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Showing 289-336 of 835 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Rain in Dallas in Oct 2026?
K 17.9K contractsRain in Dallas in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 80.5%
Rain in Dallas in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 16.5%
Rain in Dallas in Oct 2026? (Above 10 inches)Yes 7.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Houston on October 19?
PM $7.8KWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 19?Yes 53%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 19?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 19?Yes 19.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 17.7K contractsAbove 7000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 94%
Above 8000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 89.5%
Above 9000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 71%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on October 19?
PM $7.8KWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 19?Yes 46.5%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 19?Yes 28.5%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 19?Yes 17%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?
K 17.5K contractsWill Russia name the pathogen behind the Irkutsk plague lab death before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Moscow on October 19?
PM $7.8KWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 19?Yes 49.5%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 19?Yes 41%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 19?Yes 8.3%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee?
K 17.4K contractsWhat will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tallahassee originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Elon / Musk)Yes 96.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tallahassee originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Working Class)Yes 95.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tallahassee originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 95.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
PM $7.4KWill California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
US solar capacity installed in 2026
K 16.7K contractsWill at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will at least 40 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?Yes 92.3%
Will at least 45 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?Yes 71.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?
PM $7.0KWill a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Philippines this month?Yes 60.5%
Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Japan this month?Yes 54%
Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Indonesia this month?Yes 43%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
K 16.7K contractsWill a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?Yes 33%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Milan on October 20?
PM $6.9KWill the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 20?Yes 46%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 20?Yes 24.5%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 20?Yes 22%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?
K 16.7K contractsWill any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will any LLM score at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 71%
Will any LLM score at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 56%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on October 19?
PM $6.7KWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 19?Yes 58.5%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 19?Yes 26%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 19?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Big Ten: Receiving Yards Leader
K 16.5K contractsJeremiah Smith records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 73%
KJ Duff records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 30.5%
Nick Marsh records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 3%
+47 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Jeddah on October 19?
PM $6.5KWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 19?Yes 45.5%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 19?Yes 45%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 19?Yes 6.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 18, 2026?
K 15.8K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 67-68° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 51%
Will the maximum temperature be 65-66° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 25.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 21.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Paris on October 18?
PM $6.5KWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 18?Yes 95%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 18?Yes 2.6%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on October 18?Yes 0.3%
+8 more
KalshiHealth
Next pandemic
K 15.7K contractsPandemic by Dec 31, 2029?Yes 21%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2028?Yes 18%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2027?Yes 12.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Paris on October 20?
PM $6.4KWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20?Yes 37%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 20?Yes 30.5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 20?Yes 18.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
K 15.6K contractsWill above 3 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 94%
Will above 4 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will above 8 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 4.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 20?
PM $6.3KWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 20?Yes 48%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 20?Yes 26%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 20?Yes 18%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?
K 15.5K contractsHow many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 25)Yes 90%
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 30)Yes 69.5%
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 40)Yes 32.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in NYC on October 19?
PM $6.2KWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 19?Yes 44.5%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 19?Yes 42%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 19?Yes 9.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip
K 15.4K contractsWhen will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ? (Before 2028)Yes 95%
When will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ? (Before July 2027)Yes 91%
When will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ? (Before April 2027)Yes 57.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Ankara on October 20?
PM $5.7KWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 20?Yes 51.5%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 20?Yes 24.5%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 20?Yes 20%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Austin on Oct 18, 2026?
K 14.9K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 75-76° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 58%
Will the maximum temperature be 73-74° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 41%
Will the maximum temperature be 77-78° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 2.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Mexico City on October 19?
PM $5.6KWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 19?Yes 41%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 19?Yes 30%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 19?Yes 23%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
K 14.8K contractsWill there be more than 8 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will there be more than 9 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 78.5%
Will there be more than 10 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 66%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?
PM $5.6KWill the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?Yes 82%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 14.7K contractsMoonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.9%Yes 99%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 6.0%Yes 54.5%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 9.3%Yes 54%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Miami on October 19?
PM $5.5KWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 19?Yes 57%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 19?Yes 30%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 19?Yes 10.3%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Top Chinese AI company this month
K 14.7K contractsTop Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Xiaomi)Yes 60.5%
Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Alibaba)Yes 16%
Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Moonshot)Yes 13%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 20?
PM $5.5KWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on October 20?Yes 28.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on October 20?Yes 25.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 20?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
K 14.5K contractsWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in London on October 18?
PM $5.1KWill the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 18?Yes 82.8%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on October 18?Yes 19.8%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on October 18?Yes 15%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Rain in Denver in Oct 2026?
K 14.3K contractsRain in Denver in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 16.5%
Rain in Denver in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 9%
Rain in Denver in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 3.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?
PM $5.1KWill Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?Yes 13%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 12, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Boston on Oct 18, 2026?
K 14.0K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 53-54° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 61%
Will the maximum temperature be 55-56° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 20.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 51-52° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 14.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Munich on October 20?
PM $4.9KWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 20?Yes 17%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 20?Yes 16.5%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 20?Yes 15.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026?
K 13.9K contractsRain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 60%
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 19.5%
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 7%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest sea level in San Diego this winter?
PM $4.9KWill the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?Yes 69.5%
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.90 ft MLLW or more?Yes 50.5%
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.10 ft MLLW or more?Yes 25.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Total space launches in October
K 13.6K contractsHow many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 9)Yes 99%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 10)Yes 98.5%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 11)Yes 83%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 19?
PM $4.8KWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 19?Yes 45.5%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 19?Yes 37%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 19?Yes 9.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 13.5K contractsDeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 11.4%Yes 91.5%
DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 15.0%Yes 82.5%
DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 12.3%Yes 71.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in October
PM $4.6KWill the peak wind gust in Wellington be 86 to 95 km/h in October?Yes 63.5%
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 96 km/h or above in October?Yes 36.5%
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 85 km/h or below in October?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026?
K 13.3K contractsRain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 94%
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 67.5%
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 34%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Singapore on October 20?
PM $4.5KWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 20?Yes 54.5%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 20?Yes 31%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 20?Yes 12.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC