Lil Nas X release a new song 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will The Marías release a new song 2026?Yes 84%
+27 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Nominations
PM $12.7KWill "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 88.5%
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 80.5%
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 80.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Odd Mob Streams in 2026
K 50.8K contractsWill Odd Mob have 95000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Odd Mob have 90000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Odd Mob have 100000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 79.5%
+21 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Which 2026 movies will make it into the IMDb Top 250?
PM $12.6KWill "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250?Yes 78.9%
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?Yes 39.5%
Will "Michael" make it into the IMDb Top 250?Yes 1.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Critics Choice Awards: Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television
K 50.8K contractsWill Florence Pugh win Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 57.5%
Will Sally Field win Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 25.5%
Will Carey Mulligan win Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 4.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
PM $12.6KWill Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
The Cat in the Hat · Rotten Tomatoes score
K 50.7K contractsThe Cat in the Hat Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 45)Yes 82.5%
The Cat in the Hat Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 50)Yes 67.5%
The Cat in the Hat Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 55)Yes 65.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
"Street Fighter" Rotten Tomatoes Score?
PM $12.0KWill "Street Fighter" score at least 30 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 99.7%
Will "Street Fighter" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 99.6%
Will "Street Fighter" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 74%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
K 50.1K contractsWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2040)Yes 51.4%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2035)Yes 47.6%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2030)Yes 30.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2040 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?
PM $11.7KWill Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?Yes 6.5%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?Yes 3.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Critics Choice Awards: Best Production Design
K 49.7K contractsWill The Odyssey win Best Production Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 15%
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Production Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 13%
Will La Bola Negra win Best Production Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 11.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Junior Eurovision Winner 2026
PM $11.4KWill Poland win Junior Eurovision 2026?Yes 22%
Will Spain win Junior Eurovision 2026?Yes 21.6%
Will Armenia win Junior Eurovision 2026?Yes 18.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Aug 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
OpenRouter token usage in Oct 12–18
K 49.5K contractsWill OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 174T tokens?Yes 11%
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 166T tokens?Yes 5.5%
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 180T tokens?Yes 2.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
CMA Female Vocalist of the Year 2026
PM $11.3KWill Ella Langley win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes 76%
Will Lainey Wilson win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes 19.6%
Will Miranda Lambert win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes 3.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Oscar nominees: Best Music (Original Score)
K 49.1K contracts2027 Best Music (Original Score) Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 89.5%
2027 Best Music (Original Score) Oscar nominations? (Dune: Part Three)Yes 74.5%
2027 Best Music (Original Score) Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 69%
+10 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
PM $11.1KScrewworm National Emergency declared by December 31?Yes 13%
Screwworm National Emergency declared by October 31?Yes 6.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
K 48.3K contractsWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2040)Yes 61.5%
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2035)Yes 51.3%
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2030)Yes 37.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Nominations
PM $11.1KWill "Wildwood" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 93.5%
Will "Toy Story 5" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 79%
Will "Tangles" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 66.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCulture
Costco raises hot dog combo price?
PM $10.9K · K 78.8K contractsCostco increases hotdog price before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Costco change the price of hot dog combo before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.6%Rules differK Yes 2.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Merriam-Webster Word of the Year 2026?
K 48.2K contractsWill larping be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?Yes 14%
Will Brainrot be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?Yes 11.5%
Will Looksmaxxing be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?Yes 4.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Animated Feature Film
K 47.4K contracts2027 Best Animated Feature Film Oscar nominations? (Toy Story 5)Yes 89.5%
2027 Best Animated Feature Film Oscar nominations? (Wildwood)Yes 86%
2027 Best Animated Feature Film Oscar nominations? (Ray Gunn)Yes 67%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Casting Nominations
PM $10.8KWill "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 86.5%
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 79.5%
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 79.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th
K 47.3K contractsTop Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Xiaomi)Yes 75%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Alibaba)Yes 12%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Moonshot)Yes 3%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
CMA Musician of the Year 2026
PM $10.6KWill Paul Franklin (steel guitar) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes 50%
Will Charlie Worsham (guitar) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes 36%
Will Rob McNelley (guitar) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes 8.4%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
The Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?
K 47.2K contractsWinds of Winter release date announced?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
"Wild Horse Nine" Rotten Tomatoes Score?
PM $10.4KWill "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 96.8%
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 95.5%
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 81.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
How many wide film releases in Q4 2026?
K 44.5K contractsWill there be at least 50 wide film releases in Q4 2026?Yes 96%
Will there be at least 45 wide film releases in Q4 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will there be at least 55 wide film releases in Q4 2026?Yes 94%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 21, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?
PM $10.1KWill anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?Yes 4.1%
1 mkt