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Showing 1,297-1,344 of 2,037 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
When will OpenAI release GPT-7?
K 7.7K contractsWill OpenAI release GPT-7 before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 82.5%
Will OpenAI release GPT-7 before Sep 1, 2027?Yes 58.5%
Will OpenAI release GPT-7 before Jun 1, 2027?Yes 33.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026
K 7.7K contractsWill daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above -30bps?Yes 98%
Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above -20bps?Yes 97.5%
Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above -10bps?Yes 96%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Lowest natural gas spot price in 2026
K 7.7K contractsWill the price of natural gas get below $2.00 per million BTU before January 1, 2027?Yes 28.5%
Will the price of natural gas get below $2.40 per million BTU before January 1, 2027?Yes 25%
Will the price of natural gas get below $2.20 per million BTU before January 1, 2027?Yes 25%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Aritzia comparable sales growth in Q3
K 7.7K contractsWill Aritzia Inc. report Above 15% comparable sales growth in Q3 2027?Yes 96%
Will Aritzia Inc. report Above 18% comparable sales growth in Q3 2027?Yes 93.5%
Will Aritzia Inc. report Above 21% comparable sales growth in Q3 2027?Yes 70%
+5 moreNext deadline Jul 29, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Dunkin' medium cold brew price in October
K 7.7K contractsWill the average U.S. price of a Dunkin' medium cold brew for October 2026 be at least $4.45?Yes 97%
Will the average U.S. price of a Dunkin' medium cold brew for October 2026 be at least $4.46?Yes 64.5%
Will the average U.S. price of a Dunkin' medium cold brew for October 2026 be at least $4.47?Yes 10.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026
K 7.7K contractsWill the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above .7% between Issuance and December 31, 2026?Yes 56%
Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above .8% between Issuance and December 31, 2026?Yes 8%
Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above 1.00% between Issuance and December 31, 2026?Yes 5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 10am EDT?
K 7.7K contractsWill the S&P 500 be above 7594.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 10am EDT?Yes 99%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 10am EDT?Yes 99%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 10am EDT?Yes 99%
+57 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
James Bond · Release Date
K 7.6K contractsWill the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 67.5%
Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 46%
Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 22%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Airtable officially announce an IPO?
K 7.6K contractsWhen will Airtable officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2030)Yes 19%
When will Airtable officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2029)Yes 10%
When will Airtable officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2027)Yes 7.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Rivian vehicles delivered in Q1 2027
K 7.5K contractsWill Rivian report Above 17000 total vehicles delivered in Q1 2027?Yes 98%
Will Rivian report Above 15000 total vehicles delivered in Q1 2027?Yes 97%
Will Rivian report Above 19000 total vehicles delivered in Q1 2027?Yes 95.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Aug 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
How much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026?
K 7.5K contractsWill the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.1% in September 2026?Yes 99%
Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.0% in September 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.2% in September 2026?Yes 96.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in May 2027
K 7.5K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in May 2027?Yes 81.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $6.50 in May 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.00 in May 2027?Yes 50.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jun 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Auto-loan delinquencies in Q3 2026
K 7.4K contractsWill the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 be above 4.8%?Yes 96%
Will the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 be above 5.0%?Yes 91.5%
Will the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 be above 5.2%?Yes 81.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in June 2027
K 7.4K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $6.50 in June 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $4.50 in June 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.00 in June 2027?Yes 50.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Starbucks headcount in fiscal 2026
K 7.3K contractsWill Starbucks Corporation report Above 356 thousand headcount in fiscal 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 350 thousand headcount in fiscal 2026?Yes 50%
Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 353 thousand headcount in fiscal 2026?Yes 50%
+11 moreNext deadline Feb 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Domino's Foot Traffic in October
K 7.3K contractsWill Domino's Foot Traffic for October 2026 be above 65?Yes 98.5%
Will Domino's Foot Traffic for October 2026 be above 69?Yes 98.5%
Will Domino's Foot Traffic for October 2026 be above 73?Yes 98.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Robinhood gold subscribers in fiscal 2026
K 7.3K contractsWill Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 4 million gold subscribers in fiscal 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 4.2 million gold subscribers in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 4.4 million gold subscribers in fiscal 2026?Yes 96%
+11 moreNext deadline May 12, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US personal saving rate at year-end 2026
K 7.3K contractsWill US personal saving rate for 2026 be at least 4.0%?Yes 34%
Will US personal saving rate for 2026 be below 2.5%?Yes 20%
Will US personal saving rate for 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Yes 15.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 7.2K contractsAbove 0 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 69.5%
Above 1 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 58.5%
Above 2 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 40.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Medtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
K 7.2K contractsWill Medtronic plc report Above 8% cardiovascular organic revenue growth in Q2 2027?Yes 90.5%
Will Medtronic plc report Above 9% cardiovascular organic revenue growth in Q2 2027?Yes 75.5%
Will Medtronic plc report Above 10% cardiovascular organic revenue growth in Q2 2027?Yes 55%
+6 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in Q3
K 7.1K contractsWill Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited report Above -1% consolidated comparable sales growth in Q3 2026?Yes 94%
Will Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited report Above 0% consolidated comparable sales growth in Q3 2026?Yes 78%
Will Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited report Above 1% consolidated comparable sales growth in Q3 2026?Yes 67.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 12, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Brazil inflation rate in October
K 7.1K contractsWill inflation in Brazil be above 4.00% in Oct 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will inflation in Brazil be above 3.90% in Oct 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.10% in Oct 2026?Yes 97.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2031
K 7.0K contractsWill U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2031 be above 56.00%?Yes 89%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2031 be above 58.00%?Yes 82.5%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2031 be above 58.50%?Yes 68.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 16, 2032 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Who will perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?
K 7.0K contractsWill Drake perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?Yes 50%
Will Fred again.. perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?Yes 49.5%
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?Yes 45%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiScience
Dallas vs Green Bay: Receptions (Protected)
K 7.0K contractsSavion Williams: 4+ receptions (Protected)Yes 85%
Savion Williams: 3+ receptions (Protected)Yes 85%
Savion Williams: 1+ receptions (Protected)Yes 85%
+91 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Grocery inflation at the end of 2026?
K 7.0K contractsWill U.S. grocery inflation for December 2026 be above 1.0%?Yes 93%
Will U.S. grocery inflation for December 2026 be above 1.5%?Yes 75%
Will U.S. grocery inflation for December 2026 be above 2.0%?Yes 61%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?
K 6.9K contractsWill above -25000 jobs be added in November 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will above 0 jobs be added in November 2026?Yes 84%
Will above 10000 jobs be added in November 2026?Yes 80%
+10 moreNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Russia Nominal GDP in 2026
K 6.8K contractsRussia Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $2.3 trillion)Yes 97.1%
Russia Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $2.2 trillion)Yes 96.8%
Russia Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $2.4 trillion)Yes 94.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Shein Credit Card Spend in October
K 6.8K contractsWill Shein Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 73 ?Yes 98.5%
Will Shein Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 81 ?Yes 86.5%
Will Shein Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 84 ?Yes 55.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Forever: First Week Album Equivalent Units
K 6.7K contractsWill Forever by The Big Moon have above 2000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 35.5%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 5000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 12.5%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 7000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 6.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q4 2026
K 6.6K contractsWill the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for December 31, 2026 be above 3.50%?Yes 99.5%
Will the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for December 31, 2026 be above 4.00%?Yes 83.5%
Will the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for December 31, 2026 be above 3.75%?Yes 55.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Snap daily active users in Q3
K 6.6K contractsWill Snap Inc. report Above 486 million global daily active users in Q3 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Snap Inc. report Above 488 million global daily active users in Q3 2026?Yes 92%
Will Snap Inc. report Above 490 million global daily active users in Q3 2026?Yes 90%
+8 moreNext deadline Feb 24, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in August 2027
K 6.6K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in August 2027?Yes 95%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.20 in August 2027?Yes 95%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.15 in August 2027?Yes 95%
+14 moreNext deadline Sep 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
K 6.6K contractsWhen will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before 2028)Yes 90.5%
When will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before October 2027)Yes 89.5%
When will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before July 2027)Yes 89%
3 mktsNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Duolingo daily active users in fiscal 2026
K 6.5K contractsWill Duolingo Inc. report Above 60.5 million daily active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 89%
Will Duolingo Inc. report Above 61 million daily active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 83.5%
Will Duolingo Inc. report Above 61.5 million daily active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 81.5%
+15 moreNext deadline May 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience
Forever: First Week Streams
K 6.5K contractsWill Forever by The Big Moon have above 50000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 48%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 100000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 32.5%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 250000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 27%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Minnesota taconite production rise YoY?
K 6.5K contractsWill Minnesota taconite production for 2026 be above 28.525 million tons?Yes 43.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
EUR/USD price range on Oct 19, 2026 at 10am EDT?
K 6.5K contractsWill the EUR/USD open price be between 1.12200 and 1.12399 at Oct 19, 2026 at 10am EDT?Yes 26.5%
Will the EUR/USD open price be between 1.12000 and 1.12199 at Oct 19, 2026 at 10am EDT?Yes 21%
Will the EUR/USD open price be between 1.12400 and 1.12599 at Oct 19, 2026 at 10am EDT?Yes 16%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
K 6.4K contractsWill the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 97%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 97%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 96.5%
+57 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How much will the Tesla Roadster cost?
K 6.4K contractsHow much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $150,000)Yes 97.5%
How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $175,000)Yes 96.5%
How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $200,000)Yes 95.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in April 2027
K 6.4K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $4.50 in April 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $4.00 in April 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.00 in April 2027?Yes 50.5%
+8 moreNext deadline May 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Google search paid clicks change in Q3
K 6.4K contractsWill Alphabet Inc. report Above 8% google search paid clicks change in Q3 2026?Yes 96%
Will Alphabet Inc. report Above 9% google search paid clicks change in Q3 2026?Yes 90%
Will Alphabet Inc. report Above 10% google search paid clicks change in Q3 2026?Yes 85%
+9 moreNext deadline Feb 24, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Which companies will be removed from the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 2026?
K 6.3K contractsWill Nike be removed from the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 2026?Yes 22%
Will Goldman Sachs Group be removed from the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will Sherwin-Williams be removed from the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 2026?Yes 10%
+25 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Canada housing starts go above 300K in 2026?
K 6.3K contractsWill Canada housing starts be above 300,000 units in any release covering 2026?Yes 10%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 25, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Air Canada passenger load factor in fiscal 2026
K 6.2K contractsWill Air Canada report Above 83.5% passenger load factor in 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Air Canada report Above 83% passenger load factor in 2026?Yes 96%
Will Air Canada report Above 84% passenger load factor in 2026?Yes 93.5%
+6 moreNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Chevron Credit Card Spend in October
K 6.2K contractsWill Chevron Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 98 ?Yes 98.5%
Will Chevron Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 103 ?Yes 86.5%
Will Chevron Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 104 ?Yes 79.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will a court block the FCC's ABC license review in 2026?
K 6.2K contractsWill any federal court rule issues a preliminary or permanent injunction, vacatur, or stay halting all or part of the FCC's early ABC license renewal proceedings?Yes 72%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
McDonald's Credit Card Spend in October
K 6.1K contractsWill McDonald's Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 84 ?Yes 97%
Will McDonald's Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 89 ?Yes 82%
Will McDonald's Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 91 ?Yes 54.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC