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Showing 673-720 of 1,346 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiScience and Technology

Will Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?
K 17.5K contractsWill Russia name the pathogen behind the Irkutsk plague lab death before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?
PM $1.8KFTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?Yes 16.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience

Dallas vs Green Bay: Rushing + Receiving Yards
K 17.1K contractsPierre Strong Jr.: 30+ rushing and receiving yards combinedYes 50.5%
MarShawn Lloyd: 60+ rushing and receiving yards combinedYes 49%
Javonte Williams: 90+ rushing and receiving yards combinedYes 46%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?
PM $1.8KWill Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?Yes 51.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year?
K 17.0K contractsWill A full-length film adaptation of The Odyssey made using Grok Imagine and officially released by Grok or an official account controlled by Elon Musk, pursuant to Elon Musk’s July 22, 2026 announcement be released before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Where will it rain on October 18?
PM $1.7KWill it rain in Miami, FL on October 18?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in New York, NY on October 18?Yes 25.1%
Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 18?Yes 25.1%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)
K 16.8K contractsWill there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 67.5%
Will there be more than 25 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 41%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above __?
PM $1.7KWill CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $360M?Yes 90.5%
Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $320M?Yes 77%
Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $400M?Yes 38.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies

What will Kroger say during their next earnings call?
K 16.8K contractsWhat will Kroger say during their next earnings call? (GLP-1)Yes 84%
What will Kroger say during their next earnings call? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 83%
What will Kroger say during their next earnings call? (Produce)Yes 77.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?
PM $1.7KGitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026?Yes 14%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
K 16.7K contractsWill a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?Yes 33%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
PolymarketTech

What will Elon post this week? (October 12 - October 18)
PM $1.7KWill Elon post "Border" or "Borders" on X this week?Yes 42%
Will Elon post "India" on X this week?Yes 36%
Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week?Yes 25.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?
K 16.7K contractsWhat will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Cybercab)Yes 96%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation)Yes 94%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Robotaxi)Yes 91.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?
PM $1.7KNext Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 71.5%
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 12%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?
K 16.7K contractsWill any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 81%
Will any LLM score at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 71.5%
Will any LLM score at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 56.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?
PM $1.6KOpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
K 16.6K contractsWill Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?Yes 56%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?
PM $1.5KWill SpaceX have fewer than 14 launches in October 2026?Yes 85.4%
Will SpaceX have exactly 16 launches in October 2026?Yes 12.3%
Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in October 2026?Yes 12.2%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
K 16.5K contractsWill the California High-Speed Rail Authority announce that permanent mainline track installation on the Central Valley high-speed rail guideway has physically begun (rail laid on the running alignment, not materials staging, railhead or yard trackwork, or a declared "track-laying phase") before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 60.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above __?
PM $1.5KWill Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above $16.0B?Yes 85.5%
Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above $17.0B?Yes 73%
Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above $18.0B?Yes 30%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience

Big Ten: Receiving Yards Leader
K 16.5K contractsJeremiah Smith records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 75%
KJ Duff records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 30.5%
Nick Marsh records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 3%
+47 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

ChatGPT Dots on the free plan by...?
PM $1.5KWill ChatGPT Dots be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?Yes 26.5%
Will ChatGPT Dots be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Post Malone: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 16.4K contractsWill Post Malone have above 5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Post Malone have above 5.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 93%
Will Post Malone have above 6M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 80.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by...?
PM $1.3KNext Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027?Yes 34%
Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 27.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

KATSEYE: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 16.3K contractsWill KATSEYE have above 14M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will KATSEYE have above 13M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will KATSEYE have above 12M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above __?
PM $1.3KWill Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $33.5B?Yes 87%
Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $35.0B?Yes 73%
Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $36.5B?Yes 30%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in October
K 16.2K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.25 in October 2026?Yes 98%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.00 in October 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.50 in October 2026?Yes 87.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?
PM $1.3KAnother Frontier Math Problem Solved by November 30, 2026?Yes 76%
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?Yes 45.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes: #1 search
K 15.9K contractsWill Erling Haaland be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes list?Yes 48%
Will Lionel Messi be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes list?Yes 8.5%
Will Jalen Brunson be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes list?Yes 5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by...?
PM $1.2KNext Mistral Small (4.1+) released by February 28, 2027?Yes 49.5%
Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 37%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies

When will Waymo officially announce an IPO?
K 15.8K contractsWhen will Waymo officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 23.5%
When will Waymo officially announce an IPO? (Before Oct 1, 2027)Yes 18%
When will Waymo officially announce an IPO? (Before Nov 1, 2027)Yes 16.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above __?
PM $1.2KWill Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above $20B?Yes 85%
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above $21B?Yes 61%
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above $22B?Yes 54%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 15.7K contractsOpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 18.6%Yes 95.5%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 26.8%Yes 49.5%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 26.0%Yes 49.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which flavors will JUUL relaunch in 2026?
PM $1.2KWill JUUL relaunch Mint flavor by 2027?Yes 52.5%
Will JUUL relaunch Cucumber flavor by 2027?Yes 51%
Will JUUL relaunch Mango flavor by 2027?Yes 44%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth

Next pandemic
K 15.7K contractsPandemic by Dec 31, 2029?Yes 21%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2028?Yes 17%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2027?Yes 12.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by...?
PM $1.1KNext Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by January 31, 2027?Yes 84%
Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 73.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies

What will Palantir say during their next earnings call?
K 15.6K contractsWhat will Palantir say during their next earnings call? (International)Yes 90%
What will Palantir say during their next earnings call? (Revenue Guidance)Yes 84.5%
What will Palantir say during their next earnings call? (Maven)Yes 82%
+16 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
PM $1.1KWill OpenAI retract its Navier-Stokes solution by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
K 15.6K contractsWill above 3 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 94%
Will above 4 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will above 5 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 4.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

New MAI thinking model released by...?
PM $1.1KWill Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by December 31, 2026?Yes 69.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld

What will Zelenskyy say during Meet the Press?
K 15.6K contractsWhat will Volodymyr Zelenskyy say during Meet the Press originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Starlink)Yes 99%
What will Volodymyr Zelenskyy say during Meet the Press originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Fund / Funding)Yes 2.5%
What will Volodymyr Zelenskyy say during Meet the Press originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (NATO)Yes 2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 21)
PM $1.1KWill "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes 98.4%
Will "Different" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes 97.3%
Will "Problem" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes 97.3%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?
K 15.5K contractsHow many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 25)Yes 89.5%
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 30)Yes 70%
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 40)Yes 33%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Another Elon baby by December 31?
PM $1.1KAnother Elon baby by December 31?Yes 11.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in Q3
K 15.5K contractsWill Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 20 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 25 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?Yes 83%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 30 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?Yes 72%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
PM $1.0KSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?Yes 70%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 19, 2026
K 15.4K contractsWill Dai Dai rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 37%
Will Olivia Rodrigo - expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video) rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 20.5%
Will Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 5: nUsrYVxrDwI] rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 6.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Synopsys Q4 Design Automation revenue be above __?
PM $1.0KWill Synopsys Q4 Design Automation revenue be above $1.8B?Yes 74.5%
Will Synopsys Q4 Design Automation revenue be above $2.2B?Yes 30%
Will Synopsys Q4 Design Automation revenue be above $2.0B?Yes 29.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC