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Showing 2,785-2,832 of 8,366 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

CA-16 House winner?
K 10.1K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-16?Yes 97.4%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-16?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

GA-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $21.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 15.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

WI-05 House winner?
K 10.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for WI-05?Yes 96.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for WI-05?Yes 1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OH-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-09 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-09 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 18.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-09 House election by 12% or more?Yes 17.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MN-06 House election: Tom Emmer vote percent
K 10.1K contractsWill Tom Emmer receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-06 House election?Yes 96%
Will Tom Emmer receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-06 House election?Yes 88%
Will Tom Emmer receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-06 House election?Yes 76%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?
PM $21.5KWill OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?Yes 47%
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?Yes 26.5%
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $CGPT?Yes 25.1%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

OH-06 House winner?
K 10.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OH-06?Yes 97%
Will Democratic win the House race for OH-06?Yes 3.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

PA-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 30.2%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 20.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 19.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TX-38 House election: Melissa McDonough vote percent
K 10.1K contractsWill Melissa McDonough receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-38 House election?Yes 97%
Will Melissa McDonough receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-38 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Melissa McDonough receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-38 House election?Yes 90%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MO-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Bexar County Judge winner?
PM $21.5K · K 32.0K contractsWill Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?
Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 Bexar County Judge general election? (Ron Nirenberg)
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.2%Rules differK Yes 98%
Will Patrick Von Dohlen win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?
Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 Bexar County Judge general election? (Patrick Von Dohlen)
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.5%Rules differK Yes 2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Mexico Nominal GDP in 2026
K 10.1K contractsMexico Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $1.8 trillion)Yes 98.5%
Mexico Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $1.7 trillion)Yes 98.5%
Mexico Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $1.6 trillion)Yes 98.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MD-08 House election: Nancy Wallace vote percent
K 10.0K contractsWill Nancy Wallace receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-08 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Nancy Wallace receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-08 House election?Yes 72%
Will Nancy Wallace receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-08 House election?Yes 34%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IL-13 House Election Winner
PM $21.4KWill the Democratic Party win the IL-13 House seat?Yes 95.7%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-13 House seat?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout
K 10.0K contractsWill at least 4,800,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?Yes 99%
Will at least 4,900,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?Yes 97%
Will at least 5,000,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?Yes 95.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Colorado Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Yes 31%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?Yes 14.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

When will the next UK parliamentary by-election be called?
K 10.0K contractsWill it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland that a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 90.5%
Will it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland that a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 84%
Will it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland that a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 51.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy

Core PCE YoY - September 2026
PM $21.4KWill Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?Yes 57%
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in September?Yes 20.9%
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?Yes 18%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)
K 10.0K contractsWill Republicans win the Senate race in South Carolina?Yes 78%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in South Carolina?Yes 17.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Meta’s Market Cap end of October 2026?
PM $21.4KWill Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?Yes 25%
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes 14.2%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MI-02 House winner?
K 9.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MI-02?Yes 96.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-02?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?
PM $21.4KTshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
K 9.9K contractsWill Pierre Poilievre resign as the conservative party leader before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 18%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Maine Senate and Governor Combo
PM $21.4KWill Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?Yes 53.5%
Will Democrats win the Maine Governor election and Republicans win the Maine Senate election?Yes 41.5%
Will Republicans sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?Yes 3.9%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

IN-09 House winner?
K 9.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for IN-09?Yes 97.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for IN-09?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
PM $21.4KHoward Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Yes 17.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
K 9.9K contractsWill the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?Yes 34.5%
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2029?Yes 28.5%
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2028?Yes 20.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Alabama Senate Election: Turnout
PM $21.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?Yes 30.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?Yes 22%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?Yes 19.3%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?
K 9.9K contractsWill Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 44%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy

What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on December 31?
PM $21.3KWill the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $323,000 and $327,000 on December 31?Yes 25.5%
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $318,000 and $323,000 on December 31?Yes 25.1%
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $327,000 on December 31?Yes 18.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

College Football: Top 25 Ranked Teams on Oct 25 AP Poll
K 9.9K contractsWill Wake Forest be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 9 rankings (expected to be released on Oct 25, 2026)?Yes 99.5%
Will Florida be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 9 rankings (expected to be released on Oct 25, 2026)?Yes 99.5%
Will Utah be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 9 rankings (expected to be released on Oct 25, 2026)?Yes 97.5%
+72 moreNext deadline Nov 17, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

CO-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-06 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NY-21 House election: Robert Smullen vote percent
K 9.9K contractsWill Robert Smullen receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?Yes 2.5%
Will Robert Smullen receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?Yes 2%
Will Robert Smullen receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?Yes 2%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 13%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Social Security COLA for 2028
K 9.9K contractsWill the cost-of-living adjustment applied to Social Security benefits payable for December 2027 be above 1.5%?Yes 83%
Will the cost-of-living adjustment applied to Social Security benefits payable for December 2027 be above 2.0%?Yes 71.5%
Will the cost-of-living adjustment applied to Social Security benefits payable for December 2027 be above 2.5%?Yes 52.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem
PM $21.2KWill Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Yes 97%
Will Tomáš Hrubý be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Yes 1.7%
Will Radim Bzura be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Yes 0.2%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Arizona's 8th District margin of victory
K 9.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 79.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 62%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 46.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

New Zealand Election: Turnout
PM $21.2KWill voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Yes 35%
Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Yes 33.5%
Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Yes 22.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Will Iowa corn production rise YoY?
K 9.9K contractsWill Iowa’s corn for grain production for 2026 be above 2.772 billion bushels?Yes 58%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

2026 Fort Bend County Judge Election Winner
PM $21.2KWill Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Yes 82.5%
Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?
K 9.9K contractsWill Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-12-01T15:00:00.000Z?Yes 6.5%
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-11-01T15:00:00.000Z?Yes 5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OK-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 34%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 18%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Egg prices up in October?
K 9.9K contractsWill egg prices rise by more than 0% in Oct 2026?Yes 38%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $21.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Idaho Governor election: Brad Little vote percent
K 9.9K contractsWill Brad Little receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Yes 95%
Will Brad Little receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Yes 91%
Will Brad Little receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Yes 83%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Trump nationalize elections?
PM $21.0KWill Trump nationalize elections?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Montreal single-family home price below C$625K in 2026?
K 9.8K contractsWill the median price of single-family homes in the Montreal Census Metropolitan Area in 2026 fall below C$625,000?Yes 31.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 19%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 18%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC