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Showing 3,793-3,840 of 7,279 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?
PM $8.6K · K 1.3K contractsWill Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union conclude an agreement expanding rights for Canadians to live or work in the EU after September 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.6%Rules differK Yes 4.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Louisiana 06 House General Election: voter turnout
K 4.0K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana 06 House General Election be above 60000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana 06 House General Election be above 80000?Yes 85%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana 06 House General Election be above 100000?Yes 58%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

VA-04 House election: Robert Murray vote percent
K 4.0K contractsWill Robert Murray receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Robert Murray receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Robert Murray receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?
PM $8.5KHu Jintao public appearance by December 31?Yes 2.2%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Los Angeles County Sheriff winner?
K 4.0K contractsWho will win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff general election? (Robert G. Luna)Yes 98.5%
Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff general election? (Alex Villanueva)Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

PA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $8.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 22.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 15%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Michigan's 10th District margin of victory
K 4.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 10th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 65.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 10th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 48.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 10th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 32.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Puebla Congress Election Winner
PM $8.5KWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Yes 88.5%
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Yes 4.5%
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Yes 3.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

Florida Senate margin of victory
K 4.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 3.8%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Chihuahua Congress Election Winner
PM $8.5KWill PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?Yes 22.5%
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?Yes 21%
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?Yes 13.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Louisiana Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 4.0K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana Senate General Election be above 1150000?Yes 89%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana Senate General Election be above 1220000?Yes 82%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana Senate General Election be above 1290000?Yes 72.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PM $8.5KWill Trump's approval rating hit 47% in 2026?Yes 14.9%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 46% in 2026?Yes 10%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?Yes 6.6%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 4, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the U.S. ban any open-source AI model in 2026?
K 4.0K contractsWill the U.S. ban any open-source AI model in 2026?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner
PM $8.4KWill Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?Yes 83.5%
Will Wei Chia-hsien win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?Yes 11.5%
Will Chang Chun win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?Yes 5.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Loblaw food retail same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026
K 4.0K contractsWill Loblaw Companies Limited report Above 1% food retail same-store sales growth in 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Loblaw Companies Limited report Above 1.5% food retail same-store sales growth in 2026?Yes 95%
Will Loblaw Companies Limited report Above 2% food retail same-store sales growth in 2026?Yes 79%
+4 moreNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo
PM $8.4KWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Yes 98.1%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Yes 1.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MS-03 House winner?
K 4.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MS-03?Yes 97.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for MS-03?Yes 1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Speaker of the House after the midterms?
PM $8.3KWill Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?Yes 89.5%
Will Mike Johnson be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?Yes 4.8%
Will Jim Jordan be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?Yes 3.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Ohio's 15th District margin of victory
K 4.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 19.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 13.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?
PM $8.3KWill Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?Yes 23.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Global remittances sent in 2026
K 4.0K contractsWill global personal remittances sent in 2026 be above $500 billion?Yes 85.5%
Will global personal remittances sent in 2026 be above $550 billion?Yes 70.5%
Will global personal remittances sent in 2026 be above $600 billion?Yes 50.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Vermont Lieutenant Governor Election Winner
PM $8.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election?Yes 91%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election?Yes 7.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida's 27th District margin of victory
K 4.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 27th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 25%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 27th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 13.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 27th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Florida Senate Election: Broward County Winner
PM $8.2KWill the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes 99.4%
Will the Republicans win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes 0.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?
K 4.0K contractsWill the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 7 before they leave the role or their departure is announced?Yes 95%
Will the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 14 before they leave the role or their departure is announced?Yes 90%
Will the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 30 before they leave the role or their departure is announced?Yes 85%
+5 moreNext deadline Apr 21, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Zacatecas Congress Election Winner
PM $8.2KWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?Yes 72%
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?Yes 15%
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?Yes 9.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

2028 Green Presidential nominee
K 4.0K contractsWill Butch Ware be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?Yes 28.5%
Will Jill Stein be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?Yes 11.5%
Will Dashaun "Daví" Davis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?Yes 5.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Fed abolished before 2027?
PM $8.2KFed abolished before 2027?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

KY-03 House winner?
K 3.9K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for KY-03?Yes 96.4%
Will Republican win the House race for KY-03?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

2026 Louisville Mayoral Election Winner
PM $8.2KWill Craig Greenberg win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?Yes 93.5%
Will Shameka Parrish-Wright win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?Yes 6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Which companies will sign a Venezuelan oil agreement?
K 3.9K contractsWill it be confirmed that Shell signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela?Yes 62%
Will it be confirmed that ExxonMobil signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela?Yes 22%
Will it be confirmed that ConocoPhillips signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela?Yes 12.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Spain General Election: Turnout
PM $8.1KWill voter turnout be 70% or higher in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 34%
Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 27%
Will voter turnout be between 66% and 68% in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 17.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

OK-04 House winner?
K 3.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OK-04?Yes 94.9%
Will Democratic win the House race for OK-04?Yes 4.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

White House # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?
PM $8.1KWill White House post 200+ posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 12.5%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 1.9%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Tucker Carlson form a third party?
K 3.9K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 25.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 21%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 14.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NY-21 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $8.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 23%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California's 21st District margin of victory
K 3.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 21st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 94.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 21st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 92.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 21st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 86.2%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-32 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $8.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 20%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 18.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Who will be the next DNC Chair?
K 3.9K contractsWill David Hogg be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?Yes 16.5%
Will Martin O’Malley be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?Yes 12.6%
Will Faiz Shakir be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?Yes 12.6%
+31 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2045 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Which party will win the Minnesota State Senate in 2026?
PM $8.1KWill the Democratic Party control the Minnesota Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 89%
Will the Republican Party control the Minnesota Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 12%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida's 25th District margin of victory
K 3.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 25th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 75.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 25th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 64%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 25th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 60%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?
PM $8.1KJD Vance Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes 97%
Marco Rubio Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes 2.1%
Donald Trump Jr. Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes 0.9%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CT-02 House winner?
K 3.9K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CT-02?Yes 98.2%
Will Republican win the House race for CT-02?Yes 2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...?
PM $8.0KPakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?Yes 46%
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?Yes 31.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

GA-05 House election: John Salvesen vote percent (1st Round)
K 3.9K contractsWill John Salvesen receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-05 House election?Yes 97%
Will John Salvesen receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-05 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will John Salvesen receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-05 House election?Yes 89%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Graham Platner divorce by October 31?
PM $8.0KGraham Platner divorce by October 31?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

College Football: Top 25 Ranked Teams on Nov 15 AP Poll
K 3.9K contractsWill Notre Dame be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 96.5%
Will Ohio St. be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 96%
Will Georgia be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 95%
+72 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

VA-10 House Election Winner
PM $7.9KWill the Democratic Party win the VA-10 House seat?Yes 97.2%
Will the Republican Party win the VA-10 House seat?Yes 1.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC