Politics prediction markets
6,943 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 961-1,008 of 6,943 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiElections
EU loses a member before 2030?
K 33.6K contractsWill a country leave the EU by 2030?Yes 10.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
PM $92.7KWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?
K 33.5K contractsWill Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?Yes 8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?
PM $92.6KRepublican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?Yes 30.5%
Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?Yes 18.5%
Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?Yes 14.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NE-01 House winner?
K 33.4K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NE-01?Yes 84.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for NE-01?Yes 16%
Will Austin Ahlman win the House race for NE-01?Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
PM $92.4KWill Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Song on Spotify in 2026?
K 33.4K contractsWill Babydoll be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will End of Beginning be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 14.5%
Will Billie Jean be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by...?
PM $91.2KWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by December 31, 2026?Yes 20%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Mongolian presidential election winner?
K 33.3K contractsWho will win the next Mongolian presidential election? (Gombojavyn Zandanshatar)Yes 15.5%
Will Norovyn Altankhuyag win the next Mongolian presidential election? (Norovyn Altankhuyag)Yes 9.5%
Will Luvsannyamyn Gantömör win the next Mongolian presidential election? (Luvsannyamyn Gantömör)Yes 7.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jun 29, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?
PM $91.0KPakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes 14.5%
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Yes 5.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IL-16 House winner?
K 33.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for IL-16?Yes 93.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for IL-16?Yes 4.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-06 House Election Winner
PM $90.8KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?Yes 96.7%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?Yes 0.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York Governor margin of victory
K 33.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 93.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 88%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in New York be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 79.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WA-05 House Election Winner
PM $90.7KWill the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?Yes 88.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?Yes 10.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa Senate margin of victory
K 33.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 45.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 27%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 14%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
PM $89.0KWill the US capture another world leader in 2026?Yes 3.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Indiana Secretary of State winner?
K 33.1K contractsIndiana Secretary of State winner? (Beau Bayh)Yes 54%
Indiana Secretary of State winner? (Max Engling)Yes 45%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MD-01 House Election Winner
PM $88.7KWill the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?Yes 87%
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-01 House seat?Yes 12.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical
K 33.0K contractsWill Widow’s Bay be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 93.5%
Will Only Murders in the Building be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%
Will Hacks be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-23 House Election Winner
PM $88.3KWill the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat?Yes 96.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat?Yes 2.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona Governor margin of victory
K 33.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 85.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 71%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 50.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
PM $88.2KAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What countries will Trump say in October?
K 32.9K contractsWill Trump say "United Kingdom / British" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Trump say "Iceland / Icelandic" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Trump say "Argentina / Argentinian" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 94%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-11 House Election Winner
PM $88.1KWill the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?Yes 96.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football: 6+ Rushing Touchdowns Season
K 32.9K contractsWill Christian McCaffrey record 6+ rushing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 95.5%
Will Kenneth Walker III record 6+ rushing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 89%
Will David Montgomery record 6+ rushing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 69.5%
+44 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place
PM $87.9KWill Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 70.5%
Will Otzma Yehudit win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 12.3%
Will The Democrats win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 7.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Trump golf this weekend? (10/16-10/18)
K 32.8K contractsWill Trump not golf from Oct 16, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 52%
Will Trump golf on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 50.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-16 House Election Winner
PM $87.8KWill the Republican Party win the PA-16 House seat?Yes 96.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-16 House seat?Yes 3.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
LA-02 House winner?
K 32.5K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for LA-02?Yes 97.1%
Will Republican win the House race for LA-02?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner
PM $87.8KWill Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?Yes 69%
Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?Yes 5.5%
Will Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?Yes 3%
+12 moreNext deadline Jun 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law?
K 32.4K contractsWill legislation that makes “Department of War” the official statutory name of the United States Department of Defense become law before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 34.5%
Will legislation that makes “Department of War” the official statutory name of the United States Department of Defense become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 26%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by...?
PM $87.5KWill Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?Yes 14%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
WA-04 House winner?
K 32.4K contractsWill Republican win the House race for WA-04?Yes 92.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for WA-04?Yes 7.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
PM $87.3KWill Israel election happen as scheduled?Yes 95.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela?
K 32.4K contractsWill María Corina Machado visit Venezuela before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 55.5%
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 36%
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 23%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
PM $86.7K · K 112.9K contractsWill Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
Kalshi: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? (Rebeca Grynspan)
Related contracts
PM Yes 37.3%Rules differK Yes 24%
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
Kalshi: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? (Rafael Grossi)
Related contracts
PM Yes 35%Rules differK Yes 22%
Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
Kalshi: Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? (Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés)
Related contracts
PM Yes 13.3%Rules differK Yes 2.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
7 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
K 32.4K contractsWill Trump recognize Somaliland? (Before Jan 20, 2029)Yes 55%
Will Trump recognize Somaliland? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 33%
Will Trump recognize Somaliland? (Before Jan 1, 2027)Yes 7%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-36 House Election Winner
PM $86.1KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-36 House seat?Yes 96.5%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-36 House seat?Yes 2.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?
K 32.2K contractsWill a court find that Amazon has illegally maintained a monopoly?Yes 48%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-26 House Election Winner
PM $86.0KWill the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?Yes 88.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?Yes 10.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-32 House winner?
K 32.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-32?Yes 85.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-32?Yes 15.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PM $85.8KWill the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes 76%
Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes 15.8%
Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes 5.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota Governor margin of victory
K 31.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Minnesota be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 93.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Minnesota be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Minnesota be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 70.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PM $85.5KWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the US ban crude oil exports?
K 31.7K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States has imposed a ban on exports of crude oil that has gone into effect before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SC-01 House Election Winner
PM $84.8KWill the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?Yes 68.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?Yes 32.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California Lieutenant Governor winner?
K 31.7K contractsWill Fiona Ma win the 2026 California Lieutenant Governor election?Yes 98.3%
Will Gloria Romero win the 2026 California Lieutenant Governor election?Yes 0.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner
PM $84.8KWill Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Yes 53.5%
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Yes 42.5%
Will Álvaro Dias win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Yes <0.1%
+6 more