Politics prediction markets
6,945 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 769-816 of 6,945 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump restrict SNAP benefits?
K 46.1K contractsWill a bill that restricts SNAP benefits become law before Jan 4, 2027?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?
PM $139.7KPutin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31?Yes 2.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election?
K 45.9K contractsWill Michael Malchieli be Minister of the Interior as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 12.5%
Will Yoav Ben-Tzur be Minister of the Interior as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 8.5%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be Minister of the Interior as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 3.5%
+26 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?
PM $138.5KTaiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?Yes 21.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Arkansas?
K 45.5K contractsWill HJR 1018 pass?Yes 96.5%
Will SJR 11 pass?Yes 95.5%
Will Act 578 pass?Yes 89%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
PM $138.0KWill John Healey be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Yes 6%
Will Douglas Alexander be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Yes 5.9%
Will Alan Campbell be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Yes 5.3%
+19 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will the SEC eliminate the quarterly reporting requirement?
K 45.5K contractsWill Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announce the publication of a final rule, with an effective date, making quarterly reporting optional for public companies before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 44%
Will Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announce the publication of a final rule, with an effective date, making quarterly reporting optional for public companies before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 22%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
PM $135.2KWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 31, 2026?Yes 17.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-04 House winner?
K 45.4K contractsWho will win the 2026 CA-04 House election? (Mike Thompson)Yes 78%
Who will win the 2026 CA-04 House election? (Eric Jones)Yes 21.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
PM $134.3KWill no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes 37.5%
Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes 31.9%
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes 14%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tlaxcala Governor winner?
K 45.4K contractsWill Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?Yes 58%
Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?Yes 7%
Will Raymundo Vázquez Conchas win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election?Yes 2.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Jun 6, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TN-04 House Election Winner
PM $133.9KWill the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?Yes 98.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?Yes 0.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oklahoma Senate winner?
K 44.9K contractsWill Republicans win the Senate race in Oklahoma?Yes 96.8%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Oklahoma?Yes 2.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Stavky by...?
PM $133.6KWill Russia capture Stavky by December 31, 2026?Yes 10%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Freddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?
K 44.6K contractsWill any 2026 Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) report a 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate below 5.75%?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Maduro guilty of all counts?
PM $133.2KMaduro guilty of all counts?Yes 36.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Florida’s property tax amendment pass?
K 44.5K contractsWill Florida Amendment 3, “Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes” pass?Yes 45%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nigerian Presidential Election Winner
PM $132.4KWill Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Yes 72%
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Yes 21.5%
Will Omoyele Sowore win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Yes 0.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 17, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?
K 44.5K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a Federal Open Market Committee post-meeting statement emphasizes trimmed-mean or median inflation measures before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 15%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Board of Governors does not approve the reappointment of a Federal Reserve Bank president before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 13.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a Summary of Economic Projections omits individual participants’ federal-funds-rate projections before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 13%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
KS-04 House Election Winner
PM $132.0KWill the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?Yes 95%
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Massachusetts Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $131.9K · K 1.44M contractsWill the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Massachusetts
Related contracts
PM Yes 95.8%Rules differK Yes 94.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Massachusetts
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Massachusetts
Related contracts
PM Yes 4.3%Rules differK Yes 5.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
WI-06 House winner?
K 44.4K contractsWill Republican win the House race for WI-06?Yes 92.7%
Will Democratic win the House race for WI-06?Yes 6.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?
K 44.2K contractsWill anyone win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor general election election in the first round?Yes 95.6%
Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State general election election in the first round?Yes 95.5%
Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia Attorney General general election election in the first round?Yes 94.8%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
PM $130.8KWill Trump deport 400-500k people?Yes 66.5%
Will Trump deport 500-600k people?Yes 12.3%
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?Yes 10%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in South Carolina?
K 44.0K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 1 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in South Carolina?Yes 67%
Will Democrats win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in South Carolina?Yes 27.5%
Will Democrats win more than 2 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in South Carolina?Yes 7%
+1 moreNext deadline May 13, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VA-05 House Election Winner
PM $130.7KWill the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?Yes 69.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Yes 30.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Israeli justice minister after the election?
K 43.7K contractsWill Yariv Levin be Minister of Justice as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 16%
Will Orit Farkash-Hacohen be Minister of Justice as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 7%
Will Tally Gotliv be Minister of Justice as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 3.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by...?
PM $129.0KWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Next DCCC chair?
K 43.6K contractsWill Brad Schneider be the next Chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) before Mar 2, 2027?Yes 11.1%
Will Steven Horsford be the next Chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) before Mar 2, 2027?Yes 9.2%
Will Greg Stanton be the next Chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) before Mar 2, 2027?Yes 6.6%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Prymorske by...?
PM $128.5KWill Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045?
K 43.5K contractsWill Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 29, 2045 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Johannesburg?
PM $127.3KWill Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Yes 52%
Will David Makhura be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Yes 26.7%
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Yes 7.1%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 17, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?
PM $127.2K · K 862.18 contractsWill Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Kalshi: Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Xiaomi as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 20.5%Rules differK Yes 25.5%
Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Kalshi: Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Moonshot AI as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 16.5%Rules differK Yes 21%
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Kalshi: Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of DeepSeek as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 16.5%Rules differK Yes 18%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan Senate margin of victory
K 43.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 30.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 15.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 6.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SC-06 House winner?
K 43.3K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for SC-06?Yes 97%
Will Republican win the House race for SC-06?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
PM $126.4KUkraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Yes 5.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Jeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
K 43.3K contractsWill Jeanine Pirro announce their departure as United States Attorney for the District of Columbia before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 38%
Will Jeanine Pirro announce their departure as United States Attorney for the District of Columbia before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 22%
Will Jeanine Pirro announce their departure as United States Attorney for the District of Columbia before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 10%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by...?
PM $126.0KWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Yes 60.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Taylor Swift Top 10 Spots — Billboard Hot 100 (Oct 24, 2026)
K 43.2K contractsHow many spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top 10 will Taylor Swift hold for the week of Oct 24, 2026? (Exactly 1 song)Yes 99.5%
How many spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top 10 will Taylor Swift hold for the week of Oct 24, 2026? (Exactly 9 songs)Yes 0.5%
How many spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top 10 will Taylor Swift hold for the week of Oct 24, 2026? (Exactly 8 songs)Yes 0.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
PM $125.3KFlorentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Instacart gross transaction value in Q3
K 42.9K contractsWill Instacart report Above $10.3 billion gross transaction value in Q3 2026?Yes 96%
Will Instacart report Above $10.35 billion gross transaction value in Q3 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will Instacart report Above $10.4 billion gross transaction value in Q3 2026?Yes 80.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Mar 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NATO dissolves before 2027?
PM $125.1KNATO dissolves before 2027?Yes 1.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran?
K 42.9K contractsWill Donald Trump meet in person the Supreme Leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Press Secretary?
PM $124.9KWill Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes 13.5%
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes 13.5%
Will Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes 6.4%
+28 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Idaho Attorney General winner?
K 42.9K contractsWill the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Idaho?Yes 96.6%
Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Idaho?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
John Fetterman out by...?
PM $124.6KFetterman out by December 31, 2026?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
K 42.8K contractsWill there be more than 260 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will there be more than 270 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will there be more than 280 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 83.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Taipei Mayor Election Winner
PM $123.6KWill Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Yes 66%
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Yes 34.5%
Will Huang Kuo-chang win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Yes <0.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC