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Showing 3,505-3,552 of 7,896 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
PolymarketKalshiCulture
CMA Awards: Musical Event of the Year
PM $14.0K · K 3.5K contractsWill “A Song To Sing” by Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
Kalshi: Will A Song To Sing win Musical Event of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards?
Related contracts
PM Yes 46%Rules differK Yes 40%
Will “I Can't Love You Anymore” by Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
Kalshi: Will I Can’t Love You Anymore win Musical Event of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards?
Related contracts
PM Yes 27.5%Rules differK Yes 37.5%
Will “Horses and Divorces” by Kacey Musgraves featuring Miranda Lambert win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
Kalshi: Will Horses and Divorces win Musical Event of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards?
Related contracts
PM Yes 8%Rules differK Yes 12%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Production Design
K 6.0K contractsWill The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Production Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 95.5%
Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Production Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 70%
Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Production Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 70%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kentucky's 2nd District margin of victory
K 6.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 2nd District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 92.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 2nd District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 78%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 2nd District House election be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 64.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
PM $14.0KWill Pete Buttigieg be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 24.5%
Will Rahm Emanuel be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 23%
Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 17%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Kentucky vote to limit gubernatorial election-period pardons?
K 6.0K contractsWill Amendment 1 pass?Yes 94.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TN-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 26%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 24.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 19.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
K 6.0K contractsWill JD Vance announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 77.5%
Will JD Vance announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 70%
Will JD Vance announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 52.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WY-AL House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 35%-40%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 30%-35%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 40%-45%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas Senate election: Ted Brown vote percent
K 6.0K contractsWill Ted Brown receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Ted Brown receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 55%
Will Ted Brown receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 19%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AZ-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 16.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?
K 6.0K contractsWill Hungary hold a referendum on leaving the EU?Yes 7.4%
Will Greece hold a referendum on leaving the EU?Yes 4.5%
Will Italy hold a referendum on leaving the EU?Yes 4.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Nominations
PM $14.0KWill "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 88.5%
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 81%
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 80.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Will Playboi Carti release BABY BOI this year?
K 6.0K contractsWill Playboi Carti release BABY BOI before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 14.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner
PM $14.0KWill Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Yes 54%
Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Yes 39%
Will Stephanie Bowman win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Yes 5.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kansas Senate winner? (2028)
K 6.0K contractsWill Republicans win the Senate race in Kansas?Yes 73%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Kansas?Yes 27%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Peterborough, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $14.0KWill Neil Morton win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?Yes 43%
Will Keith Riel win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?Yes 30%
Will Michael Eamon win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?Yes 13.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-05 House winner?
K 6.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NC-05?Yes 88.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-05?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
DE-AL House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.9KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 25%-30%?Yes 40.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 30%-35%?Yes 21%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CT-01 House winner?
K 6.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CT-01?Yes 94.5%
Will Republican win the House race for CT-01?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Burlington, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $13.9KWill Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?Yes 60.5%
Will Rory Nisan win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?Yes 24.5%
Will Lisa Kearns win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?Yes 17.2%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory
K 5.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 28.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
X banned in any European country by December 31?
PM $13.9KX banned in any European country by December 31?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
K 5.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Alabama's 7th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 95.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Alabama's 7th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 94.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Alabama's 7th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 93.2%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
PM $13.8KAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MD-05 House election: Chris Chaffee vote percent
K 5.9K contractsWill Chris Chaffee receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-05 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Chris Chaffee receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-05 House election?Yes 89.5%
Will Chris Chaffee receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-05 House election?Yes 80.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WV-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 17.7%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
FL-13 House winner?
PM $13.8K · K 47.7K contractsWill the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for FL-13?
Related contracts
PM Yes 74%Rules differK Yes 76%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for FL-13?
Related contracts
PM Yes 25.5%Rules differK Yes 25%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-19 House winner?
K 5.9K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-19?Yes 98.8%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-19?Yes 1.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
When will Big Bend border construction resume?
K 5.9K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that physical construction work on federal border security infrastructure inside Big Bend National Park resumes before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 14%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that physical construction work on federal border security infrastructure inside Big Bend National Park resumes before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 8%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that physical construction work on federal border security infrastructure inside Big Bend National Park resumes before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 3%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Idaho Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 18%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 17.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 5.9K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Minnesota Senate General Election be above 2200000?Yes 92.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Minnesota Senate General Election be above 2400000?Yes 86.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Minnesota Senate General Election be above 2600000?Yes 72%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Alagoas
PM $13.8KWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Yes 98.2%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Yes 2%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?
K 5.9K contractsWill the United Kingdom agree to or announce an increase in any rate of inheritance tax, or a revenue-raising restriction of an inheritance tax relief or exemption before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 26.5%
Will the United Kingdom agree to or announce an increase in any main rate of capital gains tax before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 21.5%
Will the United Kingdom agree to or announce an increase in the High Value Council Tax Surcharge or a reduction in its £2 million entry threshold before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 10%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?
PM $13.8KWill Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 16.5%
Will Democrats win 12 or more House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 14%
Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 12.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Virginia?
K 5.9K contractsWill Question 3 pass?Yes 95.5%
Will Question 2 pass?Yes 94.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 33.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 5%-10%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
ME-02 House election: Matt Dunlap vote percent (1st Round)
K 5.9K contractsWill Matt Dunlap receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-02 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Matt Dunlap receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-02 House election?Yes 95%
Will Matt Dunlap receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-02 House election?Yes 87.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TN-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 34.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 17%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wisconsin State Treasurer winner?
K 5.9K contractsWill Yee Leng Xiong win the 2026 Wisconsin State Treasurer election?Yes 83%
Will John S. Leiber win the 2026 Wisconsin State Treasurer election?Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NH-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 21%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Linn County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
K 5.9K contractsWill Josh Turek receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Linn County, Iowa?Yes 97%
Will Josh Turek receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Linn County, Iowa?Yes 94.5%
Will Josh Turek receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Linn County, Iowa?Yes 88%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations
PM $13.6KWill Anne Hathaway be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 89.5%
Will Samantha Morton be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 79.5%
Will Penélope Cruz be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 78%
+15 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-03 House winner?
K 5.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-03?Yes 94.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-03?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12?
PM $13.6KWill 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Yes 46.5%
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Yes 43%
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Yes 7%
+2 more
KalshiPolitics
MAGA Inc. 2026 total disbursements?
K 5.9K contractsWill MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 20000000 during calendar year 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 15000000 during calendar year 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 25000000 during calendar year 2026?Yes 96.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Apr 30, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Guelph, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $13.6KWill Leanne Caron win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 52.5%
Will Ken Yee Chew win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 25.5%
Will Ryan Meunier win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 2.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?
K 5.9K contractsWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of Cutberto Viramontes, Eddie Grant Jr., other individual plaintiffs in Viramontes v. Cook County and Grant v. HigginsYes 81.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 29.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 20.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC