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Showing 769-816 of 1,619 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?
K 13.9K contractsWill Bank of Canada maintain the current rate at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 57.5%
Will Bank of Canada hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 43%
Will Bank of Canada cut rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 2.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
PM $10.3KIsrael Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Sydney Sweeney and Scooter Braun: Engaged this year?
K 13.8K contractsWill Sydney Sweeney and Scooter Braun be engaged in 2026?Yes 40%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
PM $10.2KIsrael Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Port of Baltimore container volume rise YoY?
K 13.6K contractsWill Port of Baltimore container volume for 2026 be above 1,113,309 TEUs?Yes 66.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?
PM $9.7K · K 6.3K contractsJair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 82%Rules differK Yes 71.5%
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 70.5%Rules differK Yes 71.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 24, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?
K 13.6K contractsWill a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 16%
Will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 16%
Will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Tesla Roadster delivered by...?
PM $9.7KTesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027?Yes 9%
Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Total space launches in October
K 13.6K contractsHow many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 9)Yes 99%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 10)Yes 98.5%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 11)Yes 83%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
PM $9.5KWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?Yes 18.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin Keynote?
K 13.5K contractsWhat will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote? (Rubin / Vera Rubin)Yes 97.5%
What will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 97.5%
What will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote? (Robot / Robotic / Robotics)Yes 88.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of December?
PM $9.4KWill Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?Yes 55%
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?Yes 37%
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?Yes 6%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026?
K 13.5K contractsRain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 94%
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 77.5%
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 39%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?
PM $9.0KWill Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 45.5%
Will Amcha Yisrael win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 30.5%
Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 14.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Buffalo vs Las Vegas: Receiving Yards Escalator
K 13.5K contractsTre Tucker Receiving Yards EscalatorYes 7%
Brock Bowers Receiving Yards EscalatorYes 6.9%
Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards EscalatorYes 4.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?
PM $8.8KWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?Yes 6.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
U.S. imports from Iran >$5M in 2026?
K 13.5K contractsWill U.S. imports from Iran for 2026 be greater than $5M?Yes 32.2%
1 mktNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?
PM $8.8KWill Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 35.5%
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 32.5%
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 25.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Drake: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 13.4K contractsWill Drake have above 11.75M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Drake have above 11.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97%
Will Drake have above 11M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 95.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?
PM $8.7KWill the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2027?Yes 84.5%
Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by July 31, 2027?Yes 34.5%
Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
YoungBoy Never Broke Again Streams in 2026
K 13.2K contractsWill YoungBoy Never Broke Again have 9500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will YoungBoy Never Broke Again have 9000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will YoungBoy Never Broke Again have 8500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 79.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
PM $8.5KWill Kevin Acton win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 78%
Will Harwinder Sandhu win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 19.5%
Will Blair Visscher win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 0.2%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?
PM $8.4K · K 1.3K contractsWill Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union conclude an agreement expanding rights for Canadians to live or work in the EU after September 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 4.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
K 13.2K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States and Mexico reach, as an outcome of the 2026 USMCA review negotiations, a written interim or framework agreement establishing at least one material new or revised commitment concerning the operation, implementation, or revision of USMCA, where the agreement is not limited to withdrawing, suspending, or avoiding unilateral tariffs or retaliatory measures before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 36%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States and Canada reach, as an outcome of the 2026 USMCA review negotiations, a written interim or framework agreement establishing at least one material new or revised commitment concerning the operation, implementation, or revision of USMCA, where the agreement is not limited to withdrawing, suspending, or avoiding unilateral tariffs or retaliatory measures before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 27.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States, Mexico, and Canada jointly announce, as an outcome of the 2026 USMCA review negotiations, an agreement in principle establishing at least one material new or revised commitment concerning the operation, implementation, or revision of USMCA while preserving it as a trilateral agreement, where the agreement is not limited to withdrawing, suspending, or avoiding unilateral tariffs or retaliatory measures before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 25.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Tesla headcount in 2026
K 13.1K contractsWill Tesla, Inc. report above 120000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Tesla, Inc. report above 125000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Tesla, Inc. report above 130000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026?Yes 86%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?
PM $8.2KWill Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 44.8%
Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 22%
Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.75-4.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 17.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Lightweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?
K 13.0K contractsMateusz Gamrot to be Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 48%
Benoit Saint-Denis to be Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 48%
Alexander Volkanovski to be Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 48%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PM $8.1KWill SDP BiH win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Yes 91%
Will NiP win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Yes 4.4%
Will SNSD win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Yes 3.4%
+4 more
KalshiTech
Vail Resorts skier visits in Q1
K 13.0K contractsWill Vail Resorts report Above 450,000 skier visits in Q1 2027?Yes 56.5%
Will Vail Resorts report Above 500,000 skier visits in Q1 2027?Yes 47.5%
Will Vail Resorts report Above 400,000 skier visits in Q1 2027?Yes 40.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Shas # of seats?
PM $8.1KWill Shas win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 49.5%
Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 34%
Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 15.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Thomas Tuchel: Out by Date
K 12.9K contractsWill Thomas Tuchel be out before Jul 10, 2028?Yes 48.5%
Will Thomas Tuchel be out before Jun 1, 2028?Yes 42%
Will Thomas Tuchel be out before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 6.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place
PM $8.0KWill PCN win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 54.5%
Will PDC win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 16.5%
Will Vamos win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 10.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
eToro funded accounts in Q3
K 12.9K contractsWill eToro Group Ltd. report Above 4.25 million funded accounts in Q3 2026?Yes 99%
Will eToro Group Ltd. report Above 4.15 million funded accounts in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will eToro Group Ltd. report Above 4.2 million funded accounts in Q3 2026?Yes 97%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?
PM $8.0KWill the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?Yes 84.5%
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?Yes 50%
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?Yes 28%
+2 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
X re-launches Vine this year?
K 12.8K contractsX re-launches Vine in 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner
PM $7.9KWill Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?Yes 49.5%
Will Vladislav Kondratovič win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?Yes 17.5%
Will Ignotas Adomavičius win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI or Bubeck?
PM $7.8K · K 408.1 contractsWill Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI or Sébastien Bubeck before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 19.5%Rules differK Yes 12.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Will Ye visit The United Kingdom this year?
K 12.8K contractsWill Ye visit The United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Tesla total production in 2026
K 12.8K contractsWill Tesla Inc. report Above 1.5 million total production in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.55 million total production in 2026?Yes 97%
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.6 million total production in 2026?Yes 96%
+6 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI Agent end of December?
PM $7.8KWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Yes 71.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Yes 16%
Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Yes 4.8%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Future: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 12.7K contractsWill Future have above 4M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Future have above 4.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will Future have above 6M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 86.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Dems # of seats?
PM $7.8KWill Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 38.5%
Will Dems win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 29%
Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 21%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in Q1
K 12.6K contractsWill Carnival Corporation Ltd. report Above 22.4 million available lower berth days in Q1 2027?Yes 94.5%
Will Carnival Corporation Ltd. report Above 23.3 million available lower berth days in Q1 2027?Yes 94%
Will Carnival Corporation Ltd. report Above 23.2 million available lower berth days in Q1 2027?Yes 93.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jun 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?
PM $7.8KWill OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?Yes 3.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch?
K 12.6K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C. before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 64.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C. before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C. before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 33.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?
PM $7.5KWill Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 57%
Will Blue and White win 0.75-1.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 34.5%
Will Blue and White win 1.25-2% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 7.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 19, 2026
K 12.4K contractsWill Casa Tupka Anthemo rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 28.5%
Will Dai Dai rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 15%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Quebec General Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?
PM $7.4KWill the Parti Québécois win by between 10 and 19 seats?Yes 62.2%
Will the Parti Québécois win by between 20 and 29 seats?Yes 36%
2 mkts