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Showing 337-384 of 840 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Anthropic share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 24.8K contractsAnthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 5.3%Yes 97%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 5.5%Yes 57%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 6.0%Yes 50.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PM $5.8KWill Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 20%-25%?Yes 57%
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by at least 25%?Yes 27.5%
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?Yes 18.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
K 24.5K contractsWill Bola Tinubu leave office next in this set?Yes 16%
Will Cyril Ramaphosa leave office next in this set?Yes 13.5%
Will John Mahama leave office next in this set?Yes 6%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2035 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Tocantins Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PM $5.7KWill Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by at least 4%?Yes 48%
Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by less than 4%?Yes 37%
Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by at least 7%?Yes 10%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?
K 24.2K contractsWho will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (SZA)Yes 6%
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Tyla)Yes 4.5%
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Sabrina Carpenter)Yes 4%
+128 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?
PM $5.7KWill Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 49%
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 30%
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 19.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Jimmy Kimmel: Guests in 2026
K 24.1K contractsWill Kim Kardashian be on Jimmy Kimmel Live! before 2027?Yes 96.5%
Will Timothée Chalamet be on Jimmy Kimmel Live! before 2027?Yes 43.5%
Will Tom Holland be on Jimmy Kimmel Live! before 2027?Yes 38%
+28 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?
PM $5.5KWill Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 37%
Will Joint List win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 34%
Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 20.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Bruno Mars Streams in 2026
K 24.0K contractsWill Bruno Mars have 15000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Bruno Mars have 14500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Bruno Mars have 15500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 79.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?
PM $5.5KBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?Yes 72.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?
K 24.0K contractsWill the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Unity vote share?
PM $5.4KWill Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 97.2%
Will Unity win 0.5-0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 2%
Will Unity win 0.75-1% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 0.7%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will announce a California departure in 2026?
K 23.6K contractsWill Peter Thiel announce they're leaving California?Yes 56.5%
Will Mark Zuckerberg announce they're leaving California?Yes 34%
Will Larry Page announce they're leaving California?Yes 29.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
El Salvador Legislative Election Winner
PM $5.4KWill Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 95.1%
Will Vamos win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 1.5%
Will Salvadoran Democracy (DS) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 0.8%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?
K 23.5K contractsWhen will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before 2028)Yes 88%
When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before October 2027)Yes 86.5%
When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression? (Before July 2027)Yes 83%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Espírito Santo Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PM $5.2KWill Lorenzo Pazolini win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?Yes 46.4%
Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%?Yes 33.5%
Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial second round by less than 5%?Yes 30.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue 2027: Cover model
K 23.4K contractsWill Ella Halikas be on the cover of 2027 Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue?Yes 18.5%
Will Haley Kalil be on the cover of 2027 Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue?Yes 15%
Will Camille Kostek be on the cover of 2027 Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue?Yes 13%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by...?
PM $5.0KWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2027?Yes 20.5%
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2027?Yes 13.5%
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2027?Yes 9.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Jimmy Fallon: Guests in 2026
K 23.1K contractsWill Timothée Chalamet be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?Yes 66.5%
Will Taylor Swift be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?Yes 58.5%
Will Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?Yes 35.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Klitschko out as Kyiv mayor by...?
PM $4.9KKlitschko out as Kyiv mayor by June 30, 2027?Yes 29.5%
Klitschko out as Kyiv mayor by December 31, 2026?Yes 14%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will the FCC pull a Big Four TV station license?
K 22.7K contractsWill FCC announce the revocation, cancellation, or denial/non-renewal of the broadcast license of any full-power ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox television station before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 21.5%
Will FCC announce the revocation, cancellation, or denial/non-renewal of the broadcast license of any full-power ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox television station before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?
PM $4.9KSpain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?Yes 44.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Stolen Bases
K 22.6K contractsChandler Simpson: 1+ stolen bases?Yes 22.5%
José Ramírez: 1+ stolen bases?Yes 22%
Taylor Walls: 1+ stolen bases?Yes 13.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
PM $4.8KWill Margareta Dovgal win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 57.5%
Will Terry Yung win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 38%
Will Sam Chandola win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 2.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will Kash Patel visit Russia?
K 22.3K contractsWill Kash Patel visit Russia before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 21%
Will Kash Patel visit Russia before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?
PM $4.6KCanada admitted to the EU before 2029?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Fear & Greed Index on Oct 23, 2026?
K 22.3K contractsFear & Greed Index on Oct 23, 2026? (Fear)Yes 51.5%
Fear & Greed Index on Oct 23, 2026? (Extreme Fear)Yes 46.5%
Fear & Greed Index on Oct 23, 2026? (Neutral)Yes 3.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Shas vote share?
PM $4.6KWill Shas win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 27.5%
Will Shas win 9% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 23.4%
Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 13%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
K 22.1K contractsWill the U.S. withdraw from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 27%
Will the U.S. withdraw from OECD before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 20.5%
Will the U.S. withdraw from World Bank Group before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 18.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Ukraine lowers conscription age by...?
PM $4.4KUkraine lowers conscription age by March 31, 2027?Yes 18.5%
Ukraine lowers conscription age by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Number of US data centers in 2026?
K 21.8K contractsWill the United States have at least 4,800 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 88%
Will the United States have at least 4,900 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 79%
Will the United States have at least 5,000 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 62.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?
PM $4.2KWill Otzma Yehudit win 4.5-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 39%
Will Otzma Yehudit win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 38%
Will Otzma Yehudit win 5.5-6.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 37%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 21.6K contractsWill the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.54 by Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.69 by Dec 31?Yes 49.5%
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $1.39 by Dec 31?Yes 44%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?
PM $4.1KWill The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 43.5%
Will The Joint List win 5.5-6.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 35%
Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 27%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will Anthropic release Opus 6?
K 21.4K contractsWill Anthropic release Opus 6 before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 15%
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 16, 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 7.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
PM $3.7KWill Jessie Sunner win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 45.5%
Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 36.5%
Will Harman Preet Singh win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 3%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ruben Gallego out as Senator?
K 21.2K contractsWill Ruben Gallego be out as Senator before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
PM $3.6KWill Gordon Zhang win the next Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 87%
Will Bruce Kong win the next Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 10.5%
Will Keenan Yang win the next Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 2.9%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will Dune: Part Three be released?
K 21.2K contractsWill Dune: Part Three be released Worldwide before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 96.5%
Will Dune: Part Three be released Worldwide before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 3.5%
Will Dune: Part Three be released Worldwide before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
PM $3.6KWill Garry Purewal win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 50%
Will Jagrup Brar win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 45%
Will Tim Binnema win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 1.9%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th
K 20.8K contractsTop Chinese AI Company week of October 12th? (Xiaomi)Yes 50.5%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th? (Moonshot)Yes 47.5%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th? (Alibaba)Yes 47.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
PM $2.9KWill Jaime Stein win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 70%
Will Sunita Dhir win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 30%
Will John Atoyebi win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 0.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Who will be on the cover of Rolling Stone in 2026?
K 20.8K contractsWill Harry Styles be on the cover of Rolling Stone in 2026?Yes 85.5%
Will Taylor Swift be on the cover of Rolling Stone in 2026?Yes 66.5%
Will Lady Gaga be on the cover of Rolling Stone in 2026?Yes 51%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
PM $2.9KWill Doug Morneau win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 42.5%
Will Lisa Beare win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 32%
Will Susan Einarsson win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 5.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Columbus vs Minnesota: Goals
K 20.6K contractsKirill Kaprizov: 1+ goalsYes 44.5%
Matt Boldy: 1+ goalsYes 40.5%
Joel Eriksson Ek: 1+ goalsYes 31%
+57 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Estonia Parliamentary Election Winner
PM $2.9KWill Isamaa win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?Yes 49%
Will Centre Party win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?Yes 32%
Will Reform Party win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?Yes 15.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 19.6K contractsWill the B200 compute per hour price be above $9.17 on Dec 31?Yes 53.5%
Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $8.57 on Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
Will the B200 compute per hour price be above $7.97 by Dec 31?Yes 51.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
PM $2.7KWill Garry Thind win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 64.5%
Will Garry Begg win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 24%
Will James Yaroshuk win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes 3.8%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC