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Showing 3,169-3,216 of 7,017 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?
K 5.1K contractsWill it be reported by The Times of Israel that Avigdor Lieberman is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?Yes 21.5%
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Naftali Bennett is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?Yes 20.5%
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Israel Katz is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?Yes 20.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CO-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 36.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 33%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 13th District margin of victory
K 5.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 13th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 20%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 13th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
PM $14.4KWill Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?Yes 97.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 7th District margin of victory
K 5.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 7th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 27%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 7th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 15%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 7th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 6%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Regional Board Chair of Uppsala?
PM $14.4KWill Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Yes 96.8%
Will Emilie Orring be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Yes 2.3%
Will Christer Olsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Yes 0.8%
+9 more
KalshiPolitics
MN-05 House election: Ilhan Omar vote percent
K 5.1K contractsWill Ilhan Omar receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Ilhan Omar receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Ilhan Omar receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-20 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 22.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 2nd District margin of victory
K 5.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House election be at least 28 percentage points?Yes 95.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House election be at least 31 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?Yes 74.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-37 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 20.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida State Senate winner?
K 5.1K contractsWho will win the Florida Senate? (Republican party)Yes 97.5%
Who will win the Florida Senate? (Democratic party)Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey?
PM $14.4KWill Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 71%
Will Democrats win 11 or more House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 17.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 5.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Hampshire Governor election: Kelly Ayotte vote percent
K 5.0K contractsWill Kelly Ayotte receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Kelly Ayotte receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election?Yes 96%
Will Kelly Ayotte receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election?Yes 91%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kebbi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $14.4KWill Nasir Idris win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election?Yes 86.5%
Will Abubakar Malami win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election?Yes 10%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MT-02 House election: Brian Miller vote percent
K 5.0K contractsWill Brian Miller receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?Yes 83.5%
Will Brian Miller receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?Yes 69.5%
Will Brian Miller receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?Yes 49.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 33.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 26%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Montana's 1st District margin of victory
K 5.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 30%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 21%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 5.2%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
West Virginia Senate Election: Turnout
PM $14.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 450,000 and 500,000?Yes 39.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 500,000 and 550,000?Yes 26%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 400,000 and 450,000?Yes 10.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Jon Ossoff outperform the polls?
K 5.0K contractsWill Jon Ossoff outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia?Yes 60.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 30.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 25.7%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 11%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nebraska Attorney General winner?
K 5.0K contractsWill the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Nebraska?Yes 92.3%
Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Nebraska?Yes 7.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-26 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 29%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Oklahoma?
K 5.0K contractsWill State Question 847 pass?Yes 49.5%
Will State Question 845 pass?Yes 49.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
PM $14.3KIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes 94.8%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MA-04 House election: Tom Stalcup vote percent
K 5.0K contractsWill Tom Stalcup receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Tom Stalcup receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-04 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Tom Stalcup receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-04 House election?Yes 81%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?
PM $14.3KWill Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
PM $14.3K · K 47.3K contractsWill Andrey Gyurov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Kalshi: Will Andrey Gyurov finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 95%Rules differK Yes 94%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Kalshi: Will Andrey Gyurov finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3%Rules differK Yes 94%
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Kalshi: Will Kostadin Kostadinov finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 88%Rules differK Yes 2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-36 House winner?
K 5.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-36?Yes 97.6%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-36?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska Senate election: Mary Peltola vote percent (1st Round)
K 5.0K contractsWill Mary Peltola receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?Yes 92%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?Yes 78%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
RI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 29%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 13.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Missouri's 6th District margin of victory
K 5.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 97.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 96.6%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 95.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 26%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 24.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India?
K 5.0K contractsWill Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 25%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 23.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 21%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 21%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?
K 5.0K contractsWill Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?Yes 25.5%
Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 14.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Senate Three-Way Combo: Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire
PM $14.2KWill Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?Yes 66.5%
Will Republicans win the Michigan Senate seat, and Democrats win Minnesota and New Hampshire?Yes 21.3%
Will Democrats win the Michigan and New Hampshire Senate seats, and Republicans win Minnesota?Yes 6.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in North Dakota?
K 5.0K contractsWill Constitutional Measure 2 pass?Yes 57.5%
Will Constitutional Measure 1 pass?Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?
PM $14.2KEpstein storage units raided in 2026?Yes 4.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OR-05 House election: Patti Adair vote percent
K 5.0K contractsWill Patti Adair receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-05 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Patti Adair receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-05 House election?Yes 87.5%
Will Patti Adair receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-05 House election?Yes 75.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 33%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 27.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 20.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Nancy Mace resign before the midterms?
K 4.9K contractsWill Nancy Mace resign before the midterms?Yes 4.1%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by...?
PM $14.1KSaudi troops enter Marib Governorate by December 31, 2026?Yes 15%
Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Chile rate decision in October
PM $14.1K · K 31.4K contractsWill the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.4%Rules differK Yes 96.5%
Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 1%
Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.8%Rules differK Yes 1.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Connecticut Governor margin of victory
K 4.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Connecticut be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 94%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Connecticut be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 86.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Connecticut be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 74.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Meta family daily active people in 2026
K 4.9K contractsWill Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.66 billion family daily active people in 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.68 billion family daily active people in 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.7 billion family daily active people in 2026?Yes 71.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
PM $14.1KWill Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 43%
Will J.D. Vance be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 39.5%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 20.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania Governor election: Josh Shapiro vote percent
K 4.9K contractsWill Josh Shapiro receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 98%
Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC