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Showing 97-144 of 366 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiCompanies
What will Amazon say during their next earnings call?
K 50.6K contractsWhat will Amazon say during their next earnings call? (Bedrock)Yes 97.5%
What will Amazon say during their next earnings call? (Tariff)Yes 96.5%
What will Amazon say during their next earnings call? (Trainium)Yes 92.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
K 50.1K contractsWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2040)Yes 51.4%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2035)Yes 47.6%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2030)Yes 30.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2040 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
K 48.3K contractsWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2040)Yes 61.5%
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2035)Yes 51.3%
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2030)Yes 37.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th
K 47.3K contractsTop Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Xiaomi)Yes 76%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Alibaba)Yes 12%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Moonshot)Yes 3%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Apple say during their next earnings call?
K 46.9K contractsWhat will Apple say during their next earnings call? (Siri)Yes 93.5%
What will Apple say during their next earnings call? (iPhone 18)Yes 90.5%
What will Apple say during their next earnings call? (Tariff)Yes 88.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
K 42.7K contractsAbove 14000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 4000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 98.5%
Above 18000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 98.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
K 42.2K contractsWill SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida this year?Yes 25%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Top AI model this month
K 42.0K contractsWhat will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)Yes 71%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)Yes 1%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Artist on Spotify in 2026?
K 39.6K contractsWill Drake be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 1.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say in October?
K 39.0K contractsWill Trump say "Predict / Prediction" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Trump say "Autism" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Trump say "Newscum" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 98%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top AI model this week
K 38.7K contractsWhat will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)Yes 99%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)Yes 1%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
K 38.5K contractsWhen will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? (Before 2027)Yes 39%
When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? (Before November)Yes 9.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will JD Vance say during his CBS Town Hall?
K 38.2K contractsWhat will JD Vance say during CBS Things That Matter: A Town Hall With Vice President JD Vance originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET? (Trump (3+ times))Yes 99.5%
What will JD Vance say during CBS Things That Matter: A Town Hall With Vice President JD Vance originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET? (Illegal Alien)Yes 99.5%
What will JD Vance say during CBS Things That Matter: A Town Hall With Vice President JD Vance originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET? (2028 / Campaign)Yes 99.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 35.2K contractsWill the H200 compute per hour price be above $5.79 by Dec 31?Yes 94.5%
Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $6.69 by Dec 31?Yes 64%
Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $6.39 by Dec 31?Yes 61%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 18, 2026
K 34.5K contractsWill Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 50.6%?Yes 99.5%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 43.6%?Yes 99.5%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 49.8%?Yes 99%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?
K 34.0K contractsWill Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Nevada before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 67.5%
Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 48.5%
Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Georgia before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 20.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What countries will Trump say in October?
K 32.9K contractsWill Trump say "United Kingdom / British" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Trump say "Iceland / Icelandic" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Trump say "Argentina / Argentinian" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 93.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Anthropic share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 32.5K contractsAnthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 30.4%Yes 46.5%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 37.6%Yes 45.5%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 34.8%Yes 44.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Artist on Spotify U.S. in 2026?
K 32.1K contractsWill Taylor Swift be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will Drake be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 15%
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will United Airlines say during their next earnings call?
K 31.6K contractsWhat will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Starlink)Yes 93.5%
What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Newark)Yes 86.5%
What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Oil)Yes 82%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 12, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina?
K 29.7K contractsWhat will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Greenville, North Carolina originally scheduled for October 20, 2026? (Transgender)Yes 96.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Greenville, North Carolina originally scheduled for October 20, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 95.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Greenville, North Carolina originally scheduled for October 20, 2026? (Hottest)Yes 93%
+31 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will AutoZone say during their next earnings call?
K 29.5K contractsWhat will AutoZone say during their next earnings call? (Same Store Sales)Yes 94.5%
What will AutoZone say during their next earnings call? (Distribution Center)Yes 91%
What will AutoZone say during their next earnings call? (Brazil)Yes 90.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
K 29.3K contractsWill an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?Yes 62%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#3 Artist on Spotify in 2026?
K 29.2K contractsWill Taylor Swift be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 72.5%
Will Drake be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 16%
Will Bad Bunny be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What nicknames will Trump say before 2027?
K 29.1K contractsWill Trump say "Whack Job / Wack Job" before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 99.5%
Will Trump say "Too Late" before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 99.5%
Will Trump say "Talafreako / Tala Freako" before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 99.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 28.6K contractsAbove 300000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 285000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 325000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026Yes 94.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
K 28.4K contractsWill humans colonize Mars before 2050?Yes 28.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Elon make a Bluesky account before 2027?
K 27.8K contractsWIll Elon Musk make a Bluesky account before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
K 27.1K contractsWhen will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before 2028)Yes 51.5%
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before March 2027)Yes 12%
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before February 2027)Yes 6.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Cava say during their next earnings call?
K 26.4K contractsWhat will CAVA say during their next earnings call? (Traffic)Yes 95%
What will CAVA say during their next earnings call? (Same Restaurant / Same Store)Yes 94.5%
What will CAVA say during their next earnings call? (Catering)Yes 86.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
K 25.3K contractsTop coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)? (Claude)Yes 41.5%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)? (ChatGPT)Yes 41.5%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)? (DeepSeek)Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
What will Zelenskyy say during Meet the Press?
K 24.5K contractsWhat will Volodymyr Zelenskyy say during Meet the Press originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Sanction / Tariff)Yes 99.5%
What will Volodymyr Zelenskyy say during Meet the Press originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Putin)Yes 99.5%
What will Volodymyr Zelenskyy say during Meet the Press originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Missile)Yes 99.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Bruno Mars Streams in 2026
K 24.0K contractsWill Bruno Mars have 15000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Bruno Mars have 14500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Bruno Mars have 15500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 79.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?
K 24.0K contractsWill the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?
K 23.7K contractsWho will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Olivia Dean)Yes 3.5%
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Charli xcx)Yes 3%
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Sabrina Carpenter)Yes 3%
+128 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?
K 23.5K contractsWhen will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before 2028)Yes 88%
When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before October 2027)Yes 86.5%
When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before July 2027)Yes 83%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Anthropic share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 22.5K contractsAnthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 5.3%Yes 93%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 6.0%Yes 50%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 5.5%Yes 49.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Number of US data centers in 2026?
K 21.7K contractsWill the United States have at least 4,800 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 89%
Will the United States have at least 4,900 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 78%
Will the United States have at least 5,000 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 61.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience
Dallas vs Green Bay: Rushing Yards
K 21.7K contractsMarShawn Lloyd: 20+ rushing yardsYes 81.5%
Javonte Williams: 40+ rushing yardsYes 80.5%
MarShawn Lloyd: 25+ rushing yardsYes 74.5%
+46 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 21.6K contractsWill the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.54 by Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.69 by Dec 31?Yes 49.5%
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.39 by Dec 31?Yes 44%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will Anthropic release Opus 6?
K 21.4K contractsWill Anthropic release Opus 6 before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 15%
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 16, 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 7.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th
K 20.8K contractsTop Chinese AI Company week of October 12th? (Xiaomi)Yes 50.5%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th? (Moonshot)Yes 47.5%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th? (Alibaba)Yes 47.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Google say during their next earnings call?
K 20.8K contractsWhat will Alphabet say during their next earnings call? (Gemini (3+ times))Yes 97%
What will Alphabet say during their next earnings call? (AI Mode)Yes 89%
What will Alphabet say during their next earnings call? (CodeMender)Yes 83.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiMentions
What will Eric Yuan say during Zoomtopia 2026 Keynote?
K 20.5K contractsWhat will Eric Yuan say during Zoomtopia 2026 Keynote? (ZoomMate)Yes 78%
What will Eric Yuan say during Zoomtopia 2026 Keynote? (Agentic)Yes 76.5%
What will Eric Yuan say during Zoomtopia 2026 Keynote? (Virtual Agent)Yes 59.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville?
K 20.0K contractsWhat will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Gainesville originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Student Loan / Student Debt)Yes 0.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Gainesville originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Socialist / Socialism)Yes 0.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Gainesville originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Corrupt / Corruption)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 19.6K contractsWill the B200 compute per hour price be above $9.17 on Dec 31?Yes 53.5%
Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $8.57 on Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $7.97 by Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will the White House Press Secretary say in the next press briefing?
K 19.2K contractsWill the White House Press Secretary say Trump (3+ times) at her next press briefing?Yes 71.5%
Will the White House Press Secretary say Iran / Iranian at her next press briefing?Yes 49%
Will the White House Press Secretary say Inflation at her next press briefing?Yes 48.5%
+23 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?
K 19.1K contractsWill SpaceX test launch its Human Launch System before 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC