Browse prediction markets

Will Likud win above 17 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 88.5%

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?

K 17.5K contracts

Will Likud win above 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 61.5%

Will Likud win above 23 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 43.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

CA-45 House winner?

PM $46.5K · K 110.6K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-45 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for CA-45?

Related contracts

PM Yes 93.5%Rules differK Yes 92.8%

Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-45?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 7.6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Who will win the next Australian House election? (Australian Labor Party)Yes 51%

Australian House election winner?

K 17.5K contracts

Who will win the next Australian House election? (Liberal-National Coalition)Yes 38%

Will One Nation win the next Australian House election? (One Nation)Yes 6.2%

+1 moreNext deadline Sep 30, 2029 UTC

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Nevada be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 35.5%

Nevada Governor margin of victory

K 17.4K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Nevada be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 15%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Nevada be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 7%

+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the WA-01 House seat?Yes 97.5%

WA-01 House Election Winner

PM $46.5K

Will the Republican Party win the WA-01 House seat?Yes 2.4%

Will Republican win the House race for FL-16?Yes 82%

FL-16 House winner?

K 17.4K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for FL-16?Yes 17.5%

Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by June 30, 2027?Yes 44.5%

Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?

PM $46.4K

Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026?Yes 29.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Susan Collins receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election?Yes 97%

Maine Senate election: Susan Collins vote percent (1st Round)

K 17.4K contracts

Will Susan Collins receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election?Yes 97%

Will Susan Collins receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election?Yes 95.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?Yes 92.5%

WI-06 House Election Winner

PM $46.3K

Will the Democratic Party win the WI-06 House seat?Yes 6.8%

KalshiSports

Michigan Secretary of State winner?

Michigan Secretary of State winner? (Garlin Gilchrist)Yes 84.5%

Michigan Secretary of State winner? (Anthony Forlini)Yes 15.5%

Will the Democratic Party win the RI-01 House seat?Yes 99.3%

RI-01 House Election Winner

PM $46.2K

Will the Republican Party win the RI-01 House seat?Yes 0.2%

PM $46.2K · K 104.2K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Maine Governor winner?

Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Maine

Related contracts

PM Yes 95.3%Rules differK Yes 94.2%

Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Maine

Related contracts

PM Yes 4.2%Rules differK Yes 5.9%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

LA-04 House election: Matt Gromlich vote percent (1st Round)

Will Matt Gromlich receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 92%

Will Matt Gromlich receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 84.5%

Will Matt Gromlich receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 65%

+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Larger margin of victory: Kansas or Nebraska Senate?

Will Nebraska US Senate have the largest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Kansas US Senate and Nebraska US Senate?Yes 61.5%

Will Kansas US Senate have the largest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Kansas US Senate and Nebraska US Senate?Yes 37%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the MO-08 House seat?Yes 97.7%

MO-08 House Election Winner

PM $46.2K

Will the Democratic Party win the MO-08 House seat?Yes 2.3%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 4%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 2%

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-35 House seat?Yes 96.5%

CA-35 House Election Winner

PM $46.1K

Will the Republican Party win the CA-35 House seat?Yes <0.1%

TX-03 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for TX-03?Yes 95.2%

Will Democratic win the House race for TX-03?Yes 3.8%

Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?Yes 86.5%

NC-05 House Election Winner

PM $46.0K

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?Yes 12%

PM $45.8K · K 7.4K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

IL-17 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party win the IL-17 House seat?

Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for IL-17?

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.7%Rules differK Yes 95.2%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-17 House election?

Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for IL-17?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.8%Rules differK Yes 3.8%

Will the Republican Party win the IL-17 House seat?

Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for IL-17?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 3.8%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne become law in United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 29%

Will Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor be removed from the royal line of succession?

K 17.2K contracts

Will legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne become law in United Kingdom before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 22%

Will legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne become law in United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 13.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will Republican win the House race for MS-01?Yes 95.6%

MS-01 House winner?

K 17.2K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for MS-01?Yes 3.9%

IN-07 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the IN-07 House seat?Yes 97.8%

Will the Republican Party win the IN-07 House seat?Yes 0.4%

Will a pre-midterm DNC convention happen before Nov 3, 2026Yes 2.5%

Will Democrats hold a midterm convention?

K 17.2K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

MS-02 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?Yes 97%

Will the Republican Party win the MS-02 House seat?Yes 2.4%

Will Bad Bunny have 28000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 98.5%

KalshiWorld

Bad Bunny Streams in 2026

K 17.1K contracts

Will Bad Bunny have 29000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 98%

Will Bad Bunny have 27000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 96.5%

+13 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC

Will Iran target Oman by...?

Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026?Yes 10%

Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026?Yes 2.6%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Will Republican win the House race for NY-02?Yes 86.5%

NY-02 House winner?

K 17.1K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for NY-02?Yes 14.5%

CA-04 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?Yes 96%

Will the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat?Yes 1.5%

North Rhine-Westphalia state election winner?

Will CDU win the 2027 North Rhine-Westphalia state election?Yes 66%

Will AfD win the 2027 North Rhine-Westphalia state election?Yes 17.5%

Will FDP win the 2027 North Rhine-Westphalia state election?Yes 2.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Apr 25, 2028 UTC

Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Yes 38%

How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?

PM $45.6K

Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Yes 25.1%

Will Republicans win 1 Senate and Governor election in states won by Kamala?Yes 11.8%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Michigan's 4th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 4th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 40%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 4th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 24.5%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 4th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 15%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the NM-01 House seat?Yes 95.7%

NM-01 House Election Winner

PM $45.6K

Will the Republican Party win the NM-01 House seat?Yes 2.5%

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Television Series - Drama

Will The Pitt be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 97%

Will The Diplomat be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 91.5%

Will Slow Horses be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 43.2%

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

PM $45.5K

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 40.3%

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 11.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 3rd District House election be at least 39 percentage points?Yes 97.6%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 3rd District House election be at least 48 percentage points?Yes 96.7%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 3rd District House election be at least 42 percentage points?Yes 96.6%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketWorld

Modi out by June 30, 2027?

PM $45.5K

Modi out by June 30, 2027?Yes 10.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiWorld

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?

Will the U.S. and Iran hold a senior-level meeting before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 78%

Will the U.S. and Iran hold a senior-level meeting before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 65%

Will the U.S. and Iran hold a senior-level meeting before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 52%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the WA-06 House seat?Yes 99.3%

WA-06 House Election Winner

PM $45.4K

Will the Republican Party win the WA-06 House seat?Yes 0.9%

Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 16%

Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?

K 16.9K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat?Yes 97.3%

TX-37 House Election Winner

PM $45.3K

Will the Republican Party win the TX-37 House seat?Yes 2.1%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 93%

Oregon's 5th District margin of victory

K 16.9K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 89.3%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 81.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC