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Showing 1,441-1,488 of 2,425 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)
K 7.4K contractsWill the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 9 in Oct 2026?Yes 37%
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 10 in Oct 2026?Yes 22%
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 12 in Oct 2026?Yes 10.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?
PM $1.8KComprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?Yes 39.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Starbucks headcount in fiscal 2026
K 7.3K contractsWill Starbucks Corporation report Above 356 thousand headcount in fiscal 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 350 thousand headcount in fiscal 2026?Yes 50%
Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 353 thousand headcount in fiscal 2026?Yes 50%
+11 moreNext deadline Feb 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?
PM $1.8KWill Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Robinhood gold subscribers in fiscal 2026
K 7.3K contractsWill Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 4 million gold subscribers in fiscal 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 4.2 million gold subscribers in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 4.4 million gold subscribers in fiscal 2026?Yes 96%
+11 moreNext deadline May 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?
PM $1.8KFTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?Yes 16.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

US personal saving rate at year-end 2026
K 7.3K contractsWill US personal saving rate for 2026 be at least 4.0%?Yes 34%
Will US personal saving rate for 2026 be below 2.5%?Yes 20%
Will US personal saving rate for 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Yes 15.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Newmont (NEM) Q3 total attributable gold production be above __?
PM $1.8KWill Newmont (NEM) Q3 total attributable gold production be above 1,200 koz?Yes 86.7%
Will Newmont (NEM) Q3 total attributable gold production be above 1,250 koz?Yes 47%
Will Newmont (NEM) Q3 total attributable gold production be above 1,300 koz?Yes 33%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Rain in Houston in Oct 2026?
K 7.2K contractsRain in Houston in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 55.5%
Rain in Houston in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 33.5%
Rain in Houston in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 20%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will SK hynix (SKHY) hit in October 2026?
PM $1.8KWill SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $138 in October?Yes 77.5%
Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $144 in October?Yes 76%
Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (LOW) $132 in October?Yes 59%
+19 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Brazil inflation rate in October
K 7.2K contractsWill inflation in Brazil be above 4.00% in Oct 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will inflation in Brazil be above 3.90% in Oct 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.10% in Oct 2026?Yes 97.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?
PM $1.8KWill Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?Yes 51.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld

How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 7.2K contractsAbove 0 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 69.5%
Above 1 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 56.5%
Above 2 human H5N1 cases in the United States during 2026Yes 40.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Services revenue be above __?
PM $1.8KWill Apple (AAPL) Q4 Services revenue be above $31B?Yes 53%
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Services revenue be above $31.5B?Yes 33%
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Services revenue be above $32B?Yes 25%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

What will Hailey Bieber say during NYT DealBook Summit?
K 7.1K contractsWhat will Hailey Bieber say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Rhode)Yes 74.5%
What will Hailey Bieber say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Makeup)Yes 60.5%
What will Hailey Bieber say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Skincare / Skin Care)Yes 57%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Which exchange will Anthropic list on?
PM $1.8KWill Anthropic list on the NASDAQ?Yes 89.8%
Will Anthropic list on the NYSE?Yes 10.2%
Will Anthropic list on another exchange?Yes 5.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2031
K 7.0K contractsWill U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2031 be above 56.00%?Yes 89%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2031 be above 58.00%?Yes 82.5%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2031 be above 57.50%?Yes 69%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 16, 2032 UTC
PolymarketFinance

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit Week of October 19 2026?
PM $1.8KWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $52 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $54 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 71.5%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $50 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 63.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

Who will perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?
K 7.0K contractsWill Drake perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?Yes 50%
Will Fred again.. perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?Yes 49.5%
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?Yes 45%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Intel (INTC) Q3 Foundry revenue be above __?
PM $1.7KWill Intel (INTC) Q3 Foundry revenue be above $5.5B?Yes 85%
Will Intel (INTC) Q3 Foundry revenue be above $6B?Yes 78%
Will Intel (INTC) Q3 Foundry revenue be above $6.5B?Yes 58.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?
K 7.0K contractsWill Kelly Morrison be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?Yes 39%
Will Angie Craig be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?Yes 18.5%
Will Steve Simon be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?Yes 15%
+9 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $1.7KWill Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 84.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Grocery inflation at the end of 2026?
K 7.0K contractsWill U.S. grocery inflation for December 2026 be above 1.0%?Yes 93%
Will U.S. grocery inflation for December 2026 be above 1.5%?Yes 75%
Will U.S. grocery inflation for December 2026 be above 2.0%?Yes 61%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above __?
PM $1.7KWill CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $360M?Yes 89%
Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $320M?Yes 87.5%
Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $400M?Yes 38.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?
K 6.9K contractsWill above -25000 jobs be added in November 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will above 0 jobs be added in November 2026?Yes 84%
Will above 10000 jobs be added in November 2026?Yes 80%
+10 moreNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will USD/BRL hit __ in 2026?
PM $1.7KWill USD/BRL hit 5.75 (High) in 2026?Yes 56%
Will USD/BRL hit 5.5 (High) in 2026?Yes 54%
Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?Yes 54%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Washington vs San Francisco: Passing Touchdowns
K 6.9K contractsBrock Purdy: 1+ passing touchdownsYes 93.5%
Jayden Daniels: 1+ passing touchdownsYes 79%
Brock Purdy: 2+ passing touchdownsYes 73.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?
PM $1.7KGitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026?Yes 14%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)
K 6.8K contractsWill the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 78.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 60.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $1.7KWill Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 90.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Russia Nominal GDP in 2026
K 6.8K contractsRussia Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $2.3 trillion)Yes 97.1%
Russia Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $2.2 trillion)Yes 96.8%
Russia Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $2.4 trillion)Yes 94.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?
PM $1.7KNext Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 12%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Which countries will qualify for LA28 men's lacrosse?
K 6.7K contractsWill Canada qualify for LA28 men's lacrosse?Yes 50.5%
Will Türkiye qualify for LA28 men's lacrosse?Yes 50%
Will Chinese Taipei qualify for LA28 men's lacrosse?Yes 50%
+43 moreNext deadline Aug 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketEconomy

EU debt downgrade before 2027?
PM $1.6KEU debt downgrade before 2027?Yes 18.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience

Forever: First Week Album Equivalent Units
K 6.7K contractsWill Forever by The Big Moon have above 2000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 35.5%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 5000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 12.5%
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 7000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?Yes 6.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Honeywell (HON) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $1.6KWill Honeywell (HON) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 76%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
K 6.7K contractsWill the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 98.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 98%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 97.5%
+57 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 19 2026?
PM $1.6KWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 92%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 60%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q4 2026
K 6.6K contractsWill the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for December 31, 2026 be above 3.50%?Yes 99.5%
Will the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for December 31, 2026 be above 4.00%?Yes 83.5%
Will the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for December 31, 2026 be above 3.75%?Yes 55.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?
PM $1.6KOpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech

Snap daily active users in Q3
K 6.6K contractsWill Snap Inc. report Above 486 million global daily active users in Q3 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Snap Inc. report Above 488 million global daily active users in Q3 2026?Yes 92%
Will Snap Inc. report Above 490 million global daily active users in Q3 2026?Yes 90%
+8 moreNext deadline Feb 24, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $1.6KWill Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 79%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in August 2027
K 6.6K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in August 2027?Yes 95%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.20 in August 2027?Yes 95%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.15 in August 2027?Yes 95%
+14 moreNext deadline Sep 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will GE Vernova (GEV) Q3 orders be above __?
PM $1.6KWill GE Vernova (GEV) Q3 orders be above $20B?Yes 76%
Will GE Vernova (GEV) Q3 orders be above $22B?Yes 72.5%
Will GE Vernova (GEV) Q3 orders be above $24B?Yes 31%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth

When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
K 6.6K contractsWhen will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before 2028)Yes 90.5%
When will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before October 2027)Yes 89.5%
When will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema? (Before July 2027)Yes 89%
3 mktsNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $1.6KWill Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 77%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Duolingo daily active users in fiscal 2026
K 6.5K contractsWill Duolingo Inc. report Above 60.5 million daily active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 89%
Will Duolingo Inc. report Above 61 million daily active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 83.5%
Will Duolingo Inc. report Above 61.5 million daily active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 81.5%
+15 moreNext deadline May 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

Will CME Group (CME) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $1.5KWill CME Group (CME) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 82%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC