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Showing 865-912 of 1,619 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Apple headcount in 2026
K 11.0K contractsWill Apple Inc. report above 164000 total full-time equivalent employees in 2026?Yes 92%
Will Apple Inc. report above 166000 total full-time equivalent employees in 2026?Yes 86%
Will Apple Inc. report above 168000 total full-time equivalent employees in 2026?Yes 68%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?
PM $5.8KNext Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 51%
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 13%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
2027 Toyota 4Runner starting MSRP
K 10.9K contracts2027 Toyota 4Runner starting MSRP above $42,000?Yes 95%
2027 Toyota 4Runner starting MSRP above $42,500?Yes 70.5%
2027 Toyota 4Runner starting MSRP above $43,000?Yes 14%
+6 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?
PM $5.8KNext GPT Luna (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 87.5%
Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 51%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
K 10.8K contractsWill Meta have a higher Arena Score than OpenAI at the end of 2026?Yes 88%
Will OpenAI have a higher Arena Score than Meta at the end of 2026?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PM $5.8KWill Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 20%-25%?Yes 57%
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by at least 25%?Yes 27.5%
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?Yes 18.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Spotify premium subscribers in 2026
K 10.7K contractsWill Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 324 million premium subscribers in 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 322 million premium subscribers in 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 308 million premium subscribers in fiscal 2026?Yes 50%
+9 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?
PM $5.8KOpenAI announces a full training pause in 2026?Yes 7%
Anthropic announces a full training pause in 2026?Yes 6%
Google announces a full training pause in 2026?Yes 5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
OpenAI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 10.6K contractsOpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 15.7%Yes 49%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 20.4%Yes 48.5%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.9%Yes 48%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Tocantins Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PM $5.7KWill Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by at least 4%?Yes 48%
Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by less than 4%?Yes 37%
Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by at least 7%?Yes 10%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA A100 · Average hourly price in October
K 10.6K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $0.75 in October 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $0.50 in October 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $1.25 in October 2026?Yes 50%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?
PM $5.7KWill Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 49%
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 30%
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 19.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026
K 10.6K contractsWill Training Season (Live) rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will TRALALA rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will Shararat rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?
PM $5.5KWill Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 37%
Will Joint List win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 34%
Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 20.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
K 10.6K contractsWill the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?Yes 52.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?
PM $5.5KBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?Yes 72.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
United Airlines passengers in Q3
K 10.4K contractsWill United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 48.5 million passengers in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 48.25 million passengers in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 48 million passengers in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Feb 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PM $5.4KUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Erling Haaland: Next Club
K 10.4K contractsWhere will Erling Haaland go next? (Manchester City)Yes 31.5%
Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Real Madrid)Yes 20%
Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Barcelona)Yes 11.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Sep 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Unity vote share?
PM $5.4KWill Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 97.2%
Will Unity win 0.5-0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 2%
Will Unity win 0.75-1% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 0.7%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
SoFi members in Q3
K 10.3K contractsWill SoFi Technologies, Inc. report Above 16.7 million members in Q3 2026?Yes 86%
Will SoFi Technologies, Inc. report Above 16.8 million members in Q3 2026?Yes 66.5%
Will SoFi Technologies, Inc. report Above 16.9 million members in Q3 2026?Yes 55%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
America.gov removed by October 31?
PM $5.4KAmerica.gov removed by October 31?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in November
K 10.2K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.00 in November 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.75 in November 2026?Yes 73.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.50 in November 2026?Yes 51.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
El Salvador Legislative Election Winner
PM $5.4KWill Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 95.1%
Will Vamos win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 1.5%
Will Salvadoran Democracy (DS) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 0.8%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms?
K 10.2K contractsWill Chuck Edwards be out as U.S. representative before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 2%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Muse on Meta glasses by...?
PM $5.2KWill Muse be available on Meta glasses by December 31, 2026?Yes 45%
Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by October 31, 2026?Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Vince McMahon: Return to WWE in 2026
K 10.1K contractsWill Vince McMahon perform any on-screen character, presenter, creative, hosting, leadership or management role at any World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE) event before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Espírito Santo Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PM $5.2KWill Lorenzo Pazolini win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?Yes 46.4%
Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%?Yes 33.5%
Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial second round by less than 5%?Yes 30.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Chicago vs Atlanta: Receiving Yards (Protected)
K 10.1K contractsLuther Burden III: 50+ receiving yards (Protected)Yes 88%
Kyle Pitts Sr.: 25+ receiving yards (Protected)Yes 87.5%
Drake London: 50+ receiving yards (Protected)Yes 87.5%
+90 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
How many Codex resets week of October 12?
PM $5.1KWill there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?Yes 83.5%
Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
OpenAI share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 10.0K contractsOpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 18.6%Yes 54%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 26.8%Yes 49%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 26.0%Yes 49%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by...?
PM $5.0KWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2027?Yes 20.5%
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2027?Yes 13.5%
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2027?Yes 9.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCompanies
Which companies will be acquired this year?
PM $4.9K · K 102.4K contractsOpenAI acquired before 2027?
Kalshi: Will any company announce acquisition of OpenAI before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Receiving Yards Escalator
K 10.0K contractsPuka Nacua Receiving Yards EscalatorYes 12.4%
Trey McBride Receiving Yards EscalatorYes 10.1%
Davante Adams Receiving Yards EscalatorYes 6.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in June 2027
K 9.9K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in June 2027?Yes 96%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.50 in June 2027?Yes 79%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.00 in June 2027?Yes 50%
+6 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Klitschko out as Kyiv mayor by...?
PM $4.9KKlitschko out as Kyiv mayor by June 30, 2027?Yes 29.5%
Klitschko out as Kyiv mayor by December 31, 2026?Yes 14%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?
K 9.9K contractsWill Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 47%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?
PM $4.9KFrontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026?Yes 30.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 9.8K contractsAbove 10 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 83%
Above 15 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 70%
Above 20 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 42%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?
PM $4.9KSpain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?Yes 44.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Massachusetts scientific R&D jobs rise YoY?
K 9.7K contractsWill Massachusetts’s annual-average employment in Scientific Research and Development Services for 2026 be above 103,400 jobs?Yes 61.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
PM $4.8KWill Margareta Dovgal win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 57.5%
Will Terry Yung win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 38%
Will Sam Chandola win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 2.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Will Anthropic and the Vatican meet?
PM $4.7K · K 1.5K contractsAnother Vatican x Anthropic meeting by December 31?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Anthropic and the Holy See hold an in-person meeting before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 34%Rules differK Yes 36.5%
Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by October 31?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Anthropic and the Holy See hold an in-person meeting before Dec 1, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 12%Rules differK Yes 13.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Buffalo vs Las Vegas: Player Longest Reception
K 9.6K contractsTy Johnson: longest reception over 10.5 yardsYes 99.5%
Tre Tucker: longest reception over 17.5 yardsYes 99.5%
Dalton Kincaid: longest reception over 19.5 yardsYes 61%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will Paramount announce an HQ move outside greater LA?
K 9.6K contractsParamount HQ relocation announcement before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 40.5%
Paramount HQ relocation announcement before Dec 1, 2027?Yes 38.5%
Paramount HQ relocation announcement before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 21%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?
PM $4.6KCanada admitted to the EU before 2029?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will Anthropic release Claude 6?
K 9.6K contractsWill Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 89.5%
Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Sep 30, 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027?Yes 64%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Shas vote share?
PM $4.6KWill Shas win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 27.5%
Will Shas win 9% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 23.4%
Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 13%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC