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Showing 577-624 of 1,561 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
How many government employees will Trump cut?
K 20.2K contractsWill there be more than 100000 government employees cut before Jan 2027?Yes 11%
Will there be more than 150000 government employees cut before Jan 2027?Yes 8%
Will there be more than 250000 government employees cut before Jan 2027?Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will AT&T (T) Q3 total revenue be above __?
PM $5.0KWill AT&T (T) Q3 total revenue be above $31.6B?Yes 81.5%
Will AT&T (T) Q3 total revenue be above $31.8B?Yes 70%
Will AT&T (T) Q3 total revenue be above $32B?Yes 24.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Hawaii visitor spending increase YoY in 2026?
K 20.2K contractsWill Hawaii’s total visitor expenditures for 2026 be above $21.7531 billion?Yes 87.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?
PM $4.9KWill Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of October 2026?Yes 38.5%
Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?Yes 37.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
K 20.0K contractsWill the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 96%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 66.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 54.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Blackstone (BX) Q3 total assets under management (AUM) be above __?
PM $4.9KWill Blackstone (BX) Q3 total assets under management be above $1.36T?Yes 74%
Will Blackstone (BX) Q3 total assets under management be above $1.37T?Yes 64.5%
Will Blackstone (BX) Q3 total assets under management be above $1.38T?Yes 35%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?
K 19.9K contractsWill Secretary of Defense be the first to leave office?Yes 44%
Will Secretary of Health and Human Services be the first to leave office?Yes 34.5%
Will Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation be the first to leave office?Yes 25%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by October 31?
PM $4.8KWill Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $28B by October 31?Yes 47.5%
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $31B by October 31?Yes 42.5%
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $32B by October 31?Yes 40%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Oregon semiconductor manufacturing jobs rise YoY?
K 19.8K contractsWill Oregon's employment in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing for December 2026 be above 26,400 jobs?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketHealth
FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?
PM $4.8KWill the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?Yes 53%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
SOFR at end of Q4 2026
K 19.8K contractsWill SOFR be above 3.50 by end of Q4 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will SOFR be above 3.25 by end of Q4 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will SOFR be above 3.00 by end of Q4 2026?Yes 96.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit in October 2026?
PM $4.7KWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 in October?Yes 82.5%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $900 in October?Yes 61%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 in October?Yes 50%
+14 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029
K 19.7K contractsWill the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2029 be above 0.0%?Yes 90.5%
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2029 be above 1.0%?Yes 82.5%
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2029 be above 0.5%?Yes 55%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by October 31?
PM $4.7KWill Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by October 31?Yes 53.5%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $210B by October 31?Yes 43.5%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $170B by October 31?Yes 37.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Disney+ App Downloads in October
K 19.7K contractsWill Disney+ App Downloads for October 2026 be above 95 ?Yes 98.5%
Will Disney+ App Downloads for October 2026 be above 90 ?Yes 98.5%
Will Disney+ App Downloads for October 2026 be above 75 ?Yes 98.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Lambda's valuation hit __ by October 31?
PM $4.7KWill Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $13.25B by October 31?Yes 88.5%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $12.25B by October 31?Yes 56.5%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $14.5B by October 31?Yes 40%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
France Nominal GDP in 2026
K 19.6K contractsFrance Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $3.2 trillion)Yes 96%
France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $3.3 trillion)Yes 94%
France Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $3.4 trillion)Yes 85%
+11 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on October 19?
PM $4.6KWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $245 on October 19?Yes 84%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 on October 19?Yes 56.5%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on October 19?Yes 20.3%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026
K 19.6K contractsWill U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2026 be above 58.50%?Yes 98.5%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2026 be above 59.00%?Yes 97.5%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2026 be above 58.00%?Yes 97.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
AutoZone Q1 domestic same store sales growth?
PM $4.6KWill AutoZone Q1 domestic same store sales growth be between 2.5% and 3.5%?Yes 30.5%
Will AutoZone Q1 domestic same store sales growth be between 1.5% and 2.5%?Yes 23%
Will AutoZone Q1 domestic same store sales growth be between 0.5% and 1.5%?Yes 21.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many dissenting votes at the October Fed meeting?
K 19.4K contractsHow many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting? (0)Yes 27%
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting? (2)Yes 21.5%
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting? (1)Yes 20%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of October?
PM $4.5KWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $310 end of October?Yes 80.5%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $320 end of October?Yes 73%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $330 end of October?Yes 64.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Will the 30Y US Treasury yield hit 6% in October?
K 19.4K contractsWill the 30Y US Treasury yield hit 6% by Oct 31, 2026?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Meta (META) Q3 ad impression growth across Family of Apps?
PM $4.4KMeta (META) Q3 ad impression growth across Family of Apps 10% to 13%?Yes 37.5%
Meta (META) Q3 ad impression growth across Family of Apps 13% to 16%?Yes 25%
Meta (META) Q3 ad impression growth across Family of Apps <10%?Yes 19.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Toronto condo price below C$600K in 2026?
K 19.1K contractsWill the average selling price of Toronto condo apartments fall below C$600,000 in 2026?Yes 10%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin?
PM $4.4KVertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 24% to 26%?Yes 52.5%
Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 26% to 28%?Yes 38%
Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 28%+?Yes 5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?
K 18.8K contractsWill the US government be shut down on Dec 12, 2026?Yes 32.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 13, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Verizon (VZ) Q3 total operating revenue be above __?
PM $4.3KWill Verizon (VZ) Q3 total operating revenue be above $33B?Yes 99.4%
Will Verizon (VZ) Q3 total operating revenue be above $33.5B?Yes 74.5%
Will Verizon (VZ) Q3 total operating revenue be above $34B?Yes 73%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Peacock App Downloads in October
K 18.7K contractsWill Peacock App Downloads for October 2026 be above 70 ?Yes 98.5%
Will Peacock App Downloads for October 2026 be above 60 ?Yes 97.5%
Will Peacock App Downloads for October 2026 be above 85 ?Yes 75.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis)?
PM $4.3KMastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5% to 8.5%?Yes 60%
Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 6.5% to 7.5%?Yes 17%
Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) <6.5%?Yes 16.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
North Dakota gas prices tomorrow
K 18.7K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.1100?Yes 97.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1200?Yes 97%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1150?Yes 97%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth?
PM $4.3KWalmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 2.5% to 4%?Yes 76%
Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 4% to 5.5%?Yes 18%
Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 1% to 2.5%?Yes 5.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will unemployment in Brazil be below 5.8% in Q4 2026?
K 18.6K contractsWill unemployment in Brazil be below 5.8% in Q4 2026?Yes 69.5%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above __?
PM $4.3KWill Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $64B?Yes 98.2%
Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $65B?Yes 81.5%
Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $66B?Yes 39.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Unemployment in November
K 18.4K contractsWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.7% in November?Yes 95%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.8% in November?Yes 90%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.9% in November?Yes 79%
+11 moreNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Japan recession in 2026?
PM $4.3KJapan recession in 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Pennsylvania natural-gas production rise YoY?
K 17.8K contractsWill Pennsylvania’s marketed natural-gas production for 2026 be above 7.675792 trillion cubic feet?Yes 52.5%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
PM $4.3KMajor U.S. bank bailout before 2027?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Instacart App Downloads in October
K 17.8K contractsWill Instacart App Downloads for October 2026 be above 115 ?Yes 98.5%
Will Instacart App Downloads for October 2026 be above 100 ?Yes 97.5%
Will Instacart App Downloads for October 2026 be above 130 ?Yes 96.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Union Pacific (UNP) Q3 adjusted operating ratio?
PM $4.2KUnion Pacific (UNP) Q3 adjusted operating ratio 58% to 59%?Yes 37.5%
Union Pacific (UNP) Q3 adjusted operating ratio 59% to 60%?Yes 35.5%
Union Pacific (UNP) Q3 adjusted operating ratio 60% to 61%?Yes 16.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 17.7K contractsAbove 7000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 94%
Above 8000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 89.5%
Above 9000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 71%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency)?
PM $4.1KMicrosoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 46% to 48%?Yes 62%
Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 44% to 46%?Yes 35.5%
Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 48% to 50%?Yes 24%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl
K 17.7K contractsWill Margaret Qualley perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?Yes 31.5%
Will Anya Taylor-Joy perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?Yes 20%
Will Sydney Sweeney perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?Yes 19%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above __?
PM $4.1KWill Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $132.5?Yes 97.1%
Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $134?Yes 71.5%
Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $135.5?Yes 62%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Core CPI in November (exact value)
K 17.6K contractsCPI core month-over-month in Nov 2026? (Exactly 0.5%)Yes 28%
CPI core month-over-month in Nov 2026? (Exactly 0.2%)Yes 24.5%
CPI core month-over-month in Nov 2026? (Exactly 0.3%)Yes 23%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 YouTube ads revenue be above __?
PM $4.0KWill Google (GOOGL) Q3 YouTube ads revenue be above $11.2B?Yes 87%
Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 YouTube ads revenue be above $11.4B?Yes 70.5%
Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 YouTube ads revenue be above $11.6B?Yes 30%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Hulu App Downloads in October
K 17.4K contractsWill Hulu App Downloads for October 2026 be above 35 ?Yes 98.5%
Will Hulu App Downloads for October 2026 be above 70 ?Yes 78.5%
Will Hulu App Downloads for October 2026 be above 75 ?Yes 47%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $3.9KWill United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 34%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC