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Showing 385-432 of 1,368 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
United Airlines passengers flown in 2026
K 44.9K contractsWill United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 180 million passengers flown in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 178 million passengers flown in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 182 million passengers flown in 2026?Yes 95.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows on Google 2026
PM $25.3KWill A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will Euphoria rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?Yes 56.5%
Will Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?Yes 53%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Adapted Screenplay
K 44.6K contracts2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 93%
2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 86.5%
2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations? (The Invite)Yes 82%
+12 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Longest GitHub critical incident in October?
PM $24.8KWill GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?Yes 60%
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?Yes 23.5%
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be at least 12 hours?Yes 15.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Heisman Trophy Finalists
K 43.4K contractsWill Jeremiah Smith be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes 86.5%
Will Trinidad Chambliss be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes 55.5%
Will CJ Carr be selected as a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes 49%
+29 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)
PM $24.8KWill Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 22.5%
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 22.5%
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 16.2%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1 (Longest 2026 Streak)
K 43.4K contractsHow many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1? (More than 2 weeks)Yes 3%
How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1? (More than 3 weeks)Yes 2.5%
How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1? (More than 7 weeks)Yes 2%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 30, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched Movies on Google 2026
PM $24.8KWill The Odyssey rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?Yes 71%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Maine lobster landings in 2026
K 43.1K contractsWill Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 55 million pounds?Yes 97.5%
Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 60 million pounds?Yes 96.5%
Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 65 million pounds?Yes 83.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?
PM $24.4KWill OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Yes 54.5%
Will OpenRouter process between 625T and 675T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Yes 37.5%
Will OpenRouter process at least 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Yes 1.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in July 2027
K 42.9K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.00 in July 2027?Yes 65.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.50 in July 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.50 in July 2027?Yes 50.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Aug 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched Actors on Google 2026
PM $23.9KWill Inde Navarrette rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?Yes 85%
Will Jaafar Jackson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?Yes 54.5%
Will Zendaya rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?Yes 20.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Olivia Rodrigo: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 42.8K contractsWill Olivia Rodrigo have above 4M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Olivia Rodrigo have above 4.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98%
Will Olivia Rodrigo have above 5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
PM $23.2KWill Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 34.5%
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 26%
Will Nvidia be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 7.7%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in January 2027
K 42.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in January 2027?Yes 94%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in January 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in January 2027?Yes 50.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?
PM $22.9KWill OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
K 42.7K contractsAbove 14000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 4000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 98.5%
Above 18000 Cyclosporiasis cases in the United States during 2026Yes 98.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of October?
PM $22.5KWill MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will Google have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 13.5%
Will Alibaba (including Alibaba-ATH) have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 0.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
K 42.2K contractsWill SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida this year?Yes 25%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
PM $22.3KWill OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 16.5%
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 11.4%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Who will be the world's second trillionaire?
K 42.1K contractsWill Jeff Bezos be the world's second trillionaire?Yes 21%
Will Mark Zuckerberg be the world's second trillionaire?Yes 18.5%
Will Jensen Huang be the world's second trillionaire?Yes 9.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2033 UTC
PolymarketTech
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
PM $22.3KWill OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 99.2%
Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 0.9%
Will DeepSeek have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes <0.1%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027?
K 42.0K contractsWill Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027?Yes 7.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (H200) end of November?
PM $22.2KWill the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on November 30, 2026?Yes 20.4%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes 13.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top AI model this month
K 42.0K contractsWhat will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)Yes 71.5%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)Yes 1%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?
PM $22.2KWill Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?Yes 53.5%
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $55 in 2026?Yes 24.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in March 2027
K 41.9K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in March 2027?Yes 72.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.00 in March 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.50 in March 2027?Yes 49.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in the US 2026
PM $22.1KWill Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?Yes 77%
Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?Yes 52.5%
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?Yes 33.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 41.4K contractsWill Aspen Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 88.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?
PM $21.9KWill the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?Yes 79%
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?Yes 76%
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?Yes 60%
+1 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Artist on Spotify in 2026?
K 39.8K contractsWill Drake be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 1.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?
PM $21.6KWill Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 19%
Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 17.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026?
K 39.7K contractsWill Arizona’s annual average employment in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing for 2026 be above 24,431 employees?Yes 36%
1 mktNext deadline Jun 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Lab end of December?
PM $21.2KWill Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 36.5%
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 18%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
TV shows cancelled this year
K 39.3K contractsWhich shows will be cancelled this year? (Late Night With Seth Meyers)Yes 14%
Which shows will be cancelled this year? (The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon)Yes 8%
Which shows will be cancelled this year? (The Daily Show)Yes 8%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?
PM $21.2KWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Yes 75%
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Yes 3.9%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027?
K 39.1K contractsHow much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? (Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter)Yes 61.5%
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? (Above 20 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter)Yes 8%
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? (Above 30 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter)Yes 4%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
PM $21.1KWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?Yes 49.9%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?Yes 26.5%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on October 31?Yes 20%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top AI model this week
K 38.7K contractsWhat will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)Yes 99.5%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)Yes 0.5%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 19, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience
Plague declared public health emergency by...?
PM $20.6KWill the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?Yes 3.4%
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
K 38.5K contractsWhen will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? (Before 2027)Yes 39%
When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? (Before November)Yes 9.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)
PM $20.4KWill Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 33.8%
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 31.1%
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 28%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 18, 2026
K 38.5K contractsWill Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 56.6%?Yes 99.5%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 50.6%?Yes 99.5%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 43.6%?Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Critical Discord Incident by...?
PM $20.2KCritical Discord Incident by November 30?Yes 35.5%
Critical Discord Incident by October 31?Yes 12%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica?
K 37.9K contractsWill Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 22.5%
Will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 18%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Grok 5 released by...?
PM $19.8KWill Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes 39%
Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?Yes 13%
Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?Yes 0.4%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Ariana Grande: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 37.0K contractsWill Ariana Grande have above 13M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will Ariana Grande have above 13.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Ariana Grande have above 14M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 26%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Payward announces bankruptcy by...?
PM $19.7KWill Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes 27%
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes 20.5%
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes 10.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC