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Showing 961-1,008 of 1,619 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
K 8.4K contractsTop coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (Claude)Yes 53%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (ChatGPT)Yes 13%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (Arena.ai)? (Gemini)Yes 2.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP)?
PM $2.9KNVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin 73% to 75%?Yes 81.5%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin 75% to 77%?Yes 13.5%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin 71% to 73%?Yes 10.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 18, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Columbus vs Minnesota: Assists
K 8.3K contractsQuinn Hughes: 1+ assistsYes 67.5%
Zach Werenski: 1+ assistsYes 49%
Kirill Kaprizov: 1+ assistsYes 48.5%
+30 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Estonia Parliamentary Election Winner
PM $2.9KWill Isamaa win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?Yes 49%
Will Centre Party win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?Yes 32%
Will Reform Party win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?Yes 15.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Titled Tuesday Top 5: Oct 20
K 8.3K contractsTitled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 5 Finishers: Hikaru NakamuraYes 37%
Titled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 5 Finishers: Dmitry AndreikinYes 26.5%
Titled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 5 Finishers: Vladislav ArtemievYes 25%
+68 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?
PM $2.7KAnthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?Yes 26.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of 2026?
K 8.1K contractsWill BTS be #1 on the IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year in 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will Taylor Swift be #1 on the IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year in 2026?Yes 43%
Will Bad Bunny be #1 on the IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year in 2026?Yes 5.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?
PM $2.7KOpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
How high will the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index be at EOY 2026?
K 8.1K contractsWill Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 1,500?Yes 90.5%
Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 2,000?Yes 86%
Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be above 2,500?Yes 74.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
PM $2.7KWill Garry Thind win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 64.5%
Will Garry Begg win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 24%
Will James Yaroshuk win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 3.8%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Dopamine Chamber: First Week Streams
K 8.0K contractsWill Dopamine Chamber by Fontaines D.C. have above 50000 streams during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?Yes 99%
Will Dopamine Chamber by Fontaines D.C. have above 1000000 streams during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?Yes 97.5%
Will Dopamine Chamber by Fontaines D.C. have above 2000000 streams during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week?Yes 91%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Base iPhone 18 released by...?
PM $2.6KBase iPhone 18 released by April 30, 2027?Yes 92.5%
Base iPhone 18 released by March 31, 2027?Yes 45.5%
Base iPhone 18 released by February 28, 2027?Yes 11.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026
K 8.0K contractsWill WTF GOIN rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will Todo Lo Fue rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will The Live Footage That Launched Van Halen on MTV | Oakland Coliseum 1981 rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?
PM $2.6KWill Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
K 8.0K contractsWhen will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before April 2027)Yes 72%
When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before 2027)Yes 51.5%
When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before December)Yes 33%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
PM $2.6KWill Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?Yes 17%
1 mktNext deadline May 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
MacBook base model price on Black Friday
K 7.9K contractsWill the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $750 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 97%
Will the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $700 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 96%
Will the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $650 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 16%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
PM $2.5KWill Zeeshan Wahla win the next Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 57.5%
Will Amna Shah win the next Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 28.5%
Will Raman Sharma win the next Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 2.8%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Number of data centers in California this year?
K 7.9K contractsWill California have at least 300 data centers this year?Yes 84%
Will California have at least 305 data centers this year?Yes 68%
Will California have at least 315 data centers this year?Yes 39.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Take-Two Q2 net bookings be above __?
PM $2.5KWill Take-Two Q2 net bookings be above $1.60B?Yes 87%
Will Take-Two Q2 net bookings be above $1.65B?Yes 76%
Will Take-Two Q2 net bookings be above $1.70B?Yes 46%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Will Anthropic sign the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter?
K 7.8K contractsWill Anthropic announce signing of the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
El Salvador Presidential Election Winner
PM $2.5KWill Nayib Bukele win the 2027 Salvadoran presidential election?Yes 97%
Will Rafael Aguirre win the 2027 Salvadoran presidential election?Yes 1.9%
Will Alirio García Flamenco win the 2027 Salvadoran presidential election?Yes 1.3%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Dunkin' medium cold brew price in October
K 7.7K contractsWill the average U.S. price of a Dunkin' medium cold brew for October 2026 be at least $4.45?Yes 97%
Will the average U.S. price of a Dunkin' medium cold brew for October 2026 be at least $4.46?Yes 64.5%
Will the average U.S. price of a Dunkin' medium cold brew for October 2026 be at least $4.47?Yes 10.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
PM $2.5KWill Anna Kindy win the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 55.5%
Will Sara Lopez win the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 44%
Will Benjamin Olsson win the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 2.6%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will OpenAI release GPT-7?
K 7.7K contractsWill OpenAI release GPT-7 before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 82.5%
Will OpenAI release GPT-7 before Sep 1, 2027?Yes 58.5%
Will OpenAI release GPT-7 before Jun 1, 2027?Yes 33.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
PM $2.5KWill David Xie win the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 64%
Will Paul Choi win the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 32.5%
Will Andrew Rose win the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 2.9%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Camille Pissarro: La Place du Théâtre-Français sale price?
K 7.6K contractsWill the lot sold price of the La Place du Théâtre-Français et l’avenue de l’Opéra, soleil d’après-midi en hiver by Camille Pissarro on Sotheby's be above $25000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?Yes 96%
Will the lot sold price of the La Place du Théâtre-Français et l’avenue de l’Opéra, soleil d’après-midi en hiver by Camille Pissarro on Sotheby's be above $20000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?Yes 96%
Will the lot sold price of the La Place du Théâtre-Français et l’avenue de l’Opéra, soleil d’après-midi en hiver by Camille Pissarro on Sotheby's be above $30000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)?Yes 88.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenRouter token usage week of October 19?
PM $2.4KWill OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 19?Yes 39.5%
Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 19?Yes 22%
Will OpenRouter process less than 165T tokens the week of October 19?Yes 14.2%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Livvy Dunne and Paul Skenes: Engaged this year?
K 7.6K contractsWill Olivia Dunne and Paul Skenes be engaged in 2026?Yes 16.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?
PM $2.4KWill The Democrats win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 31%
Will The Democrats win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 21.5%
Will The Democrats win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 17%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Google share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 7.6K contractsGoogle Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 12.9%Yes 70%
Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 13.9%Yes 53.5%
Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 13.3%Yes 53.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
PM $2.3KWill Kristina Loewen win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 63.5%
Will Loyal Wooldridge win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 25.5%
Will Bill Desrosiers win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 2.9%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?
K 7.5K contractsWill Mette Frederiksen be the next Secretary General of NATO?Yes 32%
Will Kaja Kallas be the next Secretary General of NATO?Yes 19.5%
Will Alexander Stubb be the next Secretary General of NATO?Yes 13%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2099 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
PM $2.3KWill Brennan Day win the next Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 64.5%
Will Will Cole-Hamilton win the next Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 21%
Will Jason Cook win the next Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 1.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in May 2027
K 7.5K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in May 2027?Yes 81.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $6.50 in May 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.00 in May 2027?Yes 50.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jun 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Canada's population Up or Down this year?
PM $2.2KCanada's population Up or Down this year?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline May 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will China abolish hukou?
K 7.4K contractsWill People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of the hukou household registration system nationwide before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 15.5%
Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of the hukou household registration system nationwide before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 11%
Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of the hukou household registration system nationwide before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 7%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Analog Devices' Q4 Industrial revenue be above __?
PM $2.2KWill Analog Devices' Q4 Industrial revenue be above $2.0B?Yes 85.5%
Will Analog Devices' Q4 Industrial revenue be above $2.1B?Yes 78.5%
Will Analog Devices' Q4 Industrial revenue be above $2.2B?Yes 29.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Chicago vs Atlanta: Receptions (Protected)
K 7.4K contractsLuther Burden III: 3+ receptions (Protected)Yes 85%
D'Andre Swift: 4+ receptions (Protected)Yes 85%
D'Andre Swift: 3+ receptions (Protected)Yes 85%
+72 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?
PM $2.1KSpain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?Yes 84%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Will there be an announcement that The Simpsons is ending?
K 7.4K contractsWill there be an announcement that The Simpsons is ending?Yes 61.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Curfew in a major French city by...?
PM $2.0KCurfew in a major French city by December 31, 2026?Yes 36%
Curfew in a major French city by November 15, 2026?Yes 35.5%
Curfew in a major French city by October 31, 2026?Yes 18%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in June 2027
K 7.4K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $6.50 in June 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $4.50 in June 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.00 in June 2027?Yes 50.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenRouter AI token usage Oct 26 to Nov 22?
PM $1.9KWill OpenRouter process between 725T and 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?Yes 36%
Will OpenRouter process at least 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?Yes 29%
Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?Yes 19.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)
K 7.4K contractsWill the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 9 in Oct 2026?Yes 37%
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 10 in Oct 2026?Yes 23%
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 12 in Oct 2026?Yes 11%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...?
PM $1.9KNext Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027?Yes 43%
Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 33.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will India resume the Indus Waters Treaty?
K 7.3K contractsWill India resume the Indus Waters Treaty before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?
PM $1.8KComprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?Yes 39.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC