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Showing 625-672 of 2,761 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiFinancials
New Xbox this year?
K 50.7K contractsWill Microsoft release a new Xbox video game console to the public before 2027?Yes 8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in the US 2026
PM $22.2KWill Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?Yes 77%
Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?Yes 52.5%
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?Yes 32%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
K 50.4K contractsWill the United Kingdom’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -5.5% of GDP?Yes 91%
Will the United Kingdom’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -5.0% of GDP?Yes 81.5%
Will the United Kingdom’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -4.5% of GDP?Yes 69%
+4 moreNext deadline Apr 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?
PM $22.0KWill the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?Yes 80%
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?Yes 75.5%
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?Yes 59.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
K 50.1K contractsWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2040)Yes 51.4%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2035)Yes 47.6%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2030)Yes 30.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2040 UTC
PolymarketTech
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
PM $21.8KWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?Yes 47.4%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?Yes 21.4%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on October 31?Yes 20%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Grubhub App Downloads in October
K 49.8K contractsWill Grubhub App Downloads for October 2026 be above 75 ?Yes 98.5%
Will Grubhub App Downloads for October 2026 be above 105 ?Yes 66%
Will Grubhub App Downloads for October 2026 be above 115 ?Yes 39.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?
PM $21.6KWill Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 19%
Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 19%
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 17.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How low will gas prices in California get this year?
K 49.5K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above or below $4.00 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 10%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.10 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 9%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $3.90 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 8.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?
PM $21.5KWill OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?Yes 41.5%
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $CGPT?Yes 27.5%
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OA?Yes 27.4%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
Port of Virginia total container volume in 2026
K 49.5K contractsWill Port of Virginia total container volume for 2026 be above 3.05 million TEUs?Yes 95.5%
Will Port of Virginia total container volume for 2026 be above 3.15 million TEUs?Yes 84.5%
Will Port of Virginia total container volume for 2026 be above 3.25 million TEUs?Yes 47.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Lab end of December?
PM $21.3KWill Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 36.5%
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 17.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Meta headcount in 2026
K 49.4K contractsWill Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 65000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 91%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 68000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 71000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 65%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?
PM $21.2KWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Yes 75%
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Yes 4.4%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
K 49.2K contractsWill Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 62.5%
Will Together be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 60.5%
Will Religious Zionist Party be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 56.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketScience
Plague declared public health emergency by...?
PM $20.6KWill the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?Yes 3.4%
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Starbucks Credit Card Spend in October
K 49.1K contractsWill Starbucks Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 96 ?Yes 81%
Will Starbucks Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 99 ?Yes 62.5%
Will Starbucks Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 100 ?Yes 44%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)
PM $20.4KWill Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 34.1%
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 31.1%
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 30%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
PM $20.3K · K 4.2K contractsWill the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.43% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.43% by Oct 30, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 82%Rules differK Yes 86.5%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.40% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.40% by Oct 30, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 66%Rules differK Yes 73.5%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.35% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.35% by Oct 30, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 44.5%Rules differK Yes 55.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How low will the Nasdaq-100 get in 2026?
K 48.8K contractsWill the Nasdaq-100 be below 22800.01 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 16%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 22600.01 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 14.5%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 22400.01 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 10%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
K 48.3K contractsWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2040)Yes 61.5%
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2035)Yes 51.3%
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2030)Yes 37.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Critical Discord Incident by...?
PM $20.2KCritical Discord Incident by November 30?Yes 35%
Critical Discord Incident by October 31?Yes 12%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Merriam-Webster Word of the Year 2026?
K 48.2K contractsWill larping be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?Yes 13.5%
Will Brainrot be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?Yes 11.5%
Will Looksmaxxing be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?Yes 4%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Grok 5 released by...?
PM $19.8KWill Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes 41.5%
Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?Yes 13.5%
Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?Yes 0.4%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23, 2026?
K 48.1K contractsWill James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 84.5%
Will Abdul El-Sayed be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 8.5%
Will Gina Hinojosa be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 1.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 21, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Payward announces bankruptcy by...?
PM $19.7KWill Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes 27.5%
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes 16%
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes 11%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
K 47.8K contractsWill Apple release a Mac with cellular connectivity before 2027?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
PM $19.6KWill Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 45.8%
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 35.2%
Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 30.3%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
South Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
K 47.6K contractsWill South Carolina total container volume for 2026 be above 2.2 million TEUs?Yes 93.5%
Will South Carolina total container volume for 2026 be above 2.3 million TEUs?Yes 87.5%
Will South Carolina total container volume for 2026 be above 2.4 million TEUs?Yes 36.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Lab end of November?
PM $19.2KWill Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 66%
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 8%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th
K 47.3K contractsTop Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Xiaomi)Yes 74.5%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Alibaba)Yes 12%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Moonshot)Yes 3%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
PM $19.1KWill Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 49%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 29.5%
Will StepFun be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 7.3%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?
K 47.3K contractsWill Tina Kotek underperform Kamala Harris in Oregon?Yes 95%
Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala Harris in Maine?Yes 84%
Will Kathy Hochul underperform Kamala Harris in New York?Yes 44.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Apr 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Meta’s Market Cap end of October 2026?
PM $19.0KWill Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes 50%
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?Yes 40%
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes 8.8%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026
K 47.1K contractsWill dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.00 Tcf?Yes 97.5%
Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.25 Tcf?Yes 96.5%
Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.50 Tcf?Yes 95%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?
PM $18.6KAnthropic announces a training pause by October 31?Yes 30.5%
Mistral announces a training pause by October 31?Yes 6.9%
Google announces a training pause by October 31?Yes 6.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Who will be the three wealthiest people in the world?
K 46.9K contractsWill Jeff Bezos be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?Yes 90.5%
Will Larry Page be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?Yes 85.5%
Will Elon Musk be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?Yes 82.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Ken Martin out as DNC Chair by...?
PM $18.5KWill Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?Yes 27%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
K 46.9K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 38.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2033?Yes 31%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 27.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance
3rd largest private company end of October?
PM $18.5KWill ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?Yes 98.4%
Will Perplexity have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?Yes 0.9%
Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?Yes 0.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Celsius Point of Sale Growth in October
K 46.9K contractsWill Celsius Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 79 ?Yes 98%
Will Celsius Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 83 ?Yes 78.5%
Will Celsius Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 85 ?Yes 49.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
PM $18.4KAnthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T?Yes 81.8%
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?Yes 61%
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 36%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
K 46.3K contractsWill the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 1.99% on Dec 31, 2027?Yes 87.5%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Dec 31, 2027?Yes 70%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 2.49% on Dec 31, 2027?Yes 65%
+22 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?
PM $18.4KWill the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes 49%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?Yes 23.5%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on November 30, 2026?Yes 21%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will gas prices in Florida get this year?
K 45.9K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above or below $4.70 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 28.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.90 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.10 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 15.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPT-7 released by...?
PM $18.2KGPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?Yes 83%
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?Yes 42%
2 mktsNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Pennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
K 45.8K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.4550?Yes 99%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4600?Yes 98.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4650?Yes 97.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026
PM $18.1KWill the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000?Yes 41.4%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?Yes 29.5%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 65,000 and 70,000?Yes 17.2%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC