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Showing 337-384 of 818 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026?
K 13.9K contractsRain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 66.5%
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 19.5%
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 7%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Wuhan on October 20?
PM $4.8KWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 20?Yes 57%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 20?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on October 20?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Dallas on Oct 18, 2026?
K 13.7K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 71-72° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 97%
Will the maximum temperature be 73-74° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 2.5%
Will the maximum temperature be >76° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 19?
PM $4.8KWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 19?Yes 34%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 19?Yes 10%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Total space launches in October
K 13.6K contractsHow many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 9)Yes 99%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 10)Yes 98.5%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 11)Yes 83%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on October 20?
PM $4.7KWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 20?Yes 44.5%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 20?Yes 31.5%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 20?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026?
K 13.5K contractsRain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 94%
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 77.5%
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 39%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in October
PM $4.6KWill the peak wind gust in Wellington be 86 to 95 km/h in October?Yes 62.5%
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 96 km/h or above in October?Yes 36.5%
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 85 km/h or below in October?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Trudy category?
K 13.3K contractsWill Trudy become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Trudy become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Trudy become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Toronto on October 20?
PM $4.5KWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 20?Yes 44%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 20?Yes 33.5%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 20?Yes 7.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in New Orleans on Oct 18, 2026?
K 13.3K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 76-77° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1.5%
Will the maximum temperature be >77° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Qingdao on October 19?
PM $4.4KWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 19?Yes 47.5%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 19?Yes 24%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 19?Yes 22.1%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
When will Breckenridge Ski Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 13.2K contractsWill Breckenridge Ski Resort open before Nov 22, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Breckenridge Ski Resort open before Nov 15, 2026?Yes 97%
Will Breckenridge Ski Resort open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 96.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on October 20?
PM $4.4KWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 20?Yes 43.5%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 20?Yes 41.5%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 20?Yes 8%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
India meets its 2030 climate goals?
K 13.1K contractsWill India meet its climate goals?Yes 67.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2031 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Miami on October 18?
PM $4.3KWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 18?Yes 85.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 18?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on October 18?Yes 4.5%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Number of tornadoes in Oct 2026?
K 13.0K contractsWill there be more than 25 tornadoes in October?Yes 99.5%
Will there be more than 50 tornadoes in October?Yes 71.5%
Will there be more than 75 tornadoes in October?Yes 24%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Miami on October 20?
PM $4.2KWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 20?Yes 62%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 20?Yes 23%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 20?Yes 10.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
This Oct 2026 is the hottest October ever?
K 12.5K contractsWill Oct 2026 be the hottest Oct ever?Yes 83%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 20?
PM $4.2KWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 20?Yes 46%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 20?Yes 35%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 20?Yes 10%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 19, 2026
K 12.4K contractsWill Casa Tupka Anthemo rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 28.5%
Will Dai Dai rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 15%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in NYC on October 18?
PM $4.2KWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on October 18?Yes 95.9%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on October 18?Yes 5.9%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on October 18?Yes 3.5%
+8 more
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?
K 12.1K contractsWill the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 54.5%
Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2032?Yes 51.5%
Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 47.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 20?
PM $4.0KWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 20?Yes 45.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 20?Yes 36%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 20?Yes 12%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in NYC in Oct 2026?
K 12.0K contractsRain in NYC in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 38.5%
Rain in NYC in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 27%
Rain in NYC in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 10%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Taipei on October 19?
PM $3.9KWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 19?Yes 51%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 19?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 19?Yes 14.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
OpenRouter AI token usage in October
K 11.6K contractsWill OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 500T tokens?Yes 99.5%
Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 450T tokens?Yes 99%
Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 550T tokens?Yes 98.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Which cities face tornado risk on October 18?
PM $3.9KWill Dallas, TX face tornado risk on October 18?Yes 49.5%
Will Des Moines, IA face tornado risk on October 18?Yes 49.5%
Will Nashville, TN face tornado risk on October 18?Yes 49.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Moke category?
K 11.5K contractsWill Moke become a Category 5 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
Will Moke become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
Will Moke become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 19?
PM $3.9KWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 19?Yes 62.5%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 19?Yes 22.5%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 19?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Austin in Oct 2026?
K 11.4K contractsRain in Austin in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 70%
Rain in Austin in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 25%
Rain in Austin in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 24.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Denver on October 20?
PM $3.9KWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 20?Yes 54%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 20?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 20?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Seattle on Oct 18, 2026?
K 11.2K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 60-61° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 59%
Will the maximum temperature be 58-59° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 37%
Will the maximum temperature be 62-63° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 6.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Seattle on October 19?
PM $3.8KWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 19?Yes 52.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 19?Yes 28.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 19?Yes 11.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
K 10.8K contractsWill Meta have a higher Arena Score than OpenAI at the end of 2026?Yes 88%
Will OpenAI have a higher Arena Score than Meta at the end of 2026?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chengdu on October 20?
PM $3.8KWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 20?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 20?Yes 24%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 20?Yes 23.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
OpenAI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 10.6K contractsOpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 15.7%Yes 49%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 20.4%Yes 48.5%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.9%Yes 48%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 19?
PM $3.6KWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 19?Yes 35%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 19?Yes 32.5%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 19?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
K 10.6K contractsWill the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?Yes 52.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on October 20?
PM $3.4KWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 20?Yes 52.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 20?Yes 32.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 20?Yes 9%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
When will the next Category 5 hurricane form?
K 10.1K contractsWhen will the next Category 5 hurricane form? (Before Dec 1, 2026)Yes 5%
When will the next Category 5 hurricane form? (Before Nov 1, 2026)Yes 0.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
US Tornadoes in September 2026
PM $3.4KWill there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?Yes 85%
Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?Yes 14.5%
Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?Yes 14.3%
+2 more
KalshiTech
OpenAI share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 10.0K contractsOpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 18.6%Yes 54%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 26.8%Yes 49%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 26.0%Yes 49%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in London on October 20?
PM $3.3KWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 20?Yes 38.5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?Yes 37.5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 20?Yes 13%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 9.8K contractsAbove 10 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 83%
Above 15 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 70%
Above 20 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 42%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 19?
PM $3.3KWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 19?Yes 41%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 19?Yes 24%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 19?Yes 3.1%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Massachusetts scientific R&D jobs rise YoY?
K 9.7K contractsWill Massachusetts’s annual-average employment in Scientific Research and Development Services for 2026 be above 103,400 jobs?Yes 61.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?
PM $3.2KWill the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?Yes 24%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC