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Showing 433-480 of 1,346 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica?
K 37.9K contractsWill Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 22.5%
Will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 19%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
PM $19.6KWill Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 45.8%
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 35.2%
Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 30.3%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Ariana Grande: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 37.0K contractsWill Ariana Grande have above 13M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 93%
Will Ariana Grande have above 13.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 74%
Will Ariana Grande have above 14M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 26.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Lab end of November?
PM $19.2KWill Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 66%
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 8%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Anthropic share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 36.9K contractsAnthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 41.2%Yes 49.5%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 37.6%Yes 45.5%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 32.7%Yes 38.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
PM $19.1KWill Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 49%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 29.5%
Will StepFun be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 7.3%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in November
K 36.5K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in November 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.50 in November 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $5.00 in November 2026?Yes 98.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?
PM $18.6KAnthropic announces a training pause by October 31?Yes 30.5%
Mistral announces a training pause by October 31?Yes 6.9%
Google announces a training pause by October 31?Yes 6.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 36.4K contractsWill Bad Bunny have above 24M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98%
Will Bad Bunny have above 22.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 96%
Will Bad Bunny have above 23.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 95.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Ken Martin out as DNC Chair by...?
PM $18.5KWill Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?Yes 27%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
#2 Most Searched Person on Google in 2026?
K 35.8K contractsWill Bad Bunny be the #2 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 21%
Will Taylor Swift be the #2 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 6%
Will Donald Trump be the #2 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?Yes 4.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?
PM $18.4KWill the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes 49%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?Yes 23.5%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on November 30, 2026?Yes 21%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)
K 35.7K contractsWill there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 81.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPT-7 released by...?
PM $18.2KGPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?Yes 83%
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?Yes 42%
2 mktsNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Dallas vs Green Bay: Player Longest Reception
K 35.3K contractsGeorge Pickens: longest reception over 23.5 yardsYes 53%
Tucker Kraft: longest reception over 19.5 yardsYes 52%
Matthew Golden: longest reception over 24.5 yardsYes 52%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?
PM $17.9KWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Yes 68.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Yes 5.1%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 35.2K contractsWill the H200 compute per hour price be above $5.79 by Dec 31?Yes 95.5%
Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $6.39 by Dec 31?Yes 64%
Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $6.69 by Dec 31?Yes 63.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by ___?
PM $17.8KSpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?Yes 23.5%
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?Yes 10%
2 mktsNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027?
K 35.1K contractsWhen will Tesla release Model Y to the public?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched Passings on Google in the US 2026
PM $17.6KWill Dolly Parton rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Oliver Tree rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?Yes 85%
Will Hayden Panettiere rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?Yes 77.7%
+10 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy next meet?
K 34.6K contractsWill Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Turkey?Yes 16%
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in the United Arab Emirates?Yes 9%
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Ukraine?Yes 4.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?
PM $16.5KWill Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 35.5%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 24.5%
Will Meta be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 15%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Which brands will advertise during the Big Game?
K 34.6K contractsWill Disney+ run an ad during the Big Game 2027?Yes 89%
Will OpenAI / ChatGPT run an ad during the Big Game 2027?Yes 87.5%
Will Amazon Prime run an ad during the Big Game 2027?Yes 86.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Feb 21, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Discord IPO by __?
PM $16.2KWill Discord IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 6%
Will Discord IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes 2.2%
Will Discord IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes 2.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Databricks officially announce an IPO?
K 34.3K contractsWhen will Databricks officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 61.5%
When will Databricks officially announce an IPO? (Before Nov 1, 2027)Yes 56.5%
When will Databricks officially announce an IPO? (Before Dec 1, 2027)Yes 55.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?
PM $15.6KWill OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Yes 83%
Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Yes 5.6%
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Yes 4.9%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?
K 34.1K contractsWill Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Nevada before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 68.5%
Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 48.5%
Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in Georgia before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 21%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?
PM $15.4KWill Reliance Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company?Yes 91.5%
Will Axis Bank Ltd be the largest Indian company?Yes 10.3%
Will HDFC Bank Ltd be the largest Indian company?Yes 5.9%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Oscar nominees: Best Makeup and Hairstyling
K 33.8K contracts2027 Best Makeup and Hairstyling Oscar nominations? (Werwulf)Yes 88%
2027 Best Makeup and Hairstyling Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 79%
2027 Best Makeup and Hairstyling Oscar nominations? (Digger)Yes 75%
+10 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
AWS service disrupted by...?
PM $15.1KAWS service disrupted by November 30?Yes 51%
AWS service disrupted by October 31?Yes 40%
AWS service disrupted by September 30?Yes 14%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?
K 33.5K contractsWill Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?Yes 7.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Claude go down on __ days in October?
PM $14.9KWill Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?Yes 46.5%
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?Yes 44.5%
Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October?Yes 9%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Song on Spotify in 2026?
K 33.4K contractsWill Babydoll be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 79%
Will End of Beginning be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Billie Jean be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
PM $14.9KWill Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 99.5%
Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 0.5%
Will Nvidia have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 0.4%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in October
K 33.2K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in October 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.50 in October 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $5.50 in October 2026?Yes 99%
+16 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?
PM $14.9KWill Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $25 in 2026?Yes 66%
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $50 in 2026?Yes 58.5%
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $30 in 2026?Yes 58%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in October
K 33.2K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in October 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.50 in October 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in October 2026?Yes 6%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketSports
UFC: Who Will Manel Kape Fight Next?
PM $14.4KWill Manel Kape fight Joshua Van next?Yes 92%
Will Manel Kape fight Alexandre Pantoja next?Yes 5.5%
Will Manel Kape fight Tatsuro Taira next?Yes 3.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Jun 21, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in November
K 33.2K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in November 2026?Yes 99%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.50 in November 2026?Yes 96%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in November 2026?Yes 19%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?
PM $14.4KWill OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 59.5%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 25%
Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 8%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026
K 32.7K contractsWill Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2026 be above 9.4 million?Yes 97.5%
Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2026 be above 9.6 million?Yes 74%
Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2026 be above 9.8 million?Yes 15.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?
PM $14.2KWill ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?Yes 19%
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?Yes 13%
Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?Yes 7%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in fiscal 2026
K 32.7K contractsWill Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 9% restaurant-level profit margin in fiscal 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 9.5% restaurant-level profit margin in fiscal 2026?Yes 92%
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 10% restaurant-level profit margin in fiscal 2026?Yes 72%
+11 moreNext deadline May 26, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best AI Lab end of December?
PM $14.2KWill Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 36%
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 35%
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 16.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?
K 32.2K contractsWill a court find that Amazon has illegally maintained a monopoly?Yes 49%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?
PM $14.1KWill GPT Astra's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?Yes 51%
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026?Yes 25%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will xAI release a video game before 2027?
K 32.2K contractsWill xAI release a video game before 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
PM $14.1KWill Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 28%
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 27.4%
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC