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Showing 7,009-7,056 of 8,256 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

UT-04 House election: Jonny Larsen vote percent
K 210 contractsWill Jonny Larsen receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 95%
Will Jonny Larsen receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will Jonny Larsen receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 82.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Average US used car transaction price at end of 2026
K 209.24 contractsWill Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $24,000?Yes 96%
Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $25,000?Yes 95.5%
Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $26,000?Yes 88.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Rhode Island Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 209.18 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island Governor General Election be above 270000?Yes 93%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island Governor General Election be above 300000?Yes 82.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island Governor General Election be above 330000?Yes 66.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 10, 2026
K 209.14 contractsWill U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 10, 2026 be at least 1700K?Yes 62.5%
Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 10, 2026 be at least 1680K?Yes 62.5%
Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 10, 2026 be at least 1660K?Yes 62.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

StubHub gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026
K 208 contractsWill StubHub Holdings, Inc. report Above $9.9 billion gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will StubHub Holdings, Inc. report Above $10 billion gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026?Yes 95%
Will StubHub Holdings, Inc. report Above $10.1 billion gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026?Yes 87.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jun 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?
K 207.32 contractsWill the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 275 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?Yes 95%
Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 300 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?Yes 90.5%
Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 325 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?Yes 85.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

VA-02 House election: Jen Kiggans vote percent
K 207.01 contractsWill Jen Kiggans receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-02 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will Jen Kiggans receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-02 House election?Yes 77.5%
Will Jen Kiggans receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-02 House election?Yes 60.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

When will the NHS decide to end its Palantir contract?
K 207 contractsWill it be reported by a Source Agency that NHS England, the UK government, or another legally authorized contracting entity formally decides to end the NHS Federated Data Platform and Associated Services agreement as a whole with the Palantir-led supplier, either by exercising a break or termination right or by declining the next contractual extension before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 58.5%
Will it be reported by a Source Agency that NHS England, the UK government, or another legally authorized contracting entity formally decides to end the NHS Federated Data Platform and Associated Services agreement as a whole with the Palantir-led supplier, either by exercising a break or termination right or by declining the next contractual extension before Feb 15, 2027?Yes 54.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld

Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced?
K 207 contractsWill a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 60.5%
Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 40%
Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 30.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the US exit the Outer Space Treaty?
K 206.92 contractsWill the US exit the Outer Space Treaty before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

North Dakota Secretary of State winner?
K 206.02 contractsWill Michael Howe win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?Yes 97.5%
Will Ryan Braunberger win the 2026 North Dakota Secretary of State election?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Iceland ban commercial whaling?
K 205.3 contractsWill Iceland ban commercial whaling?Yes 32.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote?
K 205 contractsWill Republicans receive above 26% of the Latino vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 90.5%
Will Republicans receive above 28% of the Latino vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 82.5%
Will Republicans receive above 30% of the Latino vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 64.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Feb 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?
K 205 contractsWill Republicans receive above 26% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 90.5%
Will Republicans receive above 28% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 82.5%
Will Republicans receive above 30% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Yes 65.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies

What will NYC’s average weekday bus speed be in December 2026?
K 205 contractsWill the MTA’s monthly key performance metric for overall citywide average weekday end-to-end route speed across New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company service be at least 8 mph for December 2026?Yes 90%
Will the MTA’s monthly key performance metric for overall citywide average weekday end-to-end route speed across New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company service be at least 8.1 mph for December 2026?Yes 77%
Will the MTA’s monthly key performance metric for overall citywide average weekday end-to-end route speed across New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company service be at least 8.2 mph for December 2026?Yes 65%
+3 moreNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Massachusetts Secretary of State winner?
K 205 contractsWill William Francis Galvin win the 2026 Massachusetts Secretary of State election?Yes 92%
Will Anne R. Brensley win the 2026 Massachusetts Secretary of State election?Yes 7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CA-21 House election: Kyle Kirkland vote percent
K 205 contractsWill Kyle Kirkland receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-21 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Kyle Kirkland receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-21 House election?Yes 97%
Will Kyle Kirkland receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-21 House election?Yes 95.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CA-27 House election: Jason Gibbs vote percent
K 205 contractsWill Jason Gibbs receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-27 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Jason Gibbs receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-27 House election?Yes 97%
Will Jason Gibbs receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-27 House election?Yes 95%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NY-18 House election: Jacqueline Auringer vote percent
K 205 contractsWill Jacqueline Auringer receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-18 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Jacqueline Auringer receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-18 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jacqueline Auringer receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-18 House election?Yes 92.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CA-26 House election: Sam Gallucci vote percent
K 205 contractsWill Sam Gallucci receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-26 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Sam Gallucci receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-26 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Sam Gallucci receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-26 House election?Yes 92.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CA-33 House election: Stephanie Vargas vote percent
K 205 contractsWill Stephanie Vargas receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Stephanie Vargas receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?Yes 97%
Will Stephanie Vargas receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?Yes 94.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

IL-04 House election: Patty Garcia vote percent
K 205 contractsWill Patty Garcia receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?Yes 95%
Will Patty Garcia receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?Yes 87.5%
Will Patty Garcia receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?Yes 74.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

IL-14 House election: James Marter vote percent
K 205 contractsWill James Marter receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-14 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will James Marter receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-14 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will James Marter receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-14 House election?Yes 81.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MD-03 House election: Berney Flowers vote percent
K 205 contractsWill Berney Flowers receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-03 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Berney Flowers receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-03 House election?Yes 86.5%
Will Berney Flowers receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-03 House election?Yes 74.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MI-13 House election: Tara Nykoriak vote percent
K 205 contractsWill Tara Nykoriak receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-13 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Tara Nykoriak receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-13 House election?Yes 81.5%
Will Tara Nykoriak receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-13 House election?Yes 67%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NJ-12 House election: Gregg Mele vote percent
K 205 contractsWill Gregg Mele receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-12 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Gregg Mele receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-12 House election?Yes 85.5%
Will Gregg Mele receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-12 House election?Yes 68%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will SCOTUS bar the immediate NEPA challenge to the Air Force’s Guam hazardous-waste permit application?
K 204.24 contractsWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of United States Department of the Air Force in Department of the Air Force v. Prutehi GuahanYes 83%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics

30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2026
K 204 contractsWill the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2026 be above 6.00%?Yes 98%
Will the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2026 be above 6.25%?Yes 96.5%
Will the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2026 be above 6.50%?Yes 96%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

PA-06 House election: Chrissy Houlahan vote percent
K 203.96 contractsWill Chrissy Houlahan receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-06 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Chrissy Houlahan receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-06 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Chrissy Houlahan receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-06 House election?Yes 94.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MO-05 House election: Rick Brattin vote percent
K 202.4 contractsWill Rick Brattin receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-05 House election?Yes 2.5%
Will Rick Brattin receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-05 House election?Yes 2.5%
Will Rick Brattin receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-05 House election?Yes 2.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California 49 House General Election: voter turnout
K 201.93 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in California 49 House General Election be above 170000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 49 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 87.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 49 House General Election be above 240000?Yes 63.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California's 28th District margin of victory
K 201 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 28th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 87.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 28th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 28th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?Yes 64.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Bulgarian presidential first round: Yotova margin of victory
K 200.9 contractsWill the margin of victory for Iliana Yotova in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election be at least 5%?Yes 97%
Will the margin of victory for Iliana Yotova in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election be at least 10%?Yes 96%
Will the margin of victory for Iliana Yotova in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election be at least 15%?Yes 84%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 29th District margin of victory
K 200.58 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 29th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?Yes 93.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 29th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 29th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?Yes 75%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

WA-04 House election: Amanda McKinney vote percent
K 200.12 contractsWill Amanda McKinney receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-04 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Amanda McKinney receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-04 House election?Yes 84.5%
Will Amanda McKinney receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-04 House election?Yes 69.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Ohio 10 House General Election: voter turnout
K 200.02 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Ohio 10 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Ohio 10 House General Election be above 240000?Yes 83.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Ohio 10 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 68.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Who will be the second-highest ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23, 2026?
K 200 contractsWill Abdul El-Sayed be the second-highest ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 75%
Will Gina Hinojosa be the second-highest ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 16%
Will James Talarico be the second-highest ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 7%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 21, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Who will run for Louisiana Governor in 2027?
K 200 contractsWill Jeff Landry announce a run for Governor of Louisiana in 2027?Yes 77%
Will Garret Graves announce a run for Governor of Louisiana in 2027?Yes 60%
Will Jay Luneau announce a run for Governor of Louisiana in 2027?Yes 40%
+5 moreNext deadline Aug 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California's 5th District margin of victory
K 200 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 87.9%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 78.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 65.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California's 8th District margin of victory
K 200 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 8th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?Yes 94.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 8th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?Yes 91.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 8th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?Yes 84%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California's 23rd District margin of victory
K 200 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 23rd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 94.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 23rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 89.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 23rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 80.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California's 41st District margin of victory
K 200 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 41st District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 89.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 41st District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 80.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 41st District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 68.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Michigan's 13th District margin of victory
K 200 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 13th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?Yes 95.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 13th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 13th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?Yes 74%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

New York's 19th District margin of victory
K 200 contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Washington's 1st District margin of victory
K 200 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 1st District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 90.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 1st District House election be at least 29 percentage points?Yes 80.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 1st District House election be at least 32 percentage points?Yes 71.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Washington's 2nd District margin of victory
K 200 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 2nd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 88.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 2nd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 76.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 2nd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?Yes 64.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Washington's 9th District margin of victory
K 200 contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 9th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?Yes 93.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 9th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?Yes 88.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Washington's 9th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?Yes 80.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Arizona 08 House General Election: voter turnout
K 200 contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Arizona 08 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Arizona 08 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 77.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Arizona 08 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 52.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC