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Showing 3,217-3,264 of 8,775 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

MI-04 House winner?
PM $16.5K · K 35.2K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for MI-4?
Related contracts
PM Yes 50.5%Rules differK Yes 51.5%
Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for MI-4?
Related contracts
PM Yes 49.5%Rules differK Yes 48.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MD-08 House election: Nancy Wallace vote percent
K 10.0K contractsWill Nancy Wallace receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-08 House election?Yes 92%
Will Nancy Wallace receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-08 House election?Yes 72%
Will Nancy Wallace receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-08 House election?Yes 34%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)
K 10.0K contractsWill Republicans win the Senate race in South Carolina?Yes 79%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in South Carolina?Yes 18%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

KS-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $16.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 35%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 23.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 21.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

When will the next UK parliamentary by-election be called?
K 10.0K contractsWill it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland that a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 90.5%
Will it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland that a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 83.5%
Will it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland that a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 52%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $16.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-13 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 33.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-13 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-13 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 21%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?
K 10.0K contractsWill Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 22%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
PM $16.4KWill Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
K 9.9K contractsWill the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?Yes 34%
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2029?Yes 28%
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2028?Yes 20%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NC-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $16.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Montreal single-family home price below C$625K in 2026?
K 9.9K contractsWill the median price of single-family homes in the Montreal Census Metropolitan Area in 2026 fall below C$625,000?Yes 31%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

What will SpaceX (SPCX) hit in October 2026?
PM $16.4KWill SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $155 in October?Yes 58.5%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $165 in October?Yes 57.5%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?Yes 56.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MI-02 House winner?
K 9.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MI-02?Yes 97%
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-02?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Who will be the next US Ambassador to Greece?
PM $16.4KWill Nicole Malliotakis be the next US Ambassador to Greece?Yes 11.5%
Will Josh Huck be the next US Ambassador to Greece?Yes 10.5%
Will Gus Bilirakis be the next US Ambassador to Greece?Yes 9.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 19, 2029 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in June 2027
K 9.9K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in June 2027?Yes 96.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.50 in June 2027?Yes 79%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.50 in June 2027?Yes 50%
+6 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NY-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $16.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-07 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 29.2%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-07 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 28.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-07 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 17.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

IN-09 House winner?
K 9.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for IN-09?Yes 97.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for IN-09?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

CO-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $16.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 19.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
K 9.9K contractsWill Pierre Poilievre resign as the conservative party leader before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 17%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

South Carolina Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $16.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Yes 34%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Yes 16.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NY-21 House election: Robert Smullen vote percent
K 9.9K contractsWill Robert Smullen receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?Yes 3.5%
Will Robert Smullen receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?Yes 3%
Will Robert Smullen receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?Yes 3%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IN-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $16.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 26%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-09 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-09 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 14%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Social Security COLA for 2028
K 9.9K contractsWill the cost-of-living adjustment applied to Social Security benefits payable for December 2027 be above 1.5%?Yes 82.5%
Will the cost-of-living adjustment applied to Social Security benefits payable for December 2027 be above 2.0%?Yes 71%
Will the cost-of-living adjustment applied to Social Security benefits payable for December 2027 be above 2.5%?Yes 52%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Serbia Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory
PM $16.3KWill United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%?Yes 17.9%
Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?Yes 17.5%
Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%?Yes 17%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

New Jersey gas prices this week
K 9.9K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.1600?Yes 73%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2000?Yes 65%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1400?Yes 62.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

GA-08 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $16.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-08 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 34%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-08 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-08 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Arizona's 8th District margin of victory
K 9.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 79.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 63%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 47%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $16.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 18.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 16.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Will Iowa corn production rise YoY?
K 9.9K contractsWill Iowa’s corn for grain production for 2026 be above 2.772 billion bushels?Yes 58.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NC-13 House Election Winner
PM $16.3KWill the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?Yes 85.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?Yes 14.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?
K 9.9K contractsWill Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-12-01T15:00:00.000Z?Yes 6%
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-11-01T15:00:00.000Z?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Next Mayor of Olomouc
PM $16.3KWill Marek Zelenka be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Yes 96.9%
Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Yes 2.9%
Will Otakar Štěpán Bačák be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Yes 1.5%
+4 more
KalshiPolitics

Idaho Governor election: Brad Little vote percent
K 9.9K contractsWill Brad Little receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Yes 94.5%
Will Brad Little receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Yes 91%
Will Brad Little receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Yes 83%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?
PM $16.3KWill there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Yes 53%
Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Yes 27%
Will there be 1 US aircraft carrier in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Yes 6.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Score
K 9.8K contractsWill The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Score at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 96%
Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Score at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 92%
Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Score at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 90%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OH-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $16.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 31%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 27.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

How high will the S&P/TSX Composite Index get in 2026?
K 9.8K contractsWill the S&P/TSX Composite Index be at least 37,000 in 2026?Yes 65.5%
Will the S&P/TSX Composite Index be at least 38,000 in 2026?Yes 35%
Will the S&P/TSX Composite Index be at least 39,000 in 2026?Yes 12%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NY-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $16.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-09 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 37.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-09 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 21.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-09 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 21%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

GA-06 House winner?
K 9.8K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for GA-06?Yes 97.8%
Will Republican win the House race for GA-06?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Nitra Region Governor Election Winner
PM $16.2KWill Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?Yes 88%
Will Henrich Varga win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?Yes 7.8%
Will Tibor Csenger win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?Yes 0.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Will anyone win the next French presidential election in the first round?
K 9.8K contractsWill anyone win the next French presidential election in the first round?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 18, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

KS-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $16.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-02 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 21.2%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-02 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-02 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 18%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in October
K 9.8K contractsWill Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending October 23, 2026 be above -0.62?Yes 99%
Will Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending October 23, 2026 be above -0.60?Yes 96%
Will Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending October 23, 2026 be above -0.58?Yes 96%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?
PM $16.2KWill Lauren Boebert resign by October 31, 2026?Yes 4.4%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Will Paramount announce an HQ move outside greater LA?
K 9.8K contractsParamount HQ relocation announcement before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 35.5%
Paramount HQ relocation announcement before Dec 1, 2027?Yes 35%
Paramount HQ relocation announcement before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 14.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

FL-19 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $16.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 33.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 23%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 20.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Number of US oil rigs at end of 2026
K 9.8K contractsHow many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 370)Yes 98.5%
How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 380)Yes 97.5%
How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? (At least 390)Yes 96.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NC-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $16.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 16%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC