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Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Kendrick Jarrell Beaird in Beaird v. United StatesYes 37.5%

1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2028 UTC

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Roraima

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima?Yes 97.4%

Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima?Yes 0.3%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Turkey rate decision in October

Will the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye cut 1-250bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 83%

Will the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 17%

Will the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye hike 1-250bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 2.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC

Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?

Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?Yes 90%

1 mktNext deadline Dec 23, 2027 UTC

Florida's 22nd District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 22nd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 49%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 22nd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 33%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 22nd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 19%

AP calls the House by...?

Will AP call US House control by November 15, 11:59 PM?Yes 98.1%

Will AP call US House control by November 6, 11:59 PM?Yes 96.8%

Will AP call US House control by November 30, 11:59 PM?Yes 96.8%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

NE-03 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for NE-03?Yes 98.3%

Will Democratic win the House race for NE-03?Yes 1.8%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Khamenei # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 82.5%

Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 9.8%

Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 0.5%

+10 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

CA-12 House winner?

PM $5.9K · K 7.8K contracts

Will Lateefah Simon win the CA-12 House seat?

Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 CA-12 House election? (Lateefah Simon)

Related contracts

PM Yes 94.5%Rules differK Yes 96.5%

Will Jamie Joyce win the CA-12 House seat?

Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 CA-12 House election? (Jamie Joyce)

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.6%Rules differK Yes 2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

California 04 House General Election: voter turnout

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 04 House General Election be above 160000?Yes 96.5%

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 04 House General Election be above 170000?Yes 96.5%

Will the total vote count for all participants in California 04 House General Election be above 180000?Yes 96.5%

+13 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

NY-07 House election: Melvin Rivera vote percent

Will Melvin Rivera receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-07 House election?Yes 98%

Will Melvin Rivera receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-07 House election?Yes 97%

Will Melvin Rivera receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-07 House election?Yes 94.5%

Puebla Congress Election Winner

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Yes 68%

Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Yes 6.5%

Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Yes 5%

Etsy Gross Merchandise Sales in Q3

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.5 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?Yes 97%

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.54 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?Yes 82.5%

Will Etsy, Inc. report Above $2.58 billion etsy marketplace gms in Q3 2026?Yes 51%

+2 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC

Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?

Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?Yes 23%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

British Columbia general election: 3rd place

PM $5.9K · K 35.5K contracts

Will Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Kalshi: Will BC Greens finish 3rd in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 94%Rules differK Yes 94%

Will CentreBC win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Kalshi: Will CentreBC finish 3rd in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.3%Rules differK Yes 1%

Will NDP win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Kalshi: Will BC NDP finish 3rd in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.2%Rules differK Yes 2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC

Bosniak member of the Presidency winner?

Will Denis Becirovic win the 2026 election for the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes 78.5%

Will Bakir Izetbegovic win the 2026 election for the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes 50%

Will Fahrudin Radoncic win the 2026 election for the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes 23.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Oct 4, 2027 UTC

College Football: #1 Ranked Team on Oct 25 AP Poll

Will Miami (FL) be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 9 rankings (expected to be released on Oct 25, 2026)?Yes 79%

Will Ohio St. be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 9 rankings (expected to be released on Oct 25, 2026)?Yes 4%

Will Texas Tech be the #1 ranked team on College Football AP Poll Week 9 rankings (expected to be released on Oct 25, 2026)?Yes 2%

+10 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2027 UTC

Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 14.5%

Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by October 31, 2026?Yes 5.1%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

KY-02 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for KY-02?Yes 96.5%

Will Democratic win the House race for KY-02?Yes 3.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

IEA asks France to release oil stocks by...?

Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by December 31?Yes 37%

Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by October 31?Yes 22%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 23%

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.5%

Will the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales resign before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 6%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Sinaloa Congress Election Winner

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election?Yes 55%

Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election?Yes 16.5%

Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election?Yes 5.5%

When will Dominic LeBlanc and Jamieson Greer meet?

Will LeBlanc and Greer meet in person before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 74%

Will LeBlanc and Greer meet in person before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 64.5%

Will LeBlanc and Greer meet in person before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 54%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC

Victoria Legislative Council Election Winner

Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?Yes 81%

Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?Yes 16.5%

Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?Yes 3%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC

Maine Governor margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Maine be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 93.3%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Maine be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 85.2%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Maine be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 75.5%

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte

Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?Yes 97%

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?Yes 2.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Will Trump suspend habeas corpus?

Will Trump suspend habeas corpus?Yes 10.2%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 27, 2029 UTC

Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?

Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?Yes 8.5%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

MD-07 House election: Kweisi Mfume vote percent

Will Kweisi Mfume receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-07 House election?Yes 97%

Will Kweisi Mfume receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-07 House election?Yes 97%

Will Kweisi Mfume receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-07 House election?Yes 96%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

State of Mexico Congress Election Winner

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?Yes 78.5%

Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?Yes 5.5%

Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?Yes 1.9%

KY-06 House election: Zach Dembo vote percent

Will Zach Dembo receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-06 House election?Yes 97%

Will Zach Dembo receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-06 House election?Yes 96.5%

Will Zach Dembo receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-06 House election?Yes 95.5%

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Goiás

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Yes 97.4%

Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Yes 1.1%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Louisiana Senate winner? (2028)

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Louisiana?Yes 87%

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Louisiana?Yes 13%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC

Michigan Senate Election: Grand Traverse County Winner

Will the Democrats win Grand Traverse County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 61.5%

Will the Republicans win Grand Traverse County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 36.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

PA-02 House election: Jessica Arriaga vote percent

Will Jessica Arriaga receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-02 House election?Yes 95.5%

Will Jessica Arriaga receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-02 House election?Yes 85.5%

Will Jessica Arriaga receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-02 House election?Yes 64.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

2026 Denton County Judge Election Winner

Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?Yes 87.5%

Will Nick Pappas win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?Yes 8.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Travis County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent

Will James Talarico receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Travis County, Texas?Yes 96.5%

Will James Talarico receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Travis County, Texas?Yes 81.5%

Will James Talarico receive at least 75% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Travis County, Texas?Yes 68.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Chiayi County Magistrate Election Winner

Will Tsai Yi-yu win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?Yes 90.5%

Will Wu Pin-jui win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?Yes 9.5%

Will Tsai Sung-yi win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?Yes 0.7%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC

CA-28 House winner?

Will Democratic win the House race for CA-28?Yes 96.8%

Will Republican win the House race for CA-28?Yes 2.1%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Cross River, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Will Otu Bassey Edet win the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election?Yes 80%

Will Arthur Jarvis win the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election?Yes 13%

2 mktsNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC

MD-02 House election: Johnny Olszewski vote percent

Will Johnny Olszewski receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-02 House election?Yes 95%

Will Johnny Olszewski receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-02 House election?Yes 91.5%

Will Johnny Olszewski receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-02 House election?Yes 80.5%

Tamaulipas Congress Election Winner

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election?Yes 77.5%

Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election?Yes 9.5%

Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election?Yes 6.5%

TX-04 House election: Pat Fallon vote percent

Will Pat Fallon receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-04 House election?Yes 96%

Will Pat Fallon receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-04 House election?Yes 92.5%

Will Pat Fallon receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-04 House election?Yes 81%

Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner