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Showing 193-240 of 835 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 41.4K contractsWill Aspen Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 88.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 19?
PM $18.4KWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 19?Yes 54.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 19?Yes 26.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 19?Yes 17.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Artist on Spotify in 2026?
K 39.6K contractsWill Drake be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 1.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 18?
PM $18.2KWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Top AI model this week
K 38.7K contractsWhat will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)Yes 99%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)Yes 1%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Mexico City on October 18?
PM $17.8KWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 18?Yes 39.5%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 18?Yes 38.5%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 18?Yes 14.5%
+8 more
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
K 38.5K contractsWhen will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? (Before 2027)Yes 39%
When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? (Before November)Yes 9.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Wellington on October 19?
PM $17.8KWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 19?Yes 43.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 19?Yes 39.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 19?Yes 13%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
EV market share in 2030?
K 38.3K contractsEV market share in 2030? (Above 10%)Yes 85%
EV market share in 2030? (Above 20%)Yes 63%
EV market share in 2030? (Above 30%)Yes 46.5%
+1 moreNext deadline May 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
PM $17.7KWill the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by March 31, 2027?Yes 50%
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?
K 35.4K contractsWhen will a supervolcano next erupt?Yes 33.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 18?
PM $17.5KWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 18?Yes 99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 18?Yes 0.8%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 18?Yes 0.1%
+8 more
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 35.2K contractsWill the H200 compute per hour price be above $5.79 by Dec 31?Yes 94.5%
Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $6.69 by Dec 31?Yes 64%
Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $6.39 by Dec 31?Yes 61%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 19?
PM $17.3KWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 19?Yes 70.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 19?Yes 16.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 19?Yes 13%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?
K 34.7K contractsWill Olana be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 59.5%
Will Pena be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will Wale be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 12%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 16?
PM $17.2KWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 16?Yes >99.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on October 16?Yes <0.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 16?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiSports
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 18, 2026
K 34.5K contractsWill Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 50.6%?Yes 99.5%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 43.6%?Yes 99.5%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 49.8%?Yes 99%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
US Tornadoes in October 2026
PM $17.1KWill there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Yes 79%
Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Yes 14%
Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Yes 2.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Lala category?
K 34.3K contractsWill Lala become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 95%
Will Lala become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 94.5%
Will Lala become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 93.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 19?
PM $16.7KWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?Yes 46%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 19?Yes 28%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 19?Yes 14.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year?
K 34.1K contractsWill Trudy be categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Vance be categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 62.5%
Will Zeke be categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 61.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Karachi on October 18?
PM $16.2KWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?
K 34.0K contractsWill Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Nevada before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 67.5%
Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 48.5%
Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Georgia before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 20.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 17?
PM $15.9KWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 17?Yes >99.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on October 17?Yes <0.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 17?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Anthropic share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 32.5K contractsAnthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 30.4%Yes 46.5%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 37.6%Yes 45.5%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 34.8%Yes 44.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?
PM $15.2KWill the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 20% to 39.99%?Yes 38.5%
Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 40% to 59.99%?Yes 31%
Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 5% to 19.99%?Yes 19.5%
+2 moreNext deadline May 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Artist on Spotify U.S. in 2026?
K 32.1K contractsWill Taylor Swift be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will Drake be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 15%
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 18?
PM $15.2KWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 18?Yes 50.5%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 18?Yes 26%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 18?Yes 19%
+8 more
KalshiScience and Technology
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
K 29.3K contractsWill an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?Yes 62%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Lucknow on October 19?
PM $14.6KWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 19?Yes 71.5%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 19?Yes 14.5%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 19?Yes 9%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#3 Artist on Spotify in 2026?
K 29.2K contractsWill Taylor Swift be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 72.5%
Will Drake be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 16%
Will Bad Bunny be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Madrid on October 19?
PM $14.0KWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 19?Yes 42.5%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on October 19?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on October 19?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
K 29.1K contractsWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 68.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Busan on October 19?
PM $13.5KWill the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 19?Yes 37%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 19?Yes 36%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 19?Yes 15%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
K 28.9K contractsWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?Yes 30.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2036 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Toronto on October 19?
PM $12.4KWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 19?Yes 51.5%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 19?Yes 25%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 19?Yes 14.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 28.6K contractsAbove 300000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 285000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 325000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026Yes 94.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Dallas on October 19?
PM $12.4KWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 19?Yes 46.5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 19?Yes 39.5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 19?Yes 8.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
K 28.4K contractsWill humans colonize Mars before 2050?Yes 28.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 12 - October 18?
PM $12.3KWill there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 89.1%
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 11.1%
Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 3.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Rachel category?
K 28.4K contractsWill Rachel become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Rachel become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Rachel become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How many Chinook will pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?
PM $12.2KWill more than 550,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?Yes 98.9%
Will more than 575,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?Yes 98.5%
Will more than 585,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?Yes 14%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 18, 2026?
K 28.2K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 63-64° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 73%
Will the maximum temperature be 65-66° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 19%
Will the maximum temperature be 61-62° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 8%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Helsinki on October 19?
PM $12.2KWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 19?Yes 45%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 19?Yes 35.5%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 19?Yes 13%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Elon make a Bluesky account before 2027?
K 27.8K contractsWIll Elon Musk make a Bluesky account before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Denver on October 19?
PM $12.0KWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 19?Yes 54.5%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 19?Yes 35%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 19?Yes 8%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 18, 2026?
K 27.3K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 85-86° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 62.5%
Will the maximum temperature be >86° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 18%
Will the maximum temperature be 83-84° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 15%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Seattle on October 18?
PM $12.0KWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 18?Yes 60.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 18?Yes 18.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 18?Yes 18.5%
+8 more