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Showing 5,377-5,424 of 11,189 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Florida's 4th District margin of victory
K 1.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 4th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 76%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 62.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 45%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
PM $187.66Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETView outcomes
1 mkt
KalshiPolitics

Will the nickel be discontinued?
K 1.5K contractsWill the U.S. Mint or Department of the Treasury announce the suspension or cessation of production of the five-cent coin (nickel) for circulation before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 0.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto

BNB Up or Down - August 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
PM $183.36BNB Up or Down - August 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETView outcomes
1 mkt
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 25th District margin of victory
K 1.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 25th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 91.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 25th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 82.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 25th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 69.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?
PM $181.06Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?Yes 51.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Maryland's 5th District margin of victory
K 1.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 5th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 95.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 5th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 85.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 5th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto

Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
PM $177.67Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETView outcomes
1 mkt
KalshiPolitics

Idaho's 1st District margin of victory
K 1.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1st District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1st District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 72.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1st District House election be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 57.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Trump pardon Richard Nixon by December 31?
PM $175.56Will Trump pardon Richard Nixon by December 31?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Pennsylvania's 10th District margin of victory
K 1.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 10th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 10.9%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 10th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 5.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 10th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 4.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

CA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $171.51Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-06 House election by 5% or more?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-06 House election by 25% or more?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TX-20 House winner?
K 1.5K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for TX-20?Yes 96%
Will Republican win the House race for TX-20?Yes 3.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

WA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $165.6Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-08 House election by 25% or more?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-08 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-08 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 38.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many Pennsylvania mail ballots will be requested?
K 1.5K contractsWill the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election be at least 1.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election be at least 1.25 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 83%
Will the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election be at least 1.3 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 68.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?
PM $165.56Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?Yes 38%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
K 1.5K contractsWill Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 24%
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 23%
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 19.5%
+26 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2035 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Closer Governor Race: California or New York?
PM $163Closer Governor Race: California or New York?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley debate?
K 1.5K contractsWill Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley debate each other before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 20%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

CA-21 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $161Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 25% or more?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will DOJ sue a major grocery retailer over beef prices?
K 1.5K contractsWill DOJ sue a major grocery retailer over beef prices?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?
PM $156.78Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?Yes 53%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California Superintendent of Public Instruction winner?
K 1.5K contractsWill Richard Barrera win the 2026 California Superintendent of Public Instruction election?Yes 76.5%
Will Sonja Shaw win the 2026 California Superintendent of Public Instruction election?Yes 24.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

CA-43 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $141.09Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election by 65% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

IL-11 House election: Jeffrey Walter vote percent
K 1.4K contractsWill Jeffrey Walter receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-11 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Jeffrey Walter receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-11 House election?Yes 81.5%
Will Jeffrey Walter receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-11 House election?Yes 66.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto

Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
PM $133.66Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETView outcomes
1 mkt
KalshiPolitics

Will Trump rename ICE to NICE?
K 1.4K contractsWill Donald Trump issue any executive action on renaming U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement to a name abbreviated NICE (such as National Immigration and Customs Enforcement) during in 2026?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Khamenei # posts October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PM $132.14Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Yes 71%
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Yes 16%
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Yes 13%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NY-21 House election: Michael Metzgier vote percent
K 1.4K contractsWill Michael Metzgier receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?Yes 3.5%
Will Michael Metzgier receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?Yes 3%
Will Michael Metzgier receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?Yes 3%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto

BNB Up or Down - August 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
PM $129.03BNB Up or Down - August 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETView outcomes
1 mkt
KalshiPolitics

TN-05 House election: Charlie Hatcher vote percent
K 1.4K contractsWill Charlie Hatcher receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-05 House election?Yes 94%
Will Charlie Hatcher receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-05 House election?Yes 85.5%
Will Charlie Hatcher receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-05 House election?Yes 72.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Closer Governor Race: Pennsylvania or Illinois?
PM $125.3Closer Governor Race: Pennsylvania or Illinois?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

South Carolina Senate election: Darline Graham vote percent
K 1.4K contractsWill Darline Graham receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Darline Graham receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?Yes 85.5%
Will Darline Graham receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?Yes 64.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 20, 2026
PM $125.26Will Oklahoma have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Yes 89.5%
Will Alabama have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Yes 50%
Will Arizona have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Yes 50%
+37 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Tennessee Governor margin of victory
K 1.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Tennessee be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 93.2%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Tennessee be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 91.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Tennessee be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 81.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?
PM $122.2Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026?
K 1.4K contractsWill anyone in Congress change parties?Yes 20.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto

Will 6+ coins launched in 2026 end the year above $1B FDV?
PM $116.01Will 6+ coins launched in 2026 end the year above $1B FDV?Yes 48.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Arkansas Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 1.4K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Arkansas Governor General Election be above 800000?Yes 89%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Arkansas Governor General Election be above 850000?Yes 81%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Arkansas Governor General Election be above 900000?Yes 71%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?
PM $108.68Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?Yes 48.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Katie Zacharia take another Trump administration role?
K 1.4K contractsWill Katie Zacharia take another Trump administration role before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 24.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?
PM $108.51Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?Yes 33.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Louisiana's 3rd District margin of victory
K 1.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 3rd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?Yes 87.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 3rd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 81.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 3rd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?Yes 71.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Elon Musk out as Project Meridian co-lead by January 27?
PM $107.74Elon Musk out as Project Meridian co-lead by January 27?Yes 25%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCrypto

When will Bitcoin have its next halving?
PM $107.56 · K 24.1K contractsWill the Bitcoin halving occur by June 30, 2028?
Kalshi: When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Jun 2028)
Related contracts
PM Yes 91%Rules differK Yes 94%
Will the Bitcoin halving occur by March 31, 2028?
Kalshi: When will Bitcoin have its next halving? (Before Apr 2028)
Related contracts
PM Yes 42.5%Rules differK Yes 44%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Mar 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

IN-03 House election: Marlin Stutzman vote percent
K 1.4K contractsWill Marlin Stutzman receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-03 House election?Yes 94%
Will Marlin Stutzman receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-03 House election?Yes 84.5%
Will Marlin Stutzman receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 IN-03 House election?Yes 69.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

FL-24 House election: Te Mayonna Brown vote percent
K 1.4K contractsWill Te Mayonna Brown receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-24 House election?Yes 97%
Will Te Mayonna Brown receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-24 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Te Mayonna Brown receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-24 House election?Yes 87.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto

Bitcoin dominance on October 16?
PM $107.32Will Bitcoin dominance be between 59.00% and 60.00% on October 16?Yes 50%
Will Bitcoin dominance be between 60.00% and 61.00% on October 16?Yes 50%
Will Bitcoin dominance be less than 58.00% on October 16?Yes 49.5%
+3 more