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Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
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Showing 769-816 of 1,662 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiSports
Portland Trailblazers bought and changed to Seattle SuperSonics?
K 12.1K contractsWill the Portland Trailblazers be bought and become the Seattle SuperSonics?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of December?
PM $9.4KWill Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?Yes 55%
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?Yes 37%
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?Yes 6%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?
K 12.1K contractsWill the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 54.5%
Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2032?Yes 51.5%
Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 47.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Manila on October 19?
PM $9.1KWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 19?Yes 48.5%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 19?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 19?Yes 20%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in NYC in Oct 2026?
K 12.0K contractsRain in NYC in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 38.5%
Rain in NYC in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 27%
Rain in NYC in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 10%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in NYC on October 19?
PM $9.1KWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 19?Yes 45%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 19?Yes 43.5%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 19?Yes 7%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Colorado's AI rules take effect before February 2027?
K 11.8K contractsWill Colorado's AI rules take effect before February 2027?Yes 83.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
PM $9.1K100kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes 3.6%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Titled Tuesday Top 8: Oct 20
K 11.7K contractsTitled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 8 Finishers: Hikaru NakamuraYes 51.5%
Titled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 8 Finishers: Dmitry AndreikinYes 35%
Titled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 8 Finishers: Sina MovahedYes 34.5%
+68 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Milan on October 20?
PM $8.7KWill the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 20?Yes 41.5%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 20?Yes 29%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 20?Yes 15.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will a New York Times reporter be federally charged over Air Force One reporting?
K 11.7K contractsWill any New York Times reporter whose alleged offense arises from newsgathering, publication, source protection, or compliance with investigative demands concerning the Times’s July 2026 reporting on the security of the Qatari-donated aircraft used as Air Force One be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Houston on October 19?
PM $8.5KWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 19?Yes 58.5%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 19?Yes 30%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 19?Yes 11%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Which banks will take OpenAI public?
K 11.7K contractsWill Stifel Financial take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 40%
Will Raymond James take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 37.5%
Will Needham & Company take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 35%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Moscow on October 19?
PM $8.1KWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 19?Yes 48%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 19?Yes 41.5%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 19?Yes 8%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
OpenRouter AI token usage in October
K 11.6K contractsWill OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 500T tokens?Yes 99.5%
Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 450T tokens?Yes 99%
Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 550T tokens?Yes 98.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?
PM $8.0KWill the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?Yes 84.5%
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?Yes 50%
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?Yes 28%
+2 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which countries will officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?
K 11.6K contractsWill United Kingdom officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?Yes 94.5%
Will Ukraine officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?Yes 94.5%
Will Sweden officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?Yes 94.5%
+35 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on October 19?
PM $7.9KWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 19?Yes 58%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 19?Yes 28%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 19?Yes 11%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI or Bubeck?
PM $7.8K · K 408.1 contractsWill Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI or Sébastien Bubeck before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 19.5%Rules differK Yes 12.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Moke category?
K 11.5K contractsWill Moke become a Category 5 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
Will Moke become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
Will Moke become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Austin in Oct 2026?
K 11.4K contractsRain in Austin in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 70%
Rain in Austin in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 25%
Rain in Austin in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 24.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI Agent end of December?
PM $7.8KWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Yes 71.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Yes 16%
Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Yes 4.8%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will O’Hare set a new passenger record in 2026?
K 11.3K contractsWill O’Hare International Airport’s total passenger volume for 2026 be above 84,856,018 passengers?Yes 96.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?
PM $7.8KWill OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?Yes 3.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Seattle on Oct 18, 2026?
K 11.2K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 60-61° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 59%
Will the maximum temperature be 58-59° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 37%
Will the maximum temperature be 62-63° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 6.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?
PM $7.4KFrontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in December
K 11.1K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.00 in December 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.00 in December 2026?Yes 67%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.75 in December 2026?Yes 50%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
PM $7.4KWill California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?Yes 4.7%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026
K 11.0K contractsWill Dai Dai rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 68.5%
Will Training Season (Live) rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will TRALALA rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 48.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Beijing on October 20?
PM $7.4KWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 20?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 20?Yes 30.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 20?Yes 18%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Apple headcount in 2026
K 11.0K contractsWill Apple Inc. report above 164000 total full-time equivalent employees in 2026?Yes 92%
Will Apple Inc. report above 166000 total full-time equivalent employees in 2026?Yes 86%
Will Apple Inc. report above 168000 total full-time equivalent employees in 2026?Yes 68%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?
PM $7.3KRen Zhengfei confirmed outside China by December 31?Yes 3.1%
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by October 31?Yes 0.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
K 10.8K contractsWill Meta have a higher Arena Score than OpenAI at the end of 2026?Yes 88%
Will OpenAI have a higher Arena Score than Meta at the end of 2026?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Best Chinese AI Company end of December?
PM $7.3KWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 33%
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 22%
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Spotify premium subscribers in 2026
K 10.7K contractsWill Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 324 million premium subscribers in 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 322 million premium subscribers in 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 308 million premium subscribers in fiscal 2026?Yes 50%
+9 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Karachi on October 19?
PM $7.2KWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 19?Yes 50.5%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 19?Yes 39.5%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 19?Yes 4.8%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
OpenAI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 10.6K contractsOpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 15.7%Yes 49%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 20.4%Yes 48.5%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.9%Yes 48%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of November?
PM $7.2KWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026?Yes 87%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026?Yes 5.3%
Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026?Yes 5.3%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA A100 · Average hourly price in October
K 10.6K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $0.75 in October 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $0.50 in October 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's A100 be above $1.25 in October 2026?Yes 50%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
PM $7.1KApple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?Yes 2.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026
K 10.6K contractsWill Training Season (Live) rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will TRALALA rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will Shararat rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Astra removed from public access by...?
PM $7.1KAstra removed from public access by October 31?Yes 1.9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
K 10.6K contractsWill the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?Yes 52.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 20?
PM $7.1KWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 20?Yes 47%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 20?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 20?Yes 22.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
United Airlines passengers in Q3
K 10.4K contractsWill United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 48.5 million passengers in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 48.25 million passengers in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 48 million passengers in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Feb 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chicago on October 20?
PM $7.1KWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 20?Yes 50.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 20?Yes 38.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 20?Yes 6.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
SoFi members in Q3
K 10.3K contractsWill SoFi Technologies, Inc. report Above 16.7 million members in Q3 2026?Yes 86%
Will SoFi Technologies, Inc. report Above 16.8 million members in Q3 2026?Yes 66.5%
Will SoFi Technologies, Inc. report Above 16.9 million members in Q3 2026?Yes 55%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
PM $7.1KAnother critical Cloudflare incident by December 31, 2026?Yes 41%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by November 30, 2026?Yes 26%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?Yes 10%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC