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Showing 673-720 of 1,619 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech

NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in March 2027
K 18.2K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in March 2027?Yes 65%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $5.00 in March 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $4.00 in March 2027?Yes 50.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?
PM $14.4KWill OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 59.5%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 25.5%
Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 7%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 17.8K contractsMoonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.9%Yes 99%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 9.3%Yes 57%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 8.8%Yes 53.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?
PM $14.2KWill ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?Yes 19.5%
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?Yes 13%
Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?Yes 7%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth

How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 17.7K contractsAbove 7000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 94%
Above 8000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 89.5%
Above 9000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 71%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Second-best AI Lab end of December?
PM $14.2KWill Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 36%
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 35%
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 16.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in June 2027
K 17.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.00 in June 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in June 2027?Yes 50%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in June 2027?Yes 49.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?
PM $14.1KWill GPT Astra's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?Yes 52.5%
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?Yes 32%
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026?Yes 17%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

Will Reputation (Taylor's Version) be announced this year?
K 17.6K contractsWill Reputation (Taylor's Version) be announced this year?Yes 7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?
PM $14.1KZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?Yes 18.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 17.6K contractsDeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 11.4%Yes 91.5%
DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 10.9%Yes 76%
DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 9.9%Yes 57%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
PM $14.0KWill Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 28%
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 27.4%
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiSports

Novak Djokovic: Retirement
PM $13.7K · K 25.7K contractsWill Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Novak Djokovic announce their retirement before the 2027 ATP season?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.1%Rules differK Yes 5%
Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.1%Rules differK Yes 1.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

Will Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?
K 17.5K contractsWill Russia name the pathogen behind the Irkutsk plague lab death before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Bad Bunny Streams in 2026
K 17.1K contractsWill Bad Bunny have 28000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Bad Bunny have 29000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 98%
Will Bad Bunny have 27000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 96.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld

France declares state of emergency by...?
PM $13.6KFrance declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?Yes 16.5%
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Yes 5.5%
France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?Yes 4%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year?
K 17.0K contractsWill A full-length film adaptation of The Odyssey made using Grok Imagine and officially released by Grok or an official account controlled by Elon Musk, pursuant to Elon Musk’s July 22, 2026 announcement be released before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?
PM $13.6KWill Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 34.8%
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 18.4%
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 16.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?
K 17.0K contractsWill the U.S. and Iran hold a senior-level meeting before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 77.5%
Will the U.S. and Iran hold a senior-level meeting before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 64.5%
Will the U.S. and Iran hold a senior-level meeting before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 51.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Best AI model on October 26?
PM $13.4KWill gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Yes 73.5%
Will any other model be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Yes 24.5%
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Yes 0.7%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?
K 16.9K contractsWill Israel and Qatar normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 11.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketTech

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?
PM $13.3KWill Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?Yes 99.4%
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Yes 83.5%
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?Yes 13%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
K 16.7K contractsWill a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?Yes 33%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
PolymarketTech

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?
PM $13.3KWill Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Yes 29%
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Yes 16%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?
K 16.7K contractsWill any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will any LLM score at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 71%
Will any LLM score at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 56%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
PM $13.2KSpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
K 16.6K contractsWill Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?Yes 56%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of December?
PM $13.2KWill Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 33%
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 25.5%
Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 15%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
K 16.5K contractsWill the California High-Speed Rail Authority announce that permanent mainline track installation on the Central Valley high-speed rail guideway has physically begun (rail laid on the running alignment, not materials staging, railhead or yard trackwork, or a declared "track-laying phase") before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 60.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?
PM $13.2KWill Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 75%
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 20.2%
Will KlingAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 4.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience

Big Ten: Receiving Yards Leader
K 16.5K contractsJeremiah Smith records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 74%
KJ Duff records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 30.5%
Nick Marsh records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 3%
+47 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
PM $13.2KWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

KATSEYE: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 16.3K contractsWill KATSEYE have above 13M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will KATSEYE have above 12M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will KATSEYE have above 11M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?
PM $13.0KWill Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 38%
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 23.1%
Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 20%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in October
K 16.2K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.25 in October 2026?Yes 98%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.00 in October 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.50 in October 2026?Yes 87.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld

Israel Election: Together # of seats?
PM $12.9KWill Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 31%
Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 24.5%
Will Together win 8-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 20.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Fantasy Points
K 16.0K contractsTrey McBride: Over 16.6 fantasy pointsYes 48.5%
Chad Ryland: Over 6.8 fantasy pointsYes 45.5%
LA Rams D/ST: Over 8.3 fantasy pointsYes 43.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld

Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by...?
PM $12.9KLeopold Aschenbrenner charged by December 31, 2027?Yes 23%
Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by June 30, 2027?Yes 8.6%
Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?Yes 4.7%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes: #1 search
K 15.9K contractsWill Erling Haaland be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes list?Yes 48%
Will Lionel Messi be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes list?Yes 8.5%
Will Jalen Brunson be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes list?Yes 5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld

Next Prime Minister of Latvia?
PM $12.8KWill Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?Yes 95.5%
Will Viktors Valainis be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?Yes 0.7%
Will Jūlija Stepaņenko be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?Yes 0.7%
+5 more
KalshiHealth

Next pandemic
K 15.7K contractsPandemic by Dec 31, 2029?Yes 21%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2028?Yes 17%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2027?Yes 12.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
PM $12.8KWill Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 39.6%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 17%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
K 15.6K contractsWill above 3 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 94%
Will above 4 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will above 8 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 4.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Elon Bull Run Combo
PM $12.6KElon Bull Run ComboYes 4.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld

How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?
K 15.5K contractsHow many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 25)Yes 90%
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 30)Yes 69.5%
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 40)Yes 32.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?
PM $12.6KWill Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 70.5%
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 21.5%
Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 4.3%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

What will Zelenskyy say during Meet the Press?
K 15.5K contractsWhat will Volodymyr Zelenskyy say during Meet the Press originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Starlink)Yes 99%
What will Volodymyr Zelenskyy say during Meet the Press originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Fund / Funding)Yes 6.5%
What will Volodymyr Zelenskyy say during Meet the Press originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (NATO)Yes 3.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld

El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place
PM $12.4KWill ARENA win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 36%
Will PCN win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 24.5%
Will Vamos win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 17%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC