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Showing 625-672 of 5,266 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiScience and Technology
Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?
K 19.1K contractsWill SpaceX test launch its Human Launch System before 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
PM $40.9KAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Yes 5.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Kendrick Lamar: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 19.0K contractsWill Kendrick Lamar have above 4.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 94%
Will Kendrick Lamar have above 5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 79%
Will Kendrick Lamar have above 4M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 66%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Total commitments for the 1win ($1w) public sale
PM $40.8KWill commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?Yes 94%
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?Yes 91.5%
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?Yes 81%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Broadline Retail Ad Spend in October
K 19.0K contractsWill Broadline Retail Ad Spend for October 2026 be above 112?Yes 73.5%
Will Broadline Retail Ad Spend for October 2026 be above 129?Yes 17.5%
Will Broadline Retail Ad Spend for October 2026 be above 132?Yes 15.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
PM $40.4KWill Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 55%
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 28.5%
Will Meta be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 5.6%
+15 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
Los Angeles C vs Kansas City: Rushing + Receiving Yards
K 18.9K contractsKenneth Walker III: 95+ rushing and receiving yards combinedYes 94.5%
Kenneth Walker III: 120+ rushing and receiving yards combinedYes 85%
Kimani Vidal: 30+ rushing and receiving yards combinedYes 62.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched People on Google 2026
PM $40.1KWill Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Yes 66%
Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Yes 44%
Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Yes 36.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will xAI release Grok 5?
K 18.7K contractsWill xAI release Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 37.5%
Will xAI release Grok 5 before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 14%
Will xAI release Grok 5 before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 3%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Betmoar FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $40.1KBetmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes 47%
Betmoar FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 21.5%
Betmoar FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 16.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiCrypto
How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026?
K 18.7K contractsWill Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $8/MTok in 2026?Yes 5%
Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $5/MTok in 2026?Yes 3%
Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $7/MTok in 2026?Yes 2.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will Curvance launch a token by ___?
PM $39.8KWill Curvance launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 45.5%
Will Curvance launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 17.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
K 18.6K contractsWill Zohran Mamdani announce their departure as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 33.5%
Will Zohran Mamdani announce their departure as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 14%
Will Zohran Mamdani announce their departure as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
PM $39.6KWill Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 39.9%
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 28%
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 19%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Lai Ching-te departure announced?
K 18.4K contractsWill Lai Ching-te leave office before 2028-01-01T15:00:00.000Z?Yes 29%
Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2027-07-01T14:00:00.000Z?Yes 11.6%
Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z?Yes 4.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Claude 6 released by...?
PM $38.6KClaude 6 released by December 31, 2027?Yes 92.5%
Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?Yes 72.5%
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?Yes 41.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which banks will take Anthropic public?
K 18.4K contractsWill Mizuho take Anthropic public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 90.5%
Will Allen & Company take Anthropic public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 55%
Will William Blair take Anthropic public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 44.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)
PM $38.6KWill Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 46.5%
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 26%
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 19.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Dallas in Oct 2026?
K 18.3K contractsRain in Dallas in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 80.5%
Rain in Dallas in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 25%
Rain in Dallas in Oct 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 16%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?
PM $38.5KWill Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027?Yes 16%
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $3M before 2027?Yes 15.4%
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?Yes 11.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
How low will NEAR get in 2026?
K 18.2K contractsWill NEAR trimmed mean be below $1.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $1.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?Yes 10%
Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $0.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?Yes 9%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___?
PM $38.3KWill knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?Yes 25.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in March 2027
K 18.2K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in March 2027?Yes 65%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $5.00 in March 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $4.00 in March 2027?Yes 50.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Bitcoin above ___ on October 23?
PM $38.3KWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 23?Yes 98.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 23?Yes 96.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 23?Yes 91.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 17.8K contractsMoonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.9%Yes 99%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 9.3%Yes 57%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 8.8%Yes 53.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)
PM $38.2KWill Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 31.5%
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 20.8%
Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 20%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 17.7K contractsAbove 7000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 94%
Above 8000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 89.5%
Above 9000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 71%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?
PM $38.0KNext Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 7%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in June 2027
K 17.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.00 in June 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in June 2027?Yes 50%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in June 2027?Yes 49.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
PM $37.7KWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?Yes 33.5%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes 25.5%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes 24.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 17.6K contractsDeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 11.4%Yes 91.5%
DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 10.9%Yes 76%
DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 9.9%Yes 57%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?
PM $37.6KWill Polymarket mindshare hit 65% by December 31?Yes 90%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70% by December 31?Yes 73%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?Yes 46.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?
K 17.5K contractsWill Russia name the pathogen behind the Irkutsk plague lab death before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Perena FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $36.7KPerena FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 36%
Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 32.5%
Perena FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 21%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiCrypto
XRP price at the end of the year?
K 17.5K contractsXRP price on Jan 1, 2027? ($1.2500 - $1.4999)Yes 29%
XRP price on Jan 1, 2027? ($1.0000 - $1.2499)Yes 28.5%
XRP price on Jan 1, 2027? ($1.5000 - $1.7499)Yes 19.5%
+21 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will Noble launch a token by ___?
PM $36.2KWill Noble launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 19%
Will Noble launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year?
K 17.0K contractsWill A full-length film adaptation of The Odyssey made using Grok Imagine and officially released by Grok or an official account controlled by Elon Musk, pursuant to Elon Musk’s July 22, 2026 announcement be released before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will GTE launch a token by ___?
PM $36.1KWill GTE launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 46.5%
Will GTE launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes 33.5%
Will GTE launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 30%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
K 16.7K contractsWill a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?Yes 33%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will Relay launch a token by ___?
PM $36.0KWill Relay launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 29.5%
Will Relay launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?
K 16.7K contractsWill any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will any LLM score at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 71%
Will any LLM score at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 56%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)
PM $35.9KWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 50%
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 11.2%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
K 16.6K contractsWill Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?Yes 56%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will Surf launch a token by ___?
PM $35.7KWill Surf launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 75%
Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 28%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
K 16.5K contractsWill the California High-Speed Rail Authority announce that permanent mainline track installation on the Central Valley high-speed rail guideway has physically begun (rail laid on the running alignment, not materials staging, railhead or yard trackwork, or a declared "track-laying phase") before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 60.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Tuyo FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $35.3KTuyo FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 62.5%
Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes 59%
Tuyo FDV above $80M one day after launch?Yes 49.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiScience
Big Ten: Receiving Yards Leader
K 16.5K contractsJeremiah Smith records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 74%
KJ Duff records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 30.5%
Nick Marsh records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 3%
+47 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
What price will Solana hit October 12-18?
PM $35.3KWill Solana dip to $100 October 12-18?Yes 52.1%
Will Solana dip to $90 October 12-18?Yes 1.8%
Will Solana reach $110 October 12-18?Yes 1.8%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC