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Showing 3,409-3,456 of 7,539 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

OH-03 House winner?
K 4.9K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for OH-03?Yes 97.6%
Will Republican win the House race for OH-03?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
PM $14.1KWill Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 43%
Will J.D. Vance be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 39.5%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 20.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Pennsylvania State House winner?
K 4.9K contractsWho will win the Pennsylvania State House election? (Democratic party)Yes 92.5%
Who will win the Pennsylvania State House election? (Republican party)Yes 7.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

AR-04 House winner?
K 4.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for AR-04?Yes 97.9%
Will Democratic win the House race for AR-04?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

DE-AL House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 25%-30%?Yes 52%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 20%-25%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 30%-35%?Yes 18.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice?
K 4.9K contractsWill Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) any sitting Supreme Court justice before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 75%
Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) any sitting Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 56.5%
Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) any sitting Supreme Court justice before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 48%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

ID-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 37.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Alabama Governor election: Doug Jones vote percent
K 4.9K contractsWill Doug Jones receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Doug Jones receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Doug Jones receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

WI-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 15.3%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Rhode Island 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 4.8K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island 02 House General Election be above 191000?Yes 73.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island 02 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 61%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island 02 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 47%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
PM $14.0KWill Josh Shapiro be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 34.8%
Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 17.2%
Will Pete Buttigieg be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MO-05 House election: Emanuel Cleaver vote percent
K 4.8K contractsWill Emanuel Cleaver receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-05 House election?Yes 98%
Will Emanuel Cleaver receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-05 House election?Yes 97%
Will Emanuel Cleaver receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-05 House election?Yes 97%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TN-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 24.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida Governor election: David Jolly vote percent
K 4.8K contractsWill David Jolly receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will David Jolly receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will David Jolly receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

WY-AL House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 35%-40%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 30%-35%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 40%-45%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actress in a Comedy Series
K 4.8K contractsWill Jean Smart be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 94.5%
Will Elle Fanning be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 73%
Will Quinta Brunson be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 71.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner
PM $14.0KWill Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Yes 54.5%
Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Yes 39%
Will Stephanie Bowman win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Yes 5.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MT-02 House election: Troy Downing vote percent
K 4.8K contractsWill Troy Downing receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?Yes 82.5%
Will Troy Downing receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?Yes 65.5%
Will Troy Downing receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?Yes 46.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Peterborough, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $14.0KWill Neil Morton win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?Yes 43.5%
Will Keith Riel win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?Yes 28.5%
Will Michael Eamon win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?Yes 13%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

VA-03 House election: Bobby Scott vote percent
K 4.8K contractsWill Bobby Scott receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-03 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Bobby Scott receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-03 House election?Yes 96%
Will Bobby Scott receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-03 House election?Yes 94%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 20?
PM $13.9KWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?Yes 54.5%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 20?Yes 23.5%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 20?Yes 19.3%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 15th District margin of victory
K 4.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 9.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 7.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 4%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Burlington, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $13.9KWill Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?Yes 66%
Will Rory Nisan win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?Yes 24.5%
Will Lisa Kearns win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?Yes 7.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TX-37 House election: Greg Casar vote percent
K 4.8K contractsWill Greg Casar receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-37 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Greg Casar receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-37 House election?Yes 87.5%
Will Greg Casar receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-37 House election?Yes 79.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

X banned in any European country by December 31?
PM $13.9KX banned in any European country by December 31?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

When will Copper Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 4.8K contractsWill Copper Mountain open before Nov 8, 2026?Yes 75.5%
Will Copper Mountain open before Nov 22, 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Copper Mountain open before Nov 15, 2026?Yes 50.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
PM $13.8KAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California 42 House General Election: voter turnout
K 4.8K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in California 42 House General Election be above 133000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 42 House General Election be above 126000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 42 House General Election be above 145000?Yes 96.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

WV-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 17.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Dane County, Wisconsin: David Crowley vote percent
K 4.8K contractsWill David Crowley receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Dane County, Wisconsin?Yes 96.5%
Will David Crowley receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Dane County, Wisconsin?Yes 96.5%
Will David Crowley receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Dane County, Wisconsin?Yes 79.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner
PM $13.8KWill Chen Chen-chung win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Yes 54%
Will Wu Shu-chin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Yes 38%
Will Yeh Chu-lin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Yes 14.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Georgia's 13th District margin of victory
K 4.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 13th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?Yes 96%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 13th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?Yes 95.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 13th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?Yes 93.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Idaho Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

FL-13 House winner?
PM $13.8K · K 47.7K contractsWill the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for FL-13?
Related contracts
PM Yes 74%Rules differK Yes 76%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for FL-13?
Related contracts
PM Yes 25.5%Rules differK Yes 25%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

VA-03 House election: Edwin Rivera vote percent
K 4.8K contractsWill Edwin Rivera receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-03 House election?Yes 97%
Will Edwin Rivera receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-03 House election?Yes 93%
Will Edwin Rivera receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-03 House election?Yes 73.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

VA-10 House winner?
K 4.8K contractsWill a Democrat win the House race for VA-10?Yes 97.1%
Will a Republican win the House race for VA-10?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Alagoas
PM $13.8KWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Yes 98.3%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the TX-23 special election be scheduled to a date before the midterms?
K 4.8K contractsWill the TX-23 special election be scheduled to a date before the midterms?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?
PM $13.8KWill Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 16.5%
Will Democrats win 12 or more House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 14%
Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 12.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

HMP Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
K 4.8K contractsWill House Majority PAC report more than $95M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 82%
Will House Majority PAC report more than $125M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50.5%
Will House Majority PAC report more than $110M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12?
PM $13.7KWill 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Yes 44.5%
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Yes 42%
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Yes 6.9%
+2 more
KalshiClimate and Weather

When will Snowbird open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 4.8K contractsWill Snowbird open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 53%
Will Snowbird open before Dec 20, 2026?Yes 51.5%
Will Snowbird open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 51%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 33.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 26%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 5%-10%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate

Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 20, 2026?
K 4.8K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 67-68° on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 45.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 43.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 65-66° on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 8.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TN-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 34.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 17%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Oregon's 6th District margin of victory
K 4.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 6th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 96.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 6th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 95.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 6th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 91.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NH-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 21%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC