Politics prediction markets
6,945 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 817-864 of 6,945 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?
K 42.8K contractsWill US Supreme Court rule ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?Yes 22.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-15 House Election Winner
PM $123.4KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat?Yes 96.2%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-15 House seat?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
K 42.5K contractsWill John Healey be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?Yes 14%
Will Miatta Fahnbulleh be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?Yes 9%
Will Angela Eagle be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?Yes 6%
+20 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?
PM $122.7KHouthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 25?Yes 47.9%
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 18?Yes 46%
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 26?Yes 40%
+5 more
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027?
K 42.2K contractsWill Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027?Yes 9.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
PM $121.8KWill Denis Zvizdić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes 25%
Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes 12.3%
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes 11%
+15 moreNext deadline Aug 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Rhode Island Attorney General winner?
K 42.0K contractsWill the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Rhode Island?Yes 97.2%
Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Rhode Island?Yes 1.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
PM $121.8KUAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes 4.8%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Week 1 AP Poll
K 41.9K contractsWill Florida be the #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?Yes 83.5%
Will Duke be #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?Yes 12%
Will UConn be #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?Yes 1.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Dec 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VA-06 House Election Winner
PM $121.7KWill the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?Yes 93.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NJ-02 House winner?
K 41.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NJ-02?Yes 82.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for NJ-02?Yes 17.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
PM $121.4K · K 62.0K contractsMike Johnson out as Speaker by October 31?
Kalshi: Will Mike Johnson no longer be Speaker of the House before 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.2%Rules differK Yes 1.4%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
K 41.3K contractsWho will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (No other person)Yes 41%
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Dan Driscoll)Yes 19.5%
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Joni Ernst)Yes 5.9%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
PM $120.7KTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Yes 3.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IA-02 House winner?
K 41.2K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for IA-02?Yes 59.5%
Will Republican win the House race for IA-02?Yes 40.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
PM $120.7KU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?Yes 3.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio's 7th District margin of victory
K 41.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 7th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 19.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 7th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 7.2%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 7th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 3.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?
PM $120.0KHouthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 5?Yes 98.5%
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 8?Yes 94.7%
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?Yes 83.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
Pete Hegseth departure announced?
K 40.8K contractsWill Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 33%
Will Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 23%
Will Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 6.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?
PM $119.8KSaudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes 15%
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?Yes 3.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OR-06 House winner?
K 40.7K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for OR-06?Yes 96.8%
Will Republican win the House race for OR-06?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Romanian parliament dissolved by...?
PM $119.7KRomanian parliament dissolved by December 31?Yes 7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan's 1st District margin of victory
K 40.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 88.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 77%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 67%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?
PM $119.6KSudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/4 - 10/10)
K 40.6K contractsWill the President sign more than 3 Executive Orders between Oct 4, 2026 and Oct 10, 2026?Yes 1%
Will the President sign more than 4 Executive Orders between Oct 4, 2026 and Oct 10, 2026?Yes 0.5%
Will the President sign more than 2 Executive Orders between Oct 4, 2026 and Oct 10, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-01 House Election Winner
PM $118.6KWill the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-01 House seat?Yes 3.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Idaho?
K 40.5K contractsWill HJR 6 pass?Yes 94%
Will HJR 4 pass?Yes 52.5%
Will Proposition 1 pass?Yes 8.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?
PM $118.2KTrump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?Yes 3.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
K 40.2K contractsWill the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 14 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 90.5%
Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 15 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 83.5%
Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 16 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 72.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
PM $118.2KWill Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028?Yes 88.1%
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028?Yes 82.5%
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028?Yes 81.5%
+68 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-07 House winner?
K 40.1K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for TX-07?Yes 96.4%
Will Republican win the House race for TX-07?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia enter Moskovka by...?
PM $117.8KWill Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?
K 40.1K contractsWill a new Constitutional Amendment be added before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 8.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MS-01 House Election Winner
PM $117.7KWill the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?Yes 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-01 House seat?Yes 3.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in New Jersey?
K 39.8K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 10 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New Jersey?Yes 72.5%
Will Democrats win more than 10 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New Jersey?Yes 15%
Will Democrats win exactly 9 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New Jersey?Yes 6%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-06 House Election Winner
PM $117.7KWill the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?Yes 99.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?Yes 0.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa Senate winner? (Person)
K 39.6K contractsWho will win the 2026 Iowa Senate election? (Ashley Hinson)Yes 57.5%
Who will win the 2026 Iowa Senate election? (Josh Turek)Yes 43%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by...?
PM $116.6KWill Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by December 31, 2026?Yes 11.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
LA-06 House winner?
K 39.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for LA-06?Yes 93%
Will Democratic win the House race for LA-06?Yes 6.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which Senate races will be within 5%?
PM $115.0KWill the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes 75%
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes 71.5%
Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes 67.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say in October?
K 39.1K contractsWill Trump say "Predict / Prediction" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Trump say "Autism" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Trump say "Newscum" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 98%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
PM $114.6KWill Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes 54%
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes 25.5%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes 25%
+12 moreNext deadline Apr 18, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Lean R Senate Race Combo: which states will Republicans win?
K 38.9K contractsWill Republicans win all 3?Yes 57%
Will Republicans win Nebraska, South Carolina?Yes 18.5%
Will Republicans win South Carolina?Yes 11.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by...?
PM $114.6KWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by December 31, 2026?Yes 25%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Graham Platner and Susan Collins debate?
K 38.9K contractsWill Graham Platner and Susan Collins debate each other in 2026?Yes 0.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Democratic VP Nominee 2028
PM $114.1KWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes 9.5%
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes 7.6%
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination?Yes 6.8%
+40 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado Attorney General winner?
K 38.8K contractsWill the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Colorado?Yes 94.2%
Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Colorado?Yes 5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
PM $112.5KWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes 76%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC