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Showing 3,169-3,216 of 7,553 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
FL-17 House winner?
K 5.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-17?Yes 95%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-17?Yes 4.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 26%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 16.3%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Connecticut Governor election: Ned Lamont vote percent
K 5.6K contractsWill Ned Lamont receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election?Yes 94.5%
Will Ned Lamont receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election?Yes 92.5%
Will Ned Lamont receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election?Yes 77.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WV-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 35%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 14.7%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 21st District margin of victory
K 5.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 21st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 21st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 64.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 21st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 49%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Olomouc
PM $15.9KWill Marek Zelenka be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Yes 96.5%
Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Yes 3.1%
Will Otakar Štěpán Bačák be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Yes 1.4%
+4 more
KalshiPolitics
How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/18-10/24)
K 5.5K contractsWill there be at least 2 presidential actions in the week of Oct 18, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will there be at least 3 presidential actions in the week of Oct 18, 2026?Yes 79%
Will there be at least 4 presidential actions in the week of Oct 18, 2026?Yes 66%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 23, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SC-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 12%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?
K 5.5K contractsWho will be Trump's next Secretary of State? (No other person)Yes 58%
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? (Robert O'Brien)Yes 14.5%
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? (Ric Grenell)Yes 8.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
South Carolina Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Yes 16.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Editing
K 5.5K contractsWill The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Editing at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 95.5%
Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Editing at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 76%
Will Wild Horse Nine be on the list of nominees for Best Editing at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 73%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Yes 19.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?Yes 12.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
WA-08 House winner?
K 5.5K contractsWill a Democrat win the House race for WA-08?Yes 96.9%
Will a Republican win the House race for WA-08?Yes 1.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Miami on October 20?
PM $15.8KWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 20?Yes 62%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 20?Yes 28.5%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 20?Yes 7.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in San Francisco in Oct 2026?
K 5.5K contractsRain in San Francisco in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 23%
Rain in San Francisco in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 8.5%
Rain in San Francisco in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 7.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chongqing on October 20?
PM $15.8KWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 20?Yes 33.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 20?Yes 33.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 20?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Idaho Senate election: Natalie Fleming vote percent
K 5.5K contractsWill Natalie Fleming receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?Yes 83%
Will Natalie Fleming receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?Yes 60%
Will Natalie Fleming receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?Yes 44.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Yes 16.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 12% or more?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Hawaii's 2nd District margin of victory
K 5.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 2nd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 95.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 2nd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 93.4%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 2nd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 88.9%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?
PM $15.7KWill Congress override any veto in 2026?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Virginia's 6th District margin of victory
K 5.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 93.7%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 89.7%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 80%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)
PM $15.7KWill Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?Yes 79.5%
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?Yes 20.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Carolina Governor election: Jermaine Johnson vote percent
K 5.5K contractsWill Jermaine Johnson receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jermaine Johnson receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election?Yes 92.5%
Will Jermaine Johnson receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election?Yes 78.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Northern Midlands Mayoral Election Winner
PM $15.7KWill Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?Yes 46%
Will Wendy Mitchell win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?Yes 5.8%
Will Paul Terrett win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?Yes 5.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
French presidential election: who will advance?
K 5.5K contractsWill Marine Le Pen qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 91.5%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 44%
Will Édouard Philippe qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 43.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Apr 17, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-28 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-28 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-28 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 24%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-28 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 17%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Snow in Boston in Dec 2026?
K 5.5K contractsSnow in Boston in Dec 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 60%
Snow in Boston in Dec 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 51.5%
Snow in Boston in Dec 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 42.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?
PM $15.6KChud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
NY-04 House winner?
PM $15.6K · K 89.3K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for NY-4?
Related contracts
PM Yes 93%Rules differK Yes 93.5%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-04 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for NY-4?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.6%Rules differK Yes 6.8%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Jersey 07 House General Election: voter turnout
K 5.5K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 07 House General Election be above 240000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 07 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 07 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 96%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MD-04 House election: Glenn Ivey vote percent
K 5.5K contractsWill Glenn Ivey receive at least 82% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Glenn Ivey receive at least 84% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?Yes 85.5%
Will Glenn Ivey receive at least 86% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?Yes 74.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 12% or more?Yes 19.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 15.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia Senate election: Mike Collins vote percent (1st Round)
K 5.5K contractsWill Mike Collins receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Mike Collins receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Mike Collins receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election?Yes 93.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-11 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 18%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-11 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 16.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-11 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 16.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-09 House election: Morgan Griffith vote percent
K 5.5K contractsWill Morgan Griffith receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-09 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Morgan Griffith receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-09 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Morgan Griffith receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-09 House election?Yes 82%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Saudi troops enter Taiz by...?
PM $15.6KSaudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by December 31, 2026?Yes 14%
Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by October 31, 2026?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
K 5.4K contractsWill the 2026 House popular vote margin be within 0.9 points of the final VoteHub generic ballot margin?Yes 28%
Will Democrats outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 1 to 2.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?Yes 16.5%
Will Republicans outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 1 to 2.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?Yes 15%
+6 moreNext deadline May 30, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
PM $15.6KChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?Yes 22%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the ABA lose its law school accreditation power?
K 5.4K contractsWill the U.S. Department of Education announce a decision by the senior Department official to terminate, suspend, limit, or deny renewal of the recognition of the American Bar Association's Council of the Section of Legal Education and Admissions to the Bar as an accrediting agency for law schools before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 70%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-14 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-14 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-14 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 15.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-14 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 13.1%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Maryland?
K 5.4K contractsWill Question 2 pass?Yes 77.5%
Will Question 1 pass?Yes 76.5%
Will Question 3 pass?Yes 66%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
KY-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-03 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 13.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Winnipeg mayoral election winner?
K 5.4K contractsWill Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Yes 81.5%
Will Kevin Klein win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Yes 9%
Will Mazher Alam win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Yes 4%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Paris on October 20?
PM $15.5KWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20?Yes 57.5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 20?Yes 21.5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 20?Yes 17.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan's 3rd District margin of victory
K 5.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 3rd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 91.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 3rd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 86%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 3rd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 78%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 21%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 17.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Midterms: which party wins independents?
K 5.4K contractsWill Democrats win independents in the exit poll?Yes 78%
Will Republicans win independents in the exit poll?Yes 23%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-18 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 37%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 15.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 15.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC