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Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
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Showing 289-336 of 1,368 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiScience and Technology
Confirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?
K 60.4K contracts1 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 8%
5 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 4.5%
2 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 3.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
PM $45.8KWill the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes 3.1%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes 1.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
PM $45.2K · K 3.8K contractsWill Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Anthropic release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 27.5%Rules differK Yes 33.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Time's Person of the Decade
K 60.4K contractsWho will Time name as Person of the Decade? (Volodymyr Zelenskyy)Yes 39%
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? (Elon Musk)Yes 29%
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? (Taylor Swift)Yes 18%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2030 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will LLM restrictions become law in 2026?
K 59.9K contractsAI regulation by 2027?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
PM $45.0KUS Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Yes 14%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Amazon Credit Card Spend in October
K 59.7K contractsWill Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 94 ?Yes 97.5%
Will Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 103 ?Yes 74.5%
Will Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 106 ?Yes 69.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?
PM $44.9KNext OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 31.5%
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 15%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Total Bases
K 59.2K contractsYandy Díaz: 2+ total bases?Yes 41.5%
Junior Caminero: 2+ total bases?Yes 39.5%
Jonathan Aranda: 2+ total bases?Yes 36%
+60 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026
PM $44.5KWill Erling Braut Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Yes 60.5%
Will Kylian Mbappé rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Yes 57%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 58.8K contractsWill October 13 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 28.5%
Will October 16 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 23.5%
Will October 14 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 17.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
PM $43.7KWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes 84.8%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes 4.9%
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes 0.6%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?
K 58.6K contractsWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 61%
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 21.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
PM $42.4KUS Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
K 57.4K contractsWill Ford Motor Company report Above 1.85 million u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026?Yes 98%
Will Ford Motor Company report Above 1.95 million u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Ford Motor Company report Above 1.9 million u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026?Yes 97.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
PM $41.2KWill OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 89.5%
Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 4.3%
Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 1%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026
K 57.3K contractsWill eBay Inc. report Above $84 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will eBay Inc. report Above $84.5 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will eBay Inc. report Above $85 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?Yes 85%
+14 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
PM $40.9KAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Yes 5.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Oura officially announce an IPO?
K 57.2K contractsWhen will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO? (Before Oct 1, 2027)Yes 89.5%
When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 82%
When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO? (Before Jul 1, 2027)Yes 81%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
PM $40.4KWill Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 55%
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 28.5%
Will Meta be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 5.6%
+15 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
K 57.1K contractsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?Yes 52.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2035 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched People on Google 2026
PM $40.1KWill Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Yes 66%
Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Yes 44%
Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Yes 36.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
K 56.8K contractsWill the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $750?Yes 86%
Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,000?Yes 73.5%
Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,250?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Sep 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
PM $39.6KWill Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 39.9%
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 28%
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 19%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?
K 56.7K contractsWill Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 21.5%
Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 14.5%
Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 6.6%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Claude 6 released by...?
PM $38.6KClaude 6 released by December 31, 2027?Yes 92.5%
Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?Yes 72.5%
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?Yes 41.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500: Top 10 Finishers
K 56.0K contractsCup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 10Yes 84%
Cup Series: Joey Logano to finish in the top 10Yes 76%
Cup Series: Austin Cindric to finish in the top 10Yes 72%
+34 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)
PM $38.6KWill Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 46.5%
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 26%
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 19.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
K 55.7K contractsWill Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Apr 2027?Yes 68%
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Mar 2027?Yes 43%
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Feb 2027?Yes 31.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)
PM $38.2KWill Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 31.5%
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 20.8%
Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 20%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: RBIs
K 55.7K contractsJunior Caminero: 1+ RBIs?Yes 33%
Yandy Díaz: 1+ RBIs?Yes 28.5%
Jo Adell: 1+ RBIs?Yes 28.5%
+31 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?
PM $38.0KNext Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 7%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville?
K 55.6K contractsWhat will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Gainesville originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Corrupt / Corruption)Yes 1.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Gainesville originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Student Loan / Student Debt)Yes 0.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Gainesville originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Socialist / Socialism)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
PM $37.7KWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?Yes 33.5%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes 25.5%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes 24.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto for any of their core services in 2026?
K 55.3K contractsWill any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto for any of their core services in 2026?Yes 33%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?
PM $37.6KWill Polymarket mindshare hit 65% by December 31?Yes 90%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70% by December 31?Yes 73%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?Yes 46.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
K 54.6K contractsManned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)
PM $35.9KWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 50%
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 11.2%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?
K 54.6K contractsWill Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Best AI model on October 19?
PM $34.8KWill gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?Yes 99.1%
Will any other model be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?Yes 0.9%
Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?Yes <0.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models
K 54.4K contractsWill Joan Smalls be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Ashley Graham be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Alex Consani be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 90%
+34 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
PM $34.5KWill the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?Yes 91.8%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?Yes 73.5%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?Yes 66.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Next Gemini Pro model release
K 54.3K contractsWill Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 20%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 16, 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 6%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?
PM $33.8KWill the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes 25.4%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes 19%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes 17.9%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Timber harvested from Oregon BOF lands in FY2027
K 54.0K contractsWill timber volume harvested from Board of Forestry Lands in 2027 be above 160 million board feet?Yes 96.5%
Will timber volume harvested from Board of Forestry Lands in 2027 be above 180 million board feet?Yes 85%
Will timber volume harvested from Board of Forestry Lands in 2027 be above 200 million board feet?Yes 44.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
PM $33.7KWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?Yes 58%
Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?Yes 48%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
OpenRouter token usage in Oct 12–18
K 53.8K contractsWill OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 174T tokens?Yes 11%
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 180T tokens?Yes 2.5%
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 178T tokens?Yes 2.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
PM $32.5KWill Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC