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Showing 1,105-1,152 of 5,539 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
Which companies will sign a Venezuelan oil agreement?
K 3.9K contractsWill it be confirmed that Shell signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela?Yes 62%
Will it be confirmed that ExxonMobil signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela?Yes 26.5%
Will it be confirmed that ConocoPhillips signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela?Yes 13%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Moody's or S&P downgrades France by...?
PM $7.2KMoody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026?Yes 75.5%
Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?Yes 70.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Australia Nominal GDP in 2026
K 3.9K contractsAustralia Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $1.6 trillion)Yes 95%
Australia Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $1.7 trillion)Yes 94.5%
Australia Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $1.8 trillion)Yes 93.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Bitcoin price on October 21?
PM $7.0KWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 21?Yes 35.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 21?Yes 24%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 21?Yes 21%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
K 3.9K contractsWill the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.30% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 73%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.32% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 69%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.34% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 65%
+32 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?
PM $7.0KDatabricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3
K 3.8K contractsSouth Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.0%)Yes 95.5%
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 31.5%)Yes 74%
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026? (Above 32.0%)Yes 47.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 17, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above __?
PM $7.0KWill Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 220?Yes 95%
Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 230?Yes 52%
Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 240?Yes 44.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
New York City rent increase in 2026
K 3.8K contractsWill New York City rent grow above 0% in December 2026?Yes 96%
Will New York City rent grow above 1% in December 2026?Yes 95%
Will New York City rent grow above 2% in December 2026?Yes 93.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above __?
PM $6.9KWill Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above $44B?Yes 98.5%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above $50B?Yes 81.5%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above $56B?Yes 36%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will New York securities-industry employment rise YoY?
K 3.8K contractsWill New York’s annual-average employment in Financial Investments and Related Activities Including Financial Vehicles for 2026 be above 230,400 jobs?Yes 86.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Amphenol (APH) Q3 organic sales growth?
PM $6.8KAmphenol (APH) Q3 organic sales growth 32% to 36%?Yes 38%
Amphenol (APH) Q3 organic sales growth 36%+?Yes 32.5%
Amphenol (APH) Q3 organic sales growth 28% to 32%?Yes 16.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?
K 3.8K contractsWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 93%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 90.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Canza FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $6.8KCanza FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 59.5%
Canza FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 58.5%
Canza FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes 34.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US headline CPI inflation in December 2030
K 3.8K contractsWill the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2030 be above 0.5%?Yes 86%
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2030 be above 2.0%?Yes 76.5%
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2030 be above 4.5%?Yes 53.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2031 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 total revenue be above __?
PM $6.8KWill Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 total revenue be above $8.1B?Yes 82.5%
Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 total revenue be above $8.2B?Yes 78%
Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 total revenue be above $8.3B?Yes 45%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
ADP employment change in Oct 2026?
K 3.8K contractsADP employment change in Oct 2026? (Above -25000)Yes 97%
ADP employment change in Oct 2026? (Above 0)Yes 80%
ADP employment change in Oct 2026? (Above 50000)Yes 76%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
USD/JPY: Close Price End of 2026
PM $6.6KWill the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 150 and 160?Yes 45%
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 160 and 170?Yes 25.5%
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be less than 140?Yes 10.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Toll Brothers delivered homes in fiscal 2026
K 3.8K contractsWill Toll Brothers Inc. report Above 9900 deliveries in fiscal 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Toll Brothers Inc. report Above 9800 deliveries in fiscal 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Toll Brothers Inc. report Above 9700 deliveries in fiscal 2026?Yes 97.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Mar 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth?
PM $6.6KAbbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth 6% to 8%?Yes 62%
Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth 4% to 6%?Yes 19.5%
Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth 8% to 10%?Yes 15.3%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
K 3.8K contractsWill the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 72%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 68%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 64%
+22 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by October 31?
PM $6.6KWill Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $95B by October 31?Yes 48%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $122.5B by October 31?Yes 30%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $87.5B by October 31?Yes 26%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed funds rate at end of 2029
K 3.7K contractsWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 1.00%?Yes 79%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 1.25%?Yes 76%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 1.75%?Yes 74%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will NextEra Energy (NEE) Q3 operating revenue be above __?
PM $6.5KWill NextEra Energy (NEE) Q3 operating revenue be above $7.5B?Yes 85.5%
Will NextEra Energy (NEE) Q3 operating revenue be above $8B?Yes 77%
Will NextEra Energy (NEE) Q3 operating revenue be above $8.5B?Yes 25%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
European Central Bank rate decision in December
K 3.6K contractsWill the European Central Bank Hike 1-25bps at the December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 80%
Will the European Central Bank Maintain current rate at the December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 15.5%
Will the European Central Bank Hike more than 25bps at the December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 2.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 24, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will RTX (RTX) Q3 Pratt & Whitney sales be above __?
PM $6.5KWill RTX (RTX) Q3 Pratt & Whitney sales be above $8.5B?Yes 90%
Will RTX (RTX) Q3 Pratt & Whitney sales be above $9B?Yes 71%
Will RTX (RTX) Q3 Pratt & Whitney sales be above $9.5B?Yes 34%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
CoreWeave data centers in fiscal 2026
K 3.6K contractsWill CoreWeave, Inc. report Above 62 data centers in fiscal 2026?Yes 76%
Will CoreWeave, Inc. report Above 64 data centers in fiscal 2026?Yes 63.5%
Will CoreWeave, Inc. report Above 66 data centers in fiscal 2026?Yes 49.5%
+3 moreNext deadline May 26, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by October 31?
PM $6.5KWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $10.25B by October 31?Yes 54.5%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $10.75B by October 31?Yes 38%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8.5B by October 31?Yes 22%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
HYPE price at the end of the year?
K 3.6K contractsHYPE price on Jan 1, 2027? ($100 or above)Yes 22.5%
HYPE price on Jan 1, 2027? ($95.0000 - $99.9999)Yes 14.5%
HYPE price on Jan 1, 2027? ($80.0000 - $84.9999)Yes 9.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q3 Rating revenues be above __?
PM $6.4KWill S&P Global (SPGI) Q3 Rating revenues be above $1.25B?Yes 94.5%
Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q3 Rating revenues be above $1.3B?Yes 62%
Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q3 Rating revenues be above $1.35B?Yes 28%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Shanghai Container Freight Index at end of 2026
K 3.6K contractsWill Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be between 3,500 and 3,999.99?Yes 30.5%
Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be below 1,500?Yes 14.5%
Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be at least 5,000?Yes 12.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars)?
PM $6.4KVisa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 13.5% to 14.5%?Yes 41%
Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) <12.5%?Yes 17.5%
Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 12.5% to 13.5%?Yes 15.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
When will Young Thug and Gunna make a song together?
K 3.5K contractsWill Young Thug and Gunna make a song together? (Before 2030)Yes 49.5%
Will Young Thug and Gunna make a song together? (Before 2029)Yes 46%
Will Young Thug and Gunna make a song together? (Before 2028)Yes 37.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
What will the Ethereum Implied Volatility Index hit by October 31?
PM $6.4KWill the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 60 by October 31?Yes 42%
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 65 by October 31?Yes 31.5%
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 70 by October 31?Yes 13.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
K 3.5K contractsWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 44%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 39.5%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 36%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
AlloX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $6.4KWill AlloX FDV be above $50M one day after launch?Yes 72%
Will AlloX FDV be above $65M one day after launch?Yes 52%
Will AlloX FDV be above $80M one day after launch?Yes 46.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US private data center construction spending in September
K 3.4K contractsWill U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $77.5B?Yes 97.5%
Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $82.5B?Yes 95%
Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $80.0B?Yes 95%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by ___?
PM $6.3KWill Hyperliquid introduce KYC by December 31, 2027?Yes 49.5%
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by September 30, 2027?Yes 38%
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by June 30, 2027?Yes 35%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Mexico unemployment rate in September
K 3.4K contractsMexico unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.6%)Yes 95.5%
Mexico unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.7%)Yes 90.5%
Mexico unemployment rate in September 2026? (Above 2.8%)Yes 83%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above __?
PM $6.2KWill Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $180B?Yes 79.5%
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $210B?Yes 75%
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $240B?Yes 72%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026
K 3.4K contractsWill Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.0%?Yes 51%
Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.1%?Yes 37.5%
Will Brazilian GDP (YoY) for Q3 2026 be above 1.2%?Yes 32.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility Index hit by October 31?
PM $6.2KWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by October 31?Yes 19%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by October 31?Yes 16%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 55 by October 31?Yes 15%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
What will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
K 3.4K contractsWill the tariff rate on Canada imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 86%
Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be at least 50% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be at least 40% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
PM $6.1KJerome Powell in jail before 2027?Yes 2.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q4?
K 3.4K contractsWill Twilio be added to the S&P 500 in Q4 2026?Yes 98%
Will Cheniere Energy be added to the S&P 500 in Q4 2026?Yes 29.5%
Will Astera Labs be added to the S&P 500 in Q4 2026?Yes 24%
+32 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit Week of October 19 2026?
PM $5.9KWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 87%
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $72.50 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $67.50 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 58.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
New England vs Chicago: 1st Touchdown
K 3.4K contractsD'Andre Swift: 1st TouchdownYes 10.5%
Rhamondre Stevenson: 1st TouchdownYes 7.5%
Colston Loveland: 1st TouchdownYes 6.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Glean's valuation hit __ by October 31?
PM $5.8KWill Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by October 31?Yes 56%
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.25B by October 31?Yes 51%
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7B by October 31?Yes 51%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC