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Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
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Showing 529-576 of 1,161 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in March 2027
K 19.9K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.50 in March 2027?Yes 95.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in March 2027?Yes 93.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $5.00 in March 2027?Yes 78.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
PM $11.0KWill Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?Yes 9.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Oregon semiconductor manufacturing jobs rise YoY?
K 19.8K contractsWill Oregon's employment in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing for December 2026 be above 26,400 jobs?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?
PM $10.8KWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Yes 17.3%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Yes 6.2%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 19.6K contractsWill the B200 compute per hour price be above $9.17 on Dec 31?Yes 53.5%
Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $8.57 on Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $7.97 by Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (B200) end of November?
PM $10.6KWill the Ornn B200 Index be less than $7.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes 27%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $9.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes 21%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on November 30, 2026?Yes 19%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?
K 19.1K contractsWill SpaceX test launch its Human Launch System before 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by...?
PM $10.6KNext Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 55%
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 15%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Kendrick Lamar: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 19.0K contractsWill Kendrick Lamar have above 4.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 94%
Will Kendrick Lamar have above 5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 79%
Will Kendrick Lamar have above 4M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 66%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?
PM $10.6KNext Claude Opus (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 76%
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 68.5%
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 13%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Broadline Retail Ad Spend in October
K 19.0K contractsWill Broadline Retail Ad Spend for October 2026 be above 112?Yes 73.5%
Will Broadline Retail Ad Spend for October 2026 be above 129?Yes 17.5%
Will Broadline Retail Ad Spend for October 2026 be above 132?Yes 15.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
PM $10.4KWill the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes 99.2%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Yes 83.5%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Yes 17.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?
PM $9.7K · K 6.3K contractsJair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 82%Rules differK Yes 71.5%
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 70.5%Rules differK Yes 71.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 24, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will xAI release Grok 5?
K 18.7K contractsWill xAI release Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 37.5%
Will xAI release Grok 5 before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 14%
Will xAI release Grok 5 before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 3%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
K 18.6K contractsWill Zohran Mamdani announce their departure as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 33.5%
Will Zohran Mamdani announce their departure as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 14%
Will Zohran Mamdani announce their departure as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Tesla Roadster delivered by...?
PM $9.7KTesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027?Yes 9%
Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Lai Ching-te departure announced?
K 18.4K contractsWill Lai Ching-te leave office before 2028-01-01T15:00:00.000Z?Yes 29%
Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2027-07-01T14:00:00.000Z?Yes 11.6%
Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z?Yes 4.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
PM $9.5KWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?Yes 18.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which banks will take Anthropic public?
K 18.4K contractsWill Mizuho take Anthropic public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 90.5%
Will Allen & Company take Anthropic public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 55%
Will William Blair take Anthropic public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 44.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of December?
PM $9.4KWill Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?Yes 55%
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?Yes 37%
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?Yes 6%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Dallas in Oct 2026?
K 18.3K contractsRain in Dallas in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 80.5%
Rain in Dallas in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 25%
Rain in Dallas in Oct 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 16%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?
PM $8.0KWill the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?Yes 84.5%
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?Yes 50%
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?Yes 28%
+2 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI or Bubeck?
PM $7.8K · K 408.1 contractsWill Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI or Sébastien Bubeck before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 19.5%Rules differK Yes 12.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in March 2027
K 18.2K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in March 2027?Yes 65%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $5.00 in March 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $4.00 in March 2027?Yes 50.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 17.8K contractsMoonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.9%Yes 99%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 9.3%Yes 57%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 8.8%Yes 53.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI Agent end of December?
PM $7.8KWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Yes 71.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Yes 16%
Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Yes 4.8%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 17.7K contractsAbove 7000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 94%
Above 8000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 89.5%
Above 9000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 71%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?
PM $7.8KWill OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?Yes 3.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in June 2027
K 17.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.00 in June 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in June 2027?Yes 50%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in June 2027?Yes 49.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?
PM $7.4KFrontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 17.6K contractsDeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 11.4%Yes 91.5%
DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 10.9%Yes 76%
DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 9.9%Yes 57%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?
PM $7.3KRen Zhengfei confirmed outside China by December 31?Yes 3.1%
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by October 31?Yes 0.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?
K 17.5K contractsWill Russia name the pathogen behind the Irkutsk plague lab death before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Best Chinese AI Company end of December?
PM $7.3KWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 33%
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 22%
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year?
K 17.0K contractsWill A full-length film adaptation of The Odyssey made using Grok Imagine and officially released by Grok or an official account controlled by Elon Musk, pursuant to Elon Musk’s July 22, 2026 announcement be released before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of November?
PM $7.2KWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026?Yes 87%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026?Yes 5.3%
Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026?Yes 5.3%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
K 16.7K contractsWill a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?Yes 33%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
PolymarketTech
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
PM $7.1KApple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?Yes 2.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?
K 16.7K contractsWill any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will any LLM score at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 71%
Will any LLM score at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 56%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Astra removed from public access by...?
PM $7.1KAstra removed from public access by October 31?Yes 1.9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
K 16.6K contractsWill Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?Yes 56%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
PM $7.1KAnother critical Cloudflare incident by December 31, 2026?Yes 41%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by November 30, 2026?Yes 26%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?Yes 10%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
K 16.5K contractsWill the California High-Speed Rail Authority announce that permanent mainline track installation on the Central Valley high-speed rail guideway has physically begun (rail laid on the running alignment, not materials staging, railhead or yard trackwork, or a declared "track-laying phase") before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 60.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November?
PM $6.8KWill the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026?Yes 30.5%
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on November 30, 2026?Yes 25.5%
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.75 on November 30, 2026?Yes 23%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Big Ten: Receiving Yards Leader
K 16.5K contractsJeremiah Smith records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 74%
KJ Duff records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 30.5%
Nick Marsh records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 3%
+47 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched Passings on Google 2026
PM $6.8KWill Dolly Parton rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026?Yes 95.3%
Will Chuck Norris rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026?Yes 71%
Will Oliver Tree rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026?Yes 70.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
KATSEYE: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 16.3K contractsWill KATSEYE have above 13M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will KATSEYE have above 12M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will KATSEYE have above 11M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Grok Bot on the free plan by...?
PM $6.7KWill Grok Bot be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.5%
Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?Yes 7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC