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Showing 193-240 of 5,269 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiScience and Technology

Anthropic market share this week
K 132.7K contractsAnthropic market share this week? (Above 4.5%)Yes 99.5%
Anthropic market share this week? (Above 4.0%)Yes 99.5%
Anthropic market share this week? (Above 3.8%)Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which company has the best AI model end of November?
PM $317.6KWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 45.5%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 44%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 4.8%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

NFL Players Traded
K 129.7K contractsWill Jerry Jeudy be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will Spencer Rattler be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 55.5%
Will Will McDonald IV be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 51.5%
+50 moreNext deadline Dec 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
PM $317.0KOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
K 128.6K contractsGemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1505)Yes 28%
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1490)Yes 28%
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1510)Yes 27%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PM $316.1KWill Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Yes 10.5%
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Yes 9.3%
Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Yes 8.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in 2026
K 126.7K contractsWill Carnival Corporation report Above 97.2 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.1 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
PM $316.0KNext Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 26%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes 9.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies

Will Elon purchase Ryanair?
K 125.4K contractsWill Elon Musk or Tesla or SpaceX take a stake in Ryanair before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?
PM $305.2KWill Plasma reach $0.30 by December 31, 2026?Yes 26.5%
Will Plasma reach $0.24 by December 31, 2026?Yes 24.5%
Will Plasma reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?Yes 20.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
K 122.9K contractsWill Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 8, 2099 UTC
PolymarketCrypto

Stablecoins depeg before 2027?
PM $304.2KPYUSD depeg by December 31?Yes 8.1%
USD1 depeg by December 31?Yes 6.5%
USD0 depeg by December 31?Yes 6%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Who will have a top 20 song this year?
K 120.6K contractsWill Chappell Roan have a top 20 song this year?Yes 98%
Will Lana Del Rey have a top 20 song this year?Yes 96.5%
Will Mariah Carey have a top 20 song this year?Yes 96%
+86 moreNext deadline Dec 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
PM $295.3KWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Yes 90.4%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?Yes 2.7%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?Yes 2.6%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 18, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

Number of data centers in Pennsylvania this year?
K 119.2K contractsWill Pennsylvania have at least 180 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Pennsylvania have at least 185 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 64.5%
Will Pennsylvania have at least 190 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 57.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
PM $291.5KWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes 27.1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes 24.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Yes 23.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto

How high will ETH get in October?
K 119.1K contractsWill ETH trimmed mean be above $3000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 4%
Will ETH trimmed mean be above $3250.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 2.5%
Will ETH trimmed mean be above $3500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 2%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto

Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?
PM $285.4KAltcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?Yes 25.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture

Oscar nominees: Best Director
K 118.0K contracts2027 Best Director Oscar nominations? (Christopher Nolan)Yes 95%
2027 Best Director Oscar nominations? (Javier Calvo)Yes 92.5%
2027 Best Director Oscar nominations? (Nathan Fielder)Yes 76.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto

What price will Ethena hit in 2026?
PM $282.7KWill Ethena dip to $0.12 by December 31, 2026?Yes 68.5%
Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?Yes 50%
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?Yes 32%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 117.6K contractsWill the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 80.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 59.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?
PM $278.5KWill NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes 26.5%
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes 19.5%
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes 10.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
PM $278.2K · K 140.2K contractsWill a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Kalshi: Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 9.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience

Dallas vs Green Bay: Receiving Yards
K 116.8K contractsCeeDee Lamb: 40+ receiving yardsYes 86.5%
Christian Watson: 40+ receiving yardsYes 81.5%
Tucker Kraft: 25+ receiving yardsYes 80%
+106 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto

Los Angeles C vs Kansas City: Receptions
K 116.6K contractsTravis Kelce: 2+ receptionsYes 93.5%
Xavier Worthy: 2+ receptionsYes 91.5%
Travis Kelce: 3+ receptionsYes 81.5%
+60 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto

What price will XRP hit in October?
PM $276.3KWill XRP dip to $1.20 in October?Yes 58%
Will XRP reach $1.40 in October?Yes 36%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in October?Yes 8.6%
+14 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Rushing Yards
K 115.6K contractsRico Dowdle: 10+ rushing yardsYes 96%
Jaylen Warren: 30+ rushing yardsYes 88.5%
Rico Dowdle: 15+ rushing yardsYes 86.5%
+46 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
PM $273.4KWill North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes 23.5%
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes 16.5%
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes 10.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto

Los Angeles C vs Kansas City: Rushing Yards
K 114.6K contractsKenneth Walker III: 50+ rushing yardsYes 87.5%
Omarion Hampton: 15+ rushing yardsYes 82%
Kenneth Walker III: 60+ rushing yardsYes 80.5%
+60 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
PM $271.9KWill HYPE flip SOL by December 31?Yes 1.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
K 112.1K contractsWill OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 32.5%
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 21%
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 8.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto

Will Theo launch a token by ___ ?
PM $270.7KWill Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes 34.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year?
K 112.0K contractsHow much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? (Above 500000 in a single quarter)Yes 53.5%
How much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? (Above 750000 in a single quarter)Yes 4%
How much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? (Above 1000000 in a single quarter)Yes 2%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PM $260.0KWill the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes 32.5%
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Yes 32%
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes 17.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiCulture

Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actress
K 108.4K contracts2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominations? (Anne Hathaway)Yes 88%
2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominations? (Penélope Cruz)Yes 78.5%
2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominations? (Samantha Morton)Yes 77.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto

Hurupay FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $259.1KHurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes 5.1%
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?Yes 4.3%
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?Yes 3.4%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

AI capability growth this year?
K 106.4K contractsWill any AI model have a score of at least 1540 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 54.5%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 35%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?
PM $253.4KWill CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes 28.5%
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes 22.5%
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes 13.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech

Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?
K 105.9K contractsWho will be the Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Alexander Volkanovski)Yes 51%
Who will be the Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Movsar Evloev)Yes 47.5%
Who will be the Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Aljamain Sterling)Yes 3.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto

Will Loopscale launch a token by ___?
PM $253.3KWill Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 42%
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 9.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

American Airlines passenger load factor in Q3
K 104.3K contractsWill American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 83.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 84% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 68.5%
Will American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 84.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 45%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto

Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $247.1KUnit FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 45.5%
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes 31.5%
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes 27.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech

Tesla Roadster delivery
K 104.2K contractsTesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before 2029)Yes 55.5%
Tesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before July, 2028)Yes 31%
Tesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before 2028)Yes 16%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?
PM $241.7KWill Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes 42.5%
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes 35%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes 12.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
K 98.5K contractsWill Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $600 billion?Yes 91%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $500 billion?Yes 89%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $700 billion?Yes 81%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
PM $237.9KWill any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 45.5%
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 19%
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.7%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
K 96.4K contractsWill SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketCrypto

Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $231.6KOstium FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 3.2%
Ostium FDV above $75M one day after launch?Yes 2.3%
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes 2.2%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC