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Showing 3,265-3,312 of 7,553 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Vocal Album
K 5.3K contractsGrammy nominees for Best Pop Vocal Album? (you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love)Yes 95.5%
Grammy nominees for Best Pop Vocal Album? (THIS MUSIC MAY CONTAIN HOPE.)Yes 63.5%
Grammy nominees for Best Pop Vocal Album? (The Romantic)Yes 50%
+16 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

VA-10 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-10 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-10 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-10 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Will the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer?
K 5.3K contractsWill the UK agree to or announce a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 44%
Will the UK agree to or announce a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Aug 1, 2027?Yes 35.5%
Will the UK agree to or announce a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 25.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-25 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 28.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TX-04 House winner?
K 5.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-04?Yes 96.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-04?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 19.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 17.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 16.7%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Arizona Secretary of State winner?
K 5.3K contractsWill the Democratic party win the Secretary of State election in Arizona?Yes 80%
Will the Republican party win the Secretary of State election in Arizona?Yes 18.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Michigan Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Which ballot measures will pass in Massachusetts?
K 5.3K contractsWill Question 1 pass?Yes 92.5%
Will Question 4 pass?Yes 90%
Will Question 6 pass?Yes 86.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in London on October 20?
PM $15.0KWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?Yes 48%
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 20?Yes 37.5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 20?Yes 11.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?
K 5.2K contractsWill the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 13 at the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 97.5%
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 10 at the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 97.5%
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 16 at the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 96.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Idaho Senate Election: Turnout
PM $15.0KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?Yes 30.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 640,000 and 680,000?Yes 21%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 680,000 and 720,000?Yes 17.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

UT-04 House winner?
K 5.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for UT-04?Yes 96.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for UT-04?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Wisconsin Governor Election: Turnout
PM $15.0KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?Yes 38%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?Yes 23%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,800,000 and 3,000,000?Yes 19.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Massachusetts's 6th District margin of victory
K 5.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 6th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?Yes 94.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 6th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?Yes 93.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 6th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 92.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027?
PM $15.0KWill Trump's approval rating hit 37% by June 30, 2027?Yes 85.7%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% by June 30, 2027?Yes 70.5%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 39% by June 30, 2027?Yes 57.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
PM $15.0K · K 339.4K contractsWill Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the 22nd Amendment be repealed or reinterpreted to let Presidents run for a third term before Jan 1, 2029
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.5%Rules differK Yes 9.3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TX-28 House election: Henry Cuellar vote percent
K 5.2K contractsWill Henry Cuellar receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-28 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Henry Cuellar receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-28 House election?Yes 94%
Will Henry Cuellar receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-28 House election?Yes 82%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?
K 5.2K contractsWill the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 1 during his second term as President?Yes 68.5%
Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 2 during his second term as President?Yes 49%
Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 3 during his second term as President?Yes 31.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 21, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OH-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.9KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 31%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Coquitlam mayoral election winner?
K 5.2K contractsWill Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?Yes 99.5%
Will Trish Mandewo win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?Yes 0.5%
Will Madhavee Inamdar win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Vermont Governor Election: Turnout
PM $14.9KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 275,000 and 300,000?Yes 36.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000?Yes 36%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be 350,000 or more?Yes 14%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Nebraska's 1st District margin of victory
K 5.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 65%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 51%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 37%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
PM $14.9KWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?Yes 97.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TX-27 House election: Michael Cloud vote percent
K 5.2K contractsWill Michael Cloud receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-27 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Michael Cloud receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-27 House election?Yes 86%
Will Michael Cloud receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-27 House election?Yes 76%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Denmark snap election called by December 31?
PM $14.9KDenmark snap election called by December 31?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

FL-06 House winner?
K 5.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-06?Yes 96.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-06?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
PM $14.9KTrump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?Yes 55.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Tennessee Governor election: Jerri Green vote percent
K 5.2K contractsWill Jerri Green receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jerri Green receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election?Yes 92.5%
Will Jerri Green receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election?Yes 79.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 19?
PM $14.9KWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 19?Yes 99.7%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 19?Yes 0.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 19?Yes 0.1%
+8 more
KalshiPolitics

MD-04 House election: George McDermott vote percent
K 5.1K contractsWill George McDermott receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?Yes 98%
Will George McDermott receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will George McDermott receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?Yes 88%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IL-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.9KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 22.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 17%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

FL-25 House election: Jared Moskowitz vote percent
K 5.1K contractsWill Jared Moskowitz receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-25 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jared Moskowitz receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-25 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Jared Moskowitz receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-25 House election?Yes 88.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MO-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 26.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Ohio Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 5.1K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Ohio Senate General Election be above 3700000?Yes 89%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Ohio Senate General Election be above 3900000?Yes 85%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Ohio Senate General Election be above 4100000?Yes 74%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
PM $14.9KIdaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?Yes 13.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CA-13 House election: Adam Gray vote percent
K 5.1K contractsWill Adam Gray receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Adam Gray receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?Yes 96%
Will Adam Gray receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?Yes 89.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MN-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 17.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 13%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actress on TV
K 5.1K contractsWill Kate O’Flynn be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 89%
Will Hannah Einbinder be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 84.5%
Will Linda Cardellini be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 79.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

New Mexico Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more?Yes 42.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 18%-21%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 3% or more?Yes 13%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Missouri State Senate District 8 winner?
K 5.1K contractsWho will win the 2026 Missouri State Senate District 8 general election? (Jon Patterson)Yes 56.5%
Who will win the 2026 Missouri State Senate District 8 general election? (Keri Ingle)Yes 45%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-09 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-09 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-09 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 17.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CA-20 House winner?
K 5.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for CA-20?Yes 96.9%
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-20?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Helsinki on October 20?
PM $14.8KWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 20?Yes 57.5%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 20?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?Yes 10%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory
K 5.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 7th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 7th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 73%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 7th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 54.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner
PM $14.8KWill Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?Yes 72.5%
Will Chen Ying win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?Yes 24.4%
Will Li Wu Ying-chih win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?Yes <0.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

DSCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
K 5.1K contractsWill the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee report more than $35M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 61%
Will the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee report more than $40M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50%
Will the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee report more than $25M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 18%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC